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Kilcullen on Authors@Google
June 22, 2009 | Posted by Abu Muqawama - 5:09pm | 12 Comments
Many thanks to the reader who saw this YouTube clip of David Kilcullen speaking to the nerds at Google. I always learn something when I listen to or speak with Dave -- even when conversation drifts to Scotch or Jermyn Street shirtmakers.
Glad you liked the video.
Glad you liked the video. My favorite part was that of the hydroelectric plants.
Sorry for the double-post -
Sorry for the double-post - just wanted to make sure some of the social science playa-haters in the audience (Hi SNLII!) saw this:
Lars-Erik Cederman
Luc Girardin
Kristian Skrede Gleditsch
Ethnonationalist Triads: Assessing the Influence of Kin Groups on Civil Wars
World Politics - Volume 61, Number 3, July 2009, pp. 403-437
Abstract:
Although the case-based literature suggests that kin groups are prominent in ethnonationalist conflicts, quantitative studies of civil war onset have both overaggregated and underaggregated the role of ethnicity, by looking at civil war at the country level instead of among specific groups and by treating individual countries as closed units, ignoring groups' transnational links. In this article the authors integrate transnational links into a dyadic perspective on conflict between marginalized ethnic groups and governments. They argue that transnational links can increase the risk of conflict as transnational kin support can facilitate insurgencies and are difficult for governments to target or deter. The empirical analysis, using new geocoded data on ethnic groups on a transnational basis, indicates that the risk of conflict is high when large, excluded ethnic groups have transnational kin in neighboring countries, and it provides strong support for the authors' propositions on the importance of transnational ties in ethnonationalist conflict.
"even when conversation
"even when conversation drifts to Scotch or Jermyn Street shirtmakers"
i'm wincing.
TM Lewin has another sale on?
TM Lewin has another sale on?
It was a good presentation.
It was a good presentation. I would have liked to ask him some additional questions, however. :-)
Not built for a suit, is he.
Not built for a suit, is he.
couldn't find a "tips" email
couldn't find a "tips" email address, but thought you'd be interested in seeing this
http://english.aljazeera.net/news/asia/2009/06/200962382215715372.html
"The empirical analysis,
"The empirical analysis, using new geocoded data on ethnic groups on a transnational basis, indicates that the risk of conflict is high when large, excluded ethnic groups have transnational kin in neighboring countries,"
Uhhhh, ATDS, isn't this a "no sh*t" analysis? I didn't need a gaggle of interns geo-coding kinship nodes in the network across borders to tell me why there's so much violence in many of the "nations" left in the wake of the collapse of European colonialism.
And why would I be a "social science playa hata," or whatever Ricksian terminology you're borrowing from his blog? I happen to think the social sciences are very important in analyzing conflict. At the moment, I'm waiting for Exum to discover the Naxalites.
Good presentation. Its a
Good presentation. Its a shame that some people try to over analyse the message by using over exaggerated academic terminology...yes, ADTS thats you... Davids message is rather simplistic, but well enunciated. Instead of using the full military might to seek and destroy a common enemy, try using community based projects to ehance the way of life for those areas affected by the warfare, by empowering local businesses. Engage in a warfare program that effectively encourages informational exchanges at local level which will evolve into desicive action against an indentified enemy. If you examine the history of Australian's at war, they have had the knack of doing exactly that in every operation they have ever been part of.
Regards,
An old grunt.
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