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Echoes of domino theory

Not to be outdone by AM on the traveling front, Londonstani has spent the best part of 24 hours on planes flying around the Middle East. And, the one good thing about travelling economy class on Emirates air are all the free English and Arabic newspapers.

The Taliban attacks on ISAF forces in Nuristan made for the top story in every single title. The story seems like a pretty straight forward affair, but hidden in its coverage is clue to how the Afghan conflict is being seen within the Muslim world.

Wire stories are a nuts and bolts write-by-numbers affair with strict rules on news judgement, impartiality and grammar which aim to ensure the finished written product adheres to the ethos of the organisation and varies little from individual writer to writer. Newspapers then later reprint these stories. Often the only changes they make are to cut out the final paragraphs of background or re-write the headline.

With that in mind, the original Reuters story on the Nuristan attack has the title; Eight U.S. soldiers killed in east Afghan battle. The same story in the Gulf News is; US troops beaten back. AFP's original story has the headline; Eight US troops die in one of worst Afghan battles. The Gulf news runs with; US suffers heavy losses in Taliban's daring attack.

Gulf News is a Dubai-based paper with a fairly neutral line towards the United States. Sitting in the middle of the central section of seats on the Emirates airbus squashed between a large Punjabi man and a nose picking spoilt Pakistani teenager visiting home after a stint working in the family business in Saudi, Londonstani was not in a position to conduct a media study, but the Arabic newspapers had similar headlines. It would been instructive to look at other newspapers from across the region and monitor the op-eds which will appear in the next couple of days. (This is something embassies do, right?)

The public in ISAF contributing nations are exposed to media stories that highlight the sacrifices of their own country's troops and the general evilness of the enemy. But what we don't see is how the conflict is being viewed abroad. But it is vital strategists are aware of perception in the region when they consider the implications of future strategy decisions.

There is little point denying that the Taliban (whether in Afghanistan or Pakistan) get much popularity for just fighting toe to toe against Western, and particularly American and British, troops. One of the new realities on the ground engendered by the last eight years of conflict is that local militias in the Muslim world attract respect and therefore support just by taking on Western forces. This respect, particularly when it comes from people who live far away from the theatre of conflict, translates into financial support. Many of these groups now have a strong motivation to turn "internationalist" where once they would have been local. Most readers here are aware of the talks between US and Taliban officials held in the US before 9/11. Once, it seemed the Taliban might develop a Saudi-like US client state. Not any more.

In Londonstani's own opinion, the invasion and occupation of Afghanistan was misguided. But now it's done, it needs to be done right. "Leaving them to it" is morally dubious after a botched occupation that returned a bunch of gangsters to power. Not to mention the years of bloody service Afghanistan provided to the West in its cold war struggle against the Warsaw pact countries. But also, in the same way the Palestinians' use of suicide attacks sanctified their adoption by al Qaeda, what happens in Afghanistan will have an effect in the future. It's only the exact form of that impact that's not clear.

Afghanistan, Strategy, UK, US

4 comments

"One of the new realities on

"One of the new realities on the ground engendered by the last eight years of conflict is that local militias in the Muslim world attract respect and therefore support just by taking on Western. "

Its not as much that they see local militias "taking on the West" its more like they see them defending, with various degrees of succes against US agression. The vast majority of people in Europe and increasing majorities in the US, are strongly opposed to the US operation in Afghanistan. So in Muslim eyes, the US war in Afghanistan is essentially US agression or imperialism which the Taliban are defending their homeland against.

"Taking on" implies an offensive posture. In local Muslim eyes, the Taliban isn't taking on anyone but defenging against a superior occupying foreign army. of course, they have tons of sympathy in the muslim wolrd

yes, this is true. But the

yes, this is true. But the "taking on" stands in respect to the idea of establishing honour and self respect in the face of long-standing aggression. Also, we are at the point where Western, particularly UK and US, intentions are so mistrusted by even the most liberal sections of society in the Muslim world that there is much sympathy for the idea that offensive action is legitimate defense in the context of previous Western actions. The idea that "they only stand force" works both ways.

Ummm....I know Londonstani

Ummm....I know Londonstani has his feet on the ground...but ummm.....how exactly does us going to work with no thought of Afghanistan then suddenly being blown to living Hell on 9/11 out of the Blue fit in with the "aggression" narrative?

I mean you can only swallow the Truther/Zionists did it crap for so long....or perhaps forever.

I can understand the aggression narrative in regards to Iraq (although I don't agree). But Afghanistan?

The Germans had a better case entering WWII. They had been screwed at Versailles and invaded Poland to grab land that had indeed been filched from them (which is not to justify, but it makes more sense).

You wanted the Jihad. Here it is. Stop the whining.

الكلبات. أنين مثل الكلبات.

بك المرأة أكثر من الرجل أنت.

And if you didn't like Bush, wait till you see what replaces his most serene Majesty Hussein the First. I don't know who it will be, but it won't be an apologist, or a Liberal.

Perceptions. Only DC and the transatlantic elites would care. It's not a popularity contest. Anyone who doesn't understand why we attacked Afghanistan no doubt believes in UFO's, the Troofers, The Birthers, Lydon La Rouche and that they will get 72 virgins if they blow themselves up is not reachable, redeemable or worth the trouble.

Then there's the effect of slanted news on ignorant, indoctrinated people even when they know they can't trust the source. Just look at our recent Presidential elections.

Two thoughts: 1. When 200

Two thoughts:

1. When 200 or more of the local and nearby people show up to take you on, then it might be entirely improper to think of these groups as "the Taliban." These significant groups that are attacking you might simply be "the people" who, collectively, and without official and specific Taliban affiliation, leadership, selection, training and sanction, have determined, on their own, that is time to tell you to go home.

2. Likewise it may now be entirely improper and/or outdated to think of and call such significant groups as "insurgents," as they may simply be fellow members of local communities and tribes, who have banded together to rid themselves of a foreign presence. In such an instance, they may not be fighting "for" or "against" the Karzai government at all; but, instead, simply be fighting against the foreigners.

In such a circumstance, when one finds oneself fighting against -- not "the Taliban" per se and and not "the insurgents" per se -- then what does one to do then?

Is this where we are in Afghanistan today?

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