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Back in Pakistan

I just got back to Pakistan after a two month stay back in London that was initially only supposed to last two weeks.

I've been catching up on the stack of newspapers that greeted me on my return. Not to mention the dust, cockroaches and dodgy plumbing. With me is Ms. Londonstani, also known as Ms Henley-on-Thames, who is whipping things into shape with fearsome efficiency.

The two biggest events while I've been away have been the attacks in Lahore and Mohmand. The Lahore attack did receive substantial coverage in the Western press, however Mohmand, in most hardcopy newspapers, was buried around page eight. And mostly consisted of reprinted wire copy. I suspect the issue in editorial meetings across the world is how to "refresh" the Pakistan story. How to take it beyond a list of attacks on places with funny names, where the only thing that seems to differ is the number of dead.

I'll be doing some more in-depth analysis of events over the coming weeks. In the meantime, during my reading-in this morning a couple of things caught my eye.

From a very interesting NYT article about US military training Pakistani army people: "The scouts face a battle-hardened enemy that has lived in the mountains around here for decades. "We've been here one-and-a-half years," said Col. Ahsan Raza, the training center's commandant. "They have been preparing for the last 20 years.

I might be wrong about this.. rather, Wikipedia might be wrong about this.. but haven't the Frontier Corps been hanging out in the mountains since 1907?

NYT has had a brilliant series of articles getting to the bottom of the conundrum facing Pakistan-Western relations - namely Pakistani mistrust of US intentions. And yes, Pakistani-Western relations rather than Pakistani-US relations, since the view of the US transfers to the West in general. Which is great...if you are al-Qaeda. I met a former Pakistani law maker from the opposition party. As a young man he had worked in the UK, gotten married there, lived there a good number of years. He was convinced the US wanted to see the break up of Pakistan and was probably sponsoring the Taliban. Did he think the UK was working for the same goal? "The UK is working to America's plan. It's not their aim to break-up Pakistan, but it is their aim to further their relationship with the United States," he said.

Going back to the NYT article, this last one by Jane Perlez and Eric Schmitt shows what such views translate to when the two "allies" try to work together.

"Pakistan also restricts the number of American trainers throughout the country to no more than about 120 Special Operations personnel, fearful of being identified too closely with the unpopular United States - even though the Americans reimburse Pakistan more than $1 billion a year for its military operations in the border areas."

"...the American-led war in Afghanistan and its continuing campaign of drone strikes in Pakistan's tribal areas have made the United States suspect at all levels of the military, and among the Pakistani population, as anti-Americanism has hit new heights."

It seems to me that without addressing the image problem, all other Western efforts in Pakistan are in trouble. The drone strikes are no more than a convenient tool when all your other options have been blunted. But in the final analysis, they only serve to stuff the future for the sake of "doing something" in the present.

Pakistan, terrorism, attacks

21 comments

boring.

boring.

Why do they think the US

Why do they think the US would want to break up Pakistan? It's not like we have some emotional investment in creating Pashtunistan, or the like.

Brett and others, For

Brett and others,

For reasons complex Pakistanis IMHO often prefer to blame anyone but themselves for their predicament and Kashmiri's prefer to "sit on the fence" until pushed off. So 'breaking up' Pakistan is blamed on the USA and others. Add in the view of the fundamentalist - who remain a vocal minority - you'd think everyone was against Pakistan. If Pakistan collectively considered reality it would be scary. Sadly politicians and the Army have failed Pakistan - something that was mentioned at the end of the Musharraf regime.

I do wonder if the Pakistani public were aware how much US$ was being poured into their military mainly and elsewhere they would still have such views.

Because many people in

Because many people in Pakistan think a large Pakistan equals a strong Pakistan. And a strong Pakistan, which has nuclear weapons, a stable economy, national unity etc, is a threat to Israel. Therefore, the United States has a vested interest in keeping Pakistan low. As everyone "knows", the United States went to war against Iraq for Israel's security.. oh, and oil. And before you ask; nope, no one reads articles from US outlets about the trials and tribulations in US-Israeli relations etc etc. The local media, as in many other places, feed people what they think they want to hear. So that's more conspiracy theories.

Thanks @davidbfpo, a more

Thanks @davidbfpo, a more nuanced reading of the situation than mine. Interesting idea re. Pakistanis learning about scale of US assistance. i could be wrong, but I reckon much of the public would think it was kick backs paid to corrupt officials to subvert Pakistan's progress and use its energy and resources for endeavors that were of more use to large powers than Pakistanis themselves. For a popular take on this theme check out: (who i have blogged about before) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zaid_Hamid As for the "higher ups", they seem to think the money Pakistan gets is "small change" for the country's service to Western interests in the cold war and the post 9/11 world. (There are various youtube videos of various Pakistani minister saying this in Urdu that attest to this.)

the presence of

the presence of Blackwater/Xe is gasoline on the conspiracy fires.
The smart thing would be to get rid of the contractors.
oh and also declare a truce on the Global War on al-Islam.
The natives are not buying that just you want to help them, Big White Christian Bwana.

Congrats to the new couple

Congrats to the new couple !

The image issue is a symptom of certain ideology. Outsiders criticizing it are viewed with even more suspicion and there aren't any domestic actors strong enough do the job themselves. That leaves US with few options, get out before shit hits the fan or start cracking the whip.

The drones are the only

The drones are the only useful tool in play. We're not going to change anyone's minds.

And here my worry about

And here my worry about drone strikes in Pakistan was that they were guided by intelligence from Pakistani sources, and directed at targets primarily active in the insurgency against the Pakistani government -- in other words at their enemies, not at our enemies. Glad to know that isn't true at all, and that the Pakistani security services have no interest whatsoever in encouraging Pakistanis to blame their country's problems on someone else.

AM, can you please ban

AM, can you please ban Rabi'a from your blog, she's taken up space.

Put nukes on the fucking

Put nukes on the fucking drones. You would see things get quite calm then.

Only catastrophic defeat and humiliation convinced the Germans and the Japanese that they had indeed lost. Do we need to do this to Pakistan as a nation? Let's hope not. Wars are not just fought of course by nations. So perhaps we need to strike very hard at the groups attacking us from within Pakistan.

And if their treachery is real, the ISI and Taliban sympathizing institutions.

I know my people in America well. If something happens to rouse them to rage again...it will just happen. And this is not a Mayor or Commander in Chief that can say "No" to them on the question of terrible retribution. He doesn't have the cred.

I'll gladly go Visitor

I'll gladly go Visitor 740.
You just need to refute my argument that COIN cannot work as structured.
;)

Rabi'a: Don't go anywhere.

Rabi'a:
Don't go anywhere. Just evolve your arguments. You keep repeating yourself. You will never get the last word or a refutation of your arguments. Just refine then as circumstances change.

Speaking of drones, SciAm

Speaking of drones,
SciAm has a couple of videos about ground robots - UGVs

The first 50 secs or so of both Part 1 and 2 are the same.

There's also an item about a marine robot called Seaglider, and an avatar demonstration.

SNLI I was a Marine enlisted

SNLI I was a Marine enlisted man if I remember correctly. But I thought later he was an Army O-5. Anyone know Cline's rank in the ARNG?
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