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Incorporating Direct Action Special Operations into COIN (Updated)
An American friend from the Middle East who has recently spent time covering the war in Afghanistan had the same question I did upon reading this article in the New York Times: "How can my colleagues not understand that COIN involves killing?"
First off, I note this article was not written by Thom Shanker and Eric Schmitt, both of whom have reported extensively on U.S. special operations in Afghanistan and Iraq for the New York Times and who are writing a book together on the subject. Second, direct-action special operations played an integral and well-documented role in U.S. counterinsurgency operations in Iraq during the Baghdad security operations of 2007. They are most effective, in fact, when incorporated into a larger operational framework such as counterinsurgency. I wrote a short piece on the false dichotomy between "COIN" and "CT" for this blog's responsible cousins at the Small Wars Journal last year. Click here (.pdf) to read it. Because I was shaking my head as vigorously as anyone else as I read that article this past weekend.
Update: This Doonesbury cartoon does a nice job of illustrating the balance between the kinetic and non-kinetic.
"We can't win without
"We can't win without fighting, but we also cannot kill or capture our way to victory." This from General Petraeus' just released COIN guidance. I think this statement sums up the COIN/CT question quite succinctly.
Why can't we kill our way to
Why can't we kill our way to victory? And if we can't what are all the raids about? Do we think that we can kill X % of the enemy leadership but not enough to make them quit? What percentage is required?
Is it possible that the downplaying of the possibility of military victory is just the generals covering themselves for posterity?
COIN always has a DA (CT) part. The difference between the schools of thought on Afghanistan isn't the CT part it's the armed nation building part. That's the expensive bit and the one that requires all the extra troops. It's also the part for which there is no evidence of success. Plot numbers of NATO troops, civilian casualties, dollars spent on development and ANSF and violent incidents and they all track upward almost in sync.
Your previous post bemoaned
Your previous post bemoaned the lack of "objective" journalism. Thom Shanker is a perfect example of such journalism as stenography, never subjecting the lies of his sources to critical analysis, no matter how stupid. You mentioned Thom's working on a book on special operations. He spent a month as a "writer-in-residence" last November at CNAS working on that book. A little payback for his 5-26-09 article "exonerating" Gen. McChrystal of all wrong-doing in the Tillman case?
My personal encounter with him last year is detailed in "Lies ... Borne Out by Facts, If Not the Truth" at http://www.feralfirefighter.blogspot.com
"Based on the American
"Based on the American military experience in Iraq as well as Afghanistan, it is not clear that killing enemy fighters is sufficient by itself to cripple an insurgency."
You are shaking your head in disbelief a lot this week. Progressives don't believe Western societies can fight a war justly. You might find that these people were never the friends of patriots, which you are.
Now whatever pet cause they've adopted is different. They can do no wrong, just as we can do no right.
I have become increasingly
I have become increasingly convinced that mainstream media will invent news stories out of thin air to support their predetermined narrative (in this case of our inevitable and impending defeat in Afghanistan) rather than actually bother to report the news... which would lead to an entirely different narrative altogether in this case. This tendency is obvious and egregious across the ideological spectrum, as the above NYT article shows.
Is there one single piece of actual news driving this piece?
"How can my colleagues not
"How can my colleagues not understand that COIN involves killing?"
"How can my husband be cheating on me?" Girl, you married a dog. It ain't like no one told you.
COIN is the product of this
COIN is the product of this screwed up, Reagan-Frankfort School contradictory ideology that America operates on, in which social niceties demand that we can kill or screw over people, but heaven forbid we insult their way of life. I think the sheer hypocrisy of it all explains the explosion of internet-based information exchanges that so disturbs Cass Sunstein and other polite people.
Lord High Sockpuppet, you
Lord High Sockpuppet, you really should study British counterinsurgency campaigns in Mesopotamia in the 1920s, or French counterinsurgency campaigns in North Africa in the 1950s, or German counterinsurgency campaigns in France in the 1940s, before making such claims.
Notice what all those efforts had in common? Eventual failure. That's why proponents of COIN are disturbed by history - oh, but don't worry, this time they'll get it right... snicker.
COIN is in fact a substitute for altering U.S. foreign policy along the lines suggested by FDR near the end of World War II, when he urged support for national independence movements and self-determination, pointing out that the U.S. could develop new long-term allies that way. His approach, his most successful approach, was to the Saudi King, Ibn Saud, to whom he made a gift of his wheelchair.
FDR would never have gone the Truman route - Truman was the guy most responsible for initiating the Cold War, the guy who dropped atomic bombs on Japan when a simple blockade would have done the trick within a few months, and the guy who got in bed with ex-Nazi financiers like the Harrimans - and thus the Cold War was born, and the military-industrial piggery was allowed to continue. Truman was a real piece of work - a child run by cynical war profiteers. He had that same giddiness that Bush Jr. demonstrated.
That's what Massood told the CIA in the 1990s - that their campaign to kill bin Laden would have very little effect on the overall situation, as OBL has numerous lieutenants. All it would do would cement his status as a martyr, and if the U.S. wanted to undermine his support, they'd have to change their policies in the region. You think the State Department and the Pentagon and Congress wanted to hear that? Seriously not.
Hence they gave $43 million in aid to the Taliban in 2000-2001, and zilch to Massood, who ended up assassinated by OBL operatives.
Yes, our leaders are jackasses run by greedy Wall Street interests - but hey, BP's got Rumaila, so it was all worth it!
In fact, I'm pretty sure
In fact, I'm pretty sure that the only time counterinsurgency has ever been effective is when there is a legitimate government of some kind that enjoys at least a majority of public support. Hence, Pakistani counterinsurgency efforts against Pakistani radicals have a chance - U.S. COIN efforts against Afghani radicals seem to have a much lower chance of success, as the Kabul government is widely seen as corrupt and/or illegitimate in some cases...
Without that, genocidal population reduction can "work" to help one achieve political objectives, but that's not COIN - is it? For example, when Turkey drove the Armenians into the desert in the hundreds of thousands to die of thirst (and then be buried in mass graves) - well, it "worked" for the Turkish authorities but it wasn't COIN, was it?
If we were less hypocritical, than we would refer to "justifiable insurgencies" (such as the American revolution against British colonial rule) and "unjustifiable insurgencies" (such as efforts by radicals to overthrow a duly elected government by military force). In this view, even a military coup is a form of insurgency, and in some cases (rule by dictator) it is justifiable, while in others (a democratic country) it is not.
This kind of straightforward, hypocrisy-free definition of "insurgency" is somewhat anathema to U.S. policy wonks, however. Some of our actions start looking quite unjustifiable under those circumstances. . . .not all, just some.
In fact, I'm pretty sure
In fact, I'm pretty sure that the only time counterinsurgency has ever been effective is when there is a legitimate government of some kind that enjoys at least a majority of public support.
GD, you're an ignorant fool.
You know, just the other day
You know, just the other day I was planning my grand tour of the French Empire.
Plus ca change, plus c'est
Plus ca change, plus c'est la meme chose.
If we were less
If we were less hypocritical, than we would refer to "justifiable insurgencies" (such as the American revolution against British colonial rule) and "unjustifiable insurgencies" (such as efforts by radicals to overthrow a duly elected government by military force).
ROFLMAO!!! You do realize that the view from London in the 1770s was that what was happening in North America was PRECISELY what you define as an "unjustifiable insurgency" - i.e., efforts by radicals to overthrow a duly elected government by military force???
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