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From an anonymous Pakistani official:
[You] can’t have us as your ally and treat us as your adversary at the same time.
It would be a lot easier to trust the ISI if our own intelligence services were not able to so easily demonstrate that Pakistan's intelligence services have been aiding insurgent groups targeting U.S. and allied troops in Afghanistan while at the same time helping the United States target al-Qaeda and those insurgent groups which threaten Pakistani sovereignty.
As relations between the U.S. and Pakistani intelligence services deteriorate, and Pakistani leaders attempt to use the leverage they have over us to reduce the activities of our intelligence services, I hope U.S. officials remember we have a considerable amount of leverage over our Pakistani allies as well. My advice to U.S. policy makers here would be to stay calm, to take an inventory of all the ways we have leverage over our friends in Islamabad, and to not be afraid to call the Pakistani bluff. We are going to have a long-term relationship with Pakistan going forward, even after the 2014 transition in Afghanistan, and I suspect the Pakistani security services feel the most recent Raymond Davis fiasco gives them an opportunity to redefine the nature of U.S. aid and activities in Pakistan to their advantage. I'm not sure it should.
I've never had so much love
I've never had so much love for anonymous Pakistani officials. (If only he'd been around for the Korean War, or even just Vietnam - we could have nipped this whole "frenemy" thing in the bud.)
So when does the bombing begin? Or perhaps we could just sit back, pop a cold one and let India do the work...
How about Joint Air/Sea and
How about Joint Air/Sea and especially Land Forces maneuver exercises with India, and some nice juicy joint technology transfers and development, say in the Surface to Air Defenses and cruise missile markets with India for starters?
In fact let's base some of our Missile Defense Shield assets in India - just worried about Iran of course - with of course mutual protection for Indian territory as part of the bargain.
We could have a nice speech by Gates on how the Modern Indian Army has yet to lose a war or major campaign since WW2, and some diplomatic pushes to resolve the border of Kashmir in India's favor as well.
We have more blood feud with these Assholes than we do al-Saud in many ways, if we could admit to either.
“We need to know who is in
“We need to know who is in Pakistan doing what"
I agree, we do! That is, "we" (America) need to know who (Taliban and al Qaeda) is in Pakistan doing what -- and with assistance from which elements of the Pakistani government.
"Pakistani officials have expressed alarm over the scope of the CIA’s presence inside their country"
Whereas, the scope of the Taliban and al Qaeda presence inside their country is a matter of blissful unconcern!
"We are going to have a long-term relationship with Pakistan going forward, even after the 2014 transition in Afghanistan"
After that "transition", when the ISI turns their Taliban creatures loose in Afghanistan, can we stop pretending that Pakistan is an ally and treat them straightforwardly as an enemy? That would be a much healthier "long-term relationship" than the one we have now.
I hope U.S. officials
I hope U.S. officials remember we have a considerable amount of leverage over our Pakistani allies as well. My advice to U.S. policy makers here would be to stay calm, to take an inventory of all the ways we have leverage over our friends in Islamabad, and to not be afraid to call the Pakistani bluff.
I'm not sure you're wrong here, but the beginnings of an at least hypothetical list might be instructive. Here's what I've got:
1. Military and development aid
2. Ability and willingness to target enemies of PK mil and government with U.S. military and intelligence assets
3. ???
That's about it, so far as I can tell.
We can, actually. The
We can, actually.
The Pakistani security services have a strong interest in preventing terrorist groups from killing large numbers of Pakistanis -- especially members of the Pakistani security services -- or letting them get so powerful that they compromise the security services' dominant position within Pakistan's society and government. The United States shares this interest.
The Pakistani security services also have a fixed policy of using their country as a base of operations in a geopolitical rivalry with Pakistan's vastly larger, vastly richer, and vastly better-governed neighbor India. This policy includes sponsorship of Islamist terrorist groups, and has for years. It is a policy that makes perfect sense in the context of the Pakistani security services' determination to maintain their status (and funding) within Pakistan. With respect to the interests of the Pakistani nation as a whole the policy is completely idiotic, without a single redeeming feature, and of course utterly contrary to the interests of the United States. This would be true, incidentally, even if Pakistani-sponsored terrorist groups were not attacking American and NATO forces and their Afghan allies in Afghanistan.
Because they are, the Islamist terror groups and their Pakistani sponsors have us over a barrel -- or rather, the Bush and Obama administrations put themselves over a barrel made in Pakistan. At the moment, and for several years past, we've put ourselves through this elaborate charade of treating Pakistan's civilian government as if it were the real government in public. In private, we deal with the security services as if they were the real government. We treat both as American allies, attack targets in Pakistan using intelligence provided by Pakistani sources, and then stand mute as both civilian leaders and sources within the Pakistani security services blame the United States for the resulting casualties, and complain that America does not respect Pakistan or trust them.
The Pakistani security services are now trying to use the Davis affair as leverage to reduce the number of American intelligence operatives in the country, and increase American dependency on sources the Pakistani security services can control. Maybe this gambit works, maybe it doesn't. The question is how much longer the Obama administration is going to allow itself to get played by these people. At least until 2014, if it were up to Gen. Petraeus (and AM), apparently. This is at least an answer, though not a very good one.
"[You] can’t have us as your
"[You] can’t have us as your ally and treat us as your adversary at the same time."
Neither can you Pakistan. Has anybody on the US side bothered to explain this to Pakistan? Granting that pointing out the blatant hypocrisy will not change a damn thing, perhaps the first step in assuming guidance of the IO war is firing a shot instead of hiding behind denials.
salaamu aleykum. You seem to
salaamu aleykum.
You seem to skip mention of the fact that the Paks also told the US to quit the droning.
what i truly do not understand is how killing civilians with drones and chopper fire, burning Qurans, holding Draw Muhammed Day and American troops committing atrocities and taking human trophies is going to do accomplish anything but make more islamic terrorists.
This strategy is not ever going to result in liberal democracy in either Kabul or Islamabad.
And we are spending three billion dollars per month to make more more islamic terrorists? non?
That is 100 million dollars a day.
incroyable.
How sweet that you have read the classics, Andrew. The classical mind is very different from the modern mind, did you know?
I wonder if you might have also have read the Brothers Karamazov in perhaps a russian lit class.
I have always wondered if you are Ivan or Ilyosha,
So Islamic terrorists bear no
So Islamic terrorists bear no responsibility for their actions? We, the US, drove them to do whatever it is that they do? The US should expect nothing less because we stirred the hornet's nest?
Pakistan told the US to stop the drone strikes? Sure. A couple of days ago. And a few weeks ago they were thanking the US for killing someone that they wanted dead. While the US often speaks from both sides of its mouth Pakistan has been doing that as well. And rarely is this pointed out to Pakistanis. The US population hears it all the time, reporters, blogs, whatnot. Loads of people make their living by listing what the US government is doing wrong. How many people in Pakistan earn a living pointing out what is wrong with Pakistani internal politics? I am sure you can come up with a few, but a hand-full of people scratching out a living while waiting for the sword to fall is not exactly the same.
How much of that $100 million a day directly feeds the Pakistan economy? Don't like the Quran burning and Draw Mohammed Days? Stop taking US money. Close the ground supply lines, stop accepting US foreign aid, and tell the US that as a nation Pakistan cannot deal with another nation that allows its citizens to do these things.
Yes, the US is often guilty of hypocritical acts. And the US often tries to fix these things. Do we do it well? Meh, sometimes. Not the point. How is Pakistan even remotely close in actions? Sure, lots of words. Little to no actions to back up those words. The whole argument that Pakistan asked the US to stop drone strikes is a bullshit argument. If the Pakistan leadership really wanted that to happen they would take actions ensuring that the strikes would stop. They will not take those actions therefore they do not care enough to ensure that the drone strikes stop.
Our relationship with
Our relationship with Pakistan seems to put a twist on Machiavelli’s admonition to keep your friends close and your enemies closer.
While the Pakistani’s are playing “hedge our bets” with the various groups in their western area of interest perhaps we should start more publicly strengthening our ties with India, who at least has proven to be less of a turncoat nation in its dealings with the US.
The next step would be to sever a significant portion of our aid to Pakistan. Yes, the handwringers would lament that by doing so we jeopardize the Pakistani nuclear arsenal and there is the potential that “extremists” would acquire them. If that were to happen, just what do you think India’s response would be? India already considers Pakistan as it stands today as a threat.
We should stop throwing taxpayer dollars at a country whose ingratitude seems to grow daily.
Staffguy What is the mission
Staffguy
What is the mission again?
Staffguy Don't like the Quran
Staffguy
Don't like the Quran burning and Draw Mohammed Days? Stop taking US money.
dude.....we went over there.
have you forgotten?
"What is the mission again?"
"What is the mission again?" No damn idea. I can guess just like everyone else, but at the end of the day the guidance is rather fuzzy and the objectives are unclear. Dress it up how you like but the situation remains the same. Barring clear objectives from national command it will remain the same.
"have you forgotten?" No. US actions regardless, my point remains valid. Yes, the US has engaged in questionable actions, drone strikes etc. And one can toss out the term "war crimes" all one likes. Yes, US forces have done some shitty stuff. This changes nothing.
Pakistan's actions are not excused by a couple of Quran burnings and the occasional crime committed by some piece of US forces. The bottom line is that Pakistan wants US funding and technology. The Pakistani government also wants to demonize the US in order to maintain what public support they have. That is wanting, and having, it both ways. By and large the US tends toward supporting more free and open societies. Pakistan holds one hand open waiting for a US handout and the other hand is a closed fist. I would suggest that their actions are worse than our actions. Their open hand supports and encourages our drone strikes, the same ones that they decry. Too much hypocrisy.
Read my last line above again. It is the actions that count. Sure, a couple of people in the US burned a Quran - something they are free to do. It is not like the US government outlawed Islam or the Quran. Isolated people that did something legal in the US. In Mazar-e Shareef a crowd was instigated resulting in deaths. These actions are nowhere close to synonymous. You US is not responsible for the world's reactions. Yes, the US can improve, often significantly and we should continue to strive to improve. But we are not improving if we restrict our actions based on what someone might do. The people in Pakistan and Afghanistan have the ability to choose, the fact that they choose to pursue the violent route at times should not be laid at the feet of the US.
The bottom line is that
The bottom line is that Pakistan wants US funding and technology.
Pakistan ISI is also diverting american dollars to the Taliban. Don't you read Wikileaks?
The Taliban are the crocodiles in the moat that prevents Pakistan from getting their very own OEF.
You don't think not knowing the mission is part of the problem?
We are spending 100 million dollars a day to make more Taliban and more islamic terrorists in an unhustified, immoral, and UNWINNABLE war.
justified, pardon. Staff guy,
justified, pardon.
Staff guy, do you know what Terry Jones did? He yelled fire in a crowded theater three blacks away from his nice safe freedom of speech house.
Religion is symbolic.
Jones was symbolically burning all of Islam when he burned the Quran. The Afghanis just responded by symbolically killing crusaders.
Pakistan wants US money and
Pakistan wants US money and technology and it also wants, at the same time, to pillory the US to their home constituency in order to maintain political power. All I am saying is that Pakistan telling the US not to treat them as ally and adversary at the same time is exactly what Pakistan is doing with the US. Both parties are doing the same thing. Is this some giant international game of chicken? (and there is an argument that all international relations is just that) Neither the US nor Pakistan is going to reach useful goals if the situation does not change and no parties capable of executing change seem to want to change anything. Untenable.
Yes, religion is symbolic. So what. The people in MeS that did some killing did not "symbolically" kill anyone, they really killed some folks. Symbolism is all well and good until someone loses an eye - or their life. Symbolism does not excuse socially unacceptable actions. And the bullshit that Terry Jones knew what would happen is exactly a bullshit excuse. There is no reason one should expect a society to react to the burning of a book with murder. Yes, it happens and we know it happens. Saying that their reaction is acceptable though just excuses it, that is tantamount to saying that the Afghans, or whomever, are incapable of thinking through their actions and that is bullshit. There were protests against the Quran burning in Herat, peaceful protests where the local police maintained civil order. There were some good sized crowds marching the streets, but they did not attack a UN, or other, compound. They did not kill anyone. Why? Because they controlled themselves. The same could have occurred in MeS but those that did the killing, for whatever reason, chose to go the extreme violence route. Acknowledgment of killing as an acceptable reaction - and that is what one does when blaming Terry Jones, et al - is an overt statement that one does not expect civil societal interaction of Afghans.
Afghan and Pakistani societies are perfectly capable of reacting to negative stimuli in a civil manner. That they choose not to at times does cannot be excused. Specifically, I reject the idea that blame can be placed on the instigator. This does nothing but relieve the actor of responsibility for his/her own actions. If you piss me off and I put my fist through a wall and break some bones is that action your fault? Or my own for failing to control myself? Similar concept extended to a society.
"Acknowledgment of killing as
"Acknowledgment of killing as an acceptable reaction - and that is what one does when blaming Terry Jones, et al - is an overt statement that one does not expect civil societal interaction of Afghans."
lol. islamic terrorism is a reflex against the US proselytizing missionary democracy and propping tyrants and fighting proxy wars in MENA.
Want to stop islamic terrorism?
GTFO Big White Christian Bwana.
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