Abu Muqawama retains its autonomy and the views and beliefs expressed within the blog do not reflect those of CNAS. Abu Muqawama retains the right to delete comments that include words that incite violence; are predatory, hateful, or intended to intimidate or harass; or degrade people on the basis of gender, race, class, ethnicity, national origin, religion, sexual orientation, or disability. In summary, don't be a jerk.
Today is the 67th anniversary of "Goddammit, Rangers, Lead the Way." If you are able, and especially if you are a youngish man thinking of trying your hand at Rangering, watch the first 25 minutes or so of Saving Private Ryan today. All of the rest of you should at least raise a glass for the Boys of Pointe-du-Hoc and all the other men who fought that day in Normandy. (And boy, think whatever you wish of Ronald Reagan, but the "Boys of Pointe-du-Hoc" speech is incredible.)
***
As far as yesterday's fighting in the (occupied) Golan is considered, let me just say this, speaking as someone whose own research on the fighting in southern Lebanon is highly critical of the Israeli Defense Force and who has never been hesitant to criticize anyone's military forces (including my own) when they deserve it: You can have whatever opinions you wish to have about Israeli policy or the plight of the Palestinians, but if the IDF units did in fact employ escalation of force as is currently being described, starting with non-lethal means and then proceeding to lethal force, you can't ask any more of them tactically and operationally. That will infuriate some of you unable to divorce consideration of tactics and operations from the strategies and policies they serve, but there it is.
(Considering both Israel's leaders and Syria's leaders might want Bashar al-Asad to stick around for a while longer, a friend in Beirut only half-jokingly suggested yesterday's events were staged on both sides to take the attention off the crimes of the al-Asad regime against its own people.)
***
I'll be traveling internationally for the next few days and will likely not be blogging very much, if at all. On the flights, though, here's what I'll be reading:
1. The manuscript for Daveed Gartenstein-Ross's new book.
2. Kissinger's On China. People who actually know a lot about China and know better books about China might make fun of me for this, but I know next to nothing about China and figured it might be a good time to learn something.
3. Bob Kaplan's forthcoming essay for the National Interest on John Stuart Mill and the Arab Spring. (Bob was kind enough to slip me a copy last week at the CNAS conference.)
***
Speaking of the annual CNAS conference, if you did not attend, you can still watch a stellar conversation about Afghanistan and Pakistan moderated by Rajiv Chandrasekaran and featuring LTG (Ret.) Dave Barno, Amb. Anne Patterson, Steve Coll and Bing West on C-SPAN online. The five discuss, among other things, this report (.pdf) I co-authored.
You can also watch, here, the panel on internet freedom and the Arabic-speaking world for which I served as the jester. Shadi Hamid and Richard Fontaine were both excellent, and Colin Kahl, as the panel went on and as he veered off the script, just starting owning it. Highly entertaining.
Andrew, you write:
Andrew, you write: "Considering both Israel's leaders and Syria's leaders might want Bashar al-Asad to stick around for a while longer...."
I understand that's the generally held view, but I was wondering why the Israeli government would necessarily want Assad to survive? Doesn't he support Israel's two greatest enemies: Iran and Hezbollah? Doesn't he host Hamas's leadership in Damascus? Wasn't he building a nuclear plant with N. Korean help? And isn't he trying to provoke Israeli military action on his border, using Palestinian lives as cannon fodder? I don't see why the Israelis wouldn't welcome his downfall, especially if it hurts Iran and Hezbollah? This is not meant to be a rhetorical question. I truly am asking, because I don't know enough to be able to answer the question. Of course, I realize there is the notion that the alternative would be worse (i.e. the devil you don't know), but it seems like the devil they know is already bad enough. Why wouldn't the alternative be worth the risk? I was hoping you could evaluate the case, since you actually know stuff about Syria and Lebanon!
Well Andrew the real story of
Well Andrew the real story of the famous and mythical quote "Goddammit, Rangers, lead the way" uttered by one of the finest tactical generals in american military history--Dutch Cota--was probably said to them in mocking terms since it was Cota standing up on the beach as he walked up to the rangers hunkering down against the sea wall for protection, unable to move. You see Cota as ADC of the 29th Division had sort of a disagreement with the idea of creating these "specially trained" units like the Rangers because they drew much good men and resources from his line outfits. So it is quite possible that when the great Dutch said this it was mockingly so in that he was probably thinking, "yeah this is what all of that special training and resources has gotten us." And I also would imagine that the comma should be removed after "Goddammit" to get the point of Cota correctly. If the comma is removed, it changes the entire context of the quote.
This is not to take away from the bravery and resolve of the smaller batch of rangers who crawled up the cliffs of pointe du hoe, but to get at the accuracy of the situation on Omaha beach, of which Pointe Du Hoe was not part of.
gian
Andrew, although not strictly
Andrew, although not strictly related to this I would be interested to hear your thoughts on this programme aired in the UK these evening about JSOC in afghanistan. http://www.channel4.com/programmes/dispatches/4od not sure if this works in the US, fingers crossed.
As an Infantry officer myself, with experience in Helmand only admittedly , who provided support for the various "door kickers" we had with us on Panchai Palang I thought it came across as a bit biased, and focussed to much on the one incident. Although the part about the "reconcilables" as Gen Lamb called them in Iraq is very interesting. Coupled with the parts about CIA ops in Pakistan with the ANSF TFs. I'm amazed US OPSEC allowed half of this stuff to be broadcast.
Any Thoughts?
Being a firmly ground-based
Being a firmly ground-based life form (although COL Gentile would still classify me as a "crunchie"), I respect, and, in a grudging way, respect the ABN community. I know there's been a bit of a debate over the "greatest generation" title, but I know my Grandfathers were harder men than I'll ever be. In their honor:
"After the demise of the best Airborne plan, a most terrifying effect occurs on the battlefield. This effect is known as the rule of the LGOPs (Little Groups of Paratroopers). This is, in its purest form, small groups of pissed-off 19 year old American paratroopers. They are well-trained, armed to the teeth and lack serious adult supervision. They collectively remember the Commander's intent as "March to the sound of the guns and kill anyone who is not dressed like you..." or something like that. Happily they go about the day's work..."
*should read: "...I respect,
*should read: "...I respect, in a grudging way, the ABN community."
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Kissinger's book should
Kissinger's book should probably be called "On the Chinese State" since that is what it's mostly about. It's excellent background for anyone thinking about American foreign policy.
"I understand that's the
"I understand that's the generally held view, but I was wondering why the Israeli government would necessarily want Assad to survive? Doesn't he support Israel's two greatest enemies: Iran and Hezbollah? Doesn't he host Hamas's leadership in Damascus? Wasn't he building a nuclear plant with N. Korean help? And isn't he trying to provoke Israeli military action on his border, using Palestinian lives as cannon fodder? I don't see why the Israelis wouldn't welcome his downfall, especially if it hurts Iran and Hezbollah?"
The problem is that anyone who replaces Assad will not stop doing all this. Anyone who replaces Assad will do all of the above, squared and cubed. Whoever replaces Assad will not *use* Islamic nutcases, they will *be* Islamic nutcases. Thus, for Israel, Assad is the least-worst choice.
Can anyone explain the allure
Can anyone explain the allure of Bob Kaplan? He's like a smarter Tom Friedman, but not by much
http://www.vqronline.org/articles/2006/summer/bissell-euphoria-perrier/
Most people would agree with
Most people would agree with the statement that Hitler was an advocate of 'total war' and would have used whatever weapons he had at hand to block the cross-Channel invasion on D-Day.
This is simply not true. The reason most people don't recognize this is that there was never much publicity over Germany's advancements in chemical warfare development during the war years. They had discovered sarin and tabun, the organophosphate nerve gases, in the late 1930s and under great secrecy had developed massive stockpiles of these gases.
Why didn't they use them? The answer is that some of Hitler's underling called out for these stockpiles to be used, but Hitler refused, fearing retaliation against German cities. Indeed, in WWII, chemical weapons were heavily developed by both sides (the British and Americans lagging well behind the Germans) but the overwhelming fear was of chemical warfare attacks (via aircraft) on cities - the first example of mutual assured destruction.
Many claim that if Hitler had released sarin and tabun on the beaches, then the invasion would have failed - and this is true. However, the outcome of the war would not have changed, since then, in 1945, German cities would have been nuked, as Hiroshima and Nagasaki were (German nuclear programs had come to a grinding halt, due to Norwegian insurgencies supported by British SAS troops - see the bombing of Norsk Hydro, etc.).
Anyway, this has nothing to do with idiotic actions by poorly trained Israeli soldiers who shot into crowds of unarmed protesters, does it?
" You can have whatever
" You can have whatever opinions you wish to have about Israeli policy or the plight of the Palestinians, but if the IDF units did in fact employ escalation of force as is currently being described, starting with non-lethal means and then proceeding to lethal force, you can't ask any more of them tactically and operationally. That will infuriate some of you unable to divorce consideration of tactics and operations from the strategies and policies they serve, but there it is."
If one's opinion on strategies and policies is irrelevant and what is really important is their linkage to tactics and operations, why not use the same argument to support Assad's actions (for example?)
When it comes to I/P it is easier to just admit where your heart lies.
"He's like a smarter Tom
"He's like a smarter Tom Friedman, but not by much."
My cat is smarter than Tom Friedman. Only his lack of opposable thumbs holds him back from a career as a NYT columnist.
Please note also that the
Please note also that the Rangers who assaulted Pointe du Hoc were led by the man who was perhaps history's most influential Texas Aggie.
Does anyone know Ali Abdullah
Does anyone know Ali Abdullah Saleh's current condition?
I've heard he's suffered brain damage.
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Obama is having a party in
Obama is having a party in Washington......again.
Clinton is in Africa giving way money....... again.
US economy is going to shit, I wonder why. Two trillion in stimulus and it all should be working, there is something missing. What could it be?
2012 can not come fast enough.
Thanks for linking the Reagan
Thanks for linking the Reagan speech :)
(And, seeing the Twitter feed, I will add on thing about your previous diagnosis that there is too much aid to Afghanistan and the trajectory is unsustainable: yes. Yes of course. It's the same thing the UK and the US did years ago with Pakistan's military. Built it up to be too large so that it could be used as a proxy against the Soviets.
Oh, one more thing: we are making the same mistake again with the neighbor to the east. Civilian, military. Doesn't matter. Well, it does, but aid is fungible and it will be misused and they will continue to fund proxy groups after we are gone. I suppose you all hope they will confine themselves to the poor Afghans and Indians?)
Well, we all have our intellectual tics and hobby horses. One of mine is the inherently corrupting influence of Western development programs....
I like www.cnas.org ,
I like www.cnas.org , bookmarked for future reference
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Abu If you want to spend
Abu
If you want to spend reading time gathering overviews of China, I would recommend In Search of Modern China by Jonathan Spence. Thanks for blogging
I was reading this...
I was reading this... http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142405270230365740457636398417362069...
Suppose the above is noise to any Obama supporter or just fodder for an alternate reply. Americans should be asking themselves what is the direct connection between US stimulus, foreign policy, and the American economy. Has Obama really created long term economic growth that benefits Americans? Getting into the Republicans face, how do Trade Agreements directly benefit American workers? People that sell Trade Agreements do so with promises of increased jobs, hopefully in America which is never specified (we only get bullshit like, "it is not a net zero game" usually said by the person who will gain the most....it is true right?). Are those new jobs long term and how do they pay? How many jobs are lost due to trade agreements? I am not trying to be American Centered, it is about American Tax Money. American Tax Dollars should be about America's future ! No American pays taxes not to have a future, right !! If you are paying US taxes, how's your job security?
I am wondering if any person or agency is paying attention the spending of American Tax Dollars and MAXIMIZING the benefit that it returns to the American Investor. If you did not get a return on a personal investment you would fire the investment company, right! Does any PERFORMANCE METRIC exist to measure the PERSONAL return the American Taxpayer gets on their investment? Can an AMERICAN TAXPAYER ask the Congressional Budget Office or any government agency to produce that PERFORMANCE METRIC for any given period of time. In can infer a performance metric, from the return on investment for Medicare and Social Security. Don't you think some one should get FIRED for that gross misconduct? Another would be Foreign Aid spending .vs. the cost of a gallon of gasoline. Oil prices measure strength of the the US dollar and world stability, foreign aid spending is maxing out what is wrong with that investment?
What we get is GDP growth. If you're an American, the question is what fraction of that growth dollar stays at home and how much you pay for the increases in raw material cost due to an increased demand by emerging economies. Americans have lost purchase power for sure. Reagan's trickle down is not an absolute any more in today's Globalization. Increasing GDP either with Obama's infrastructure and energy plans or Republican Trade Agreements just does not result in trickle down in America anymore. Obama's "changes" do not work and neither does resurrecting Reagan, both are living in the past. There are no fresh faces, young or old of age, in Obama's "change the world" administration. Hillary Clinton is a re-tread.
Baby Boomers and the Government spending on their retirement benefits is not going way. The Boomers will still fund education for younger Americans through their real estate and other taxes. There is a win-win relationship for these Americans. Unless Government changes how it raises tax revenue, and that does not generally mean tax increases, the solution that I see is to bring tax producing American based jobs home. We as consumers can do that by demanding "American Made" product and rejecting "Foreign Product".
Increasing US foreign exports and Trade Agreements only work if Americans continue to produce "high end product" to export and have good paying jobs to earn purchasing power. With out that, there is no revenue or reduced revenue for the American Government to operate with. In a Globalization environment the only "change" that makes sense is realizing that the old concept of taking raw material and locally building value in a product is the only true increase in GDP.
US Universities are trying export their campuses while increase the number of foreign students to meet current expenses. US Corporations are making deals with India and China on Intellectual Property in the hopes of gaining access to foreign markets which are ten time larger than the US market. Americans, at their expense through foreign aid and trade agreements, have taught China and India how to manufacture using current technology. China has a "Twenty Year Road Map" to internalize IP generation by 2020. US companies have pushed the "design function" and the core process if IP generation into India. There is no reason for IP generation or manufacture of "high end product" to stay in America. American Companies are seeing a glimpse of the future they have made when they lose foreign contracts for military and commercial products to foreign competitors. In the end, the market place will determine where the jobs go and where the IP is generated (R&D is a money sink, always has been, that is why US corporations pushed the cost off their spread sheets into the University System to be subsidized by the American Taxpayer) .
Democrats and Republicans can make policy to get re-elected. Politicians get good retirement benefits which are not tied to Social Security or Medicare, they do not have to live with their policy decisions. Company CEO are given incentives to influence personal wealth and stock value, neither of which are 100% linked to America's future. Who is looking after America's future? Only Americans can determine their future.
Where is the tax revenue going to come from to keep American Government going? Be it a Democratic or Republican agenda?
The key is how and why job producers hire and invest, small or large business. US Government can not afford to hire all Americans. Government can not change corporate behavior, it can only regulate it and that in itself is a failure cause all you have to do is move operations offshore to avoid the regulations.
Changing the tax code only works if revenue is collected on offshore growth. Companies have proven that they do not have to manufacture on American soil. US policy only influences US operations, wages, and profits generated on US soil.
Lobbyists can influence my Congressman's vote. Congressmen need funding to get re-elected.
What is left for Americans to maintain their future? One way is to manage their lives. Reduce their health care costs. There is always going to be the people who don't change their life style or want to abuse the system. Americans can keep jobs at home by selecting "American Made" products, which keeps Corporations on US soil and maximizes the revenue going to the US treasury under existing tax code. "American Made" also dilutes the health care "premium" for the people who refuse to better their own health care or abuse the system. If there are more jobs in America, there will be more GDP growth to offer a legal path of citizenship to illegals. People can afford to purchase a home, if they have an American based job. Even the Republicans get something out of it, more people paying taxes means less demand to increase taxes.
Buying the "American Made Label" is a Win-Win deal. (CEO will "whine" rather than "wine", they will say your iPOD will cost $500 dollars if I make it in America. You can say, Poor YOU ! Price is negotiable, aways !)
Trickle down and Reagan only work only if you can stop it from trickling out. Reagan never had to deal with the Internet.
Andrew, I am happy the Rangers had their day.
It is good that you are reading about China. Question is, what are your interests in China? People? Culture? Business? Both India and China will play in Afghanistan's and Pakistan's future and should, more so than America.
Dr K today on getting out of
Dr K today on getting out of Astan.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/how-to-exit-afghanistan-without-c...
"But nation-building ran up against the irony that the Afghan nation comes into being primarily in opposition to occupying forces. When foreign forces are withdrawn, Afghan politics revert to a contest over territory and population by various essentially tribal groups."
http://www.jpost.com/Opinion/
http://www.jpost.com/Opinion/Columnists/Article.aspx?id=224189
hehe...
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Yemen does not surprise me.
Yemen does not surprise me. You can bet it is happening in S. America and other places in Africa, those are black budgets too.
The bright side is for every bullet shot by the US military, that bullet has a high chance of being made in the USA. The workers at ATK are most likely US citizens. There have been some off-shore second source contracts let loose.
Not sure what is says for sustainable employment.
Gates is smiling a lot these days, he is looking at a sustainable six-figure salary in retirement. Health Care is not a problem for Gates if he gets a voucher American Taxpayers will make up the difference. You can buy a lot of $5/gal gasoline on six-figures. Mullen is next. Obama, the same. Clinton, the same. Congressmen and Senators, not a problem. Petraeus got a retirement job at the CIA, he is about re-organization.
If you're a grunt, you are fucked. When the boss man retires, so does his organization ; )
In a recently release AP
In a recently release AP photo, DNC's Debbie Wasserman Shultz explains her personal experience with Democratic Anthony Wiener.....
http://images.politico.com/global/news/110609_obama_wasserman_schultz_ap...
If expressions could tell stories. In an unrelated report, Wiener's wife went to situational expert Hillary Clinton for advice. Clinton's response, which was inspred by her favorite song, "Stand by your Man".
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DwBirf4BWew
Had enough? Is the lie better than the truth?
Why do we keep hiring these people?
Visitor on June 10, 2011............Politicians do not lie, right? Obama took the troops out of Iraq, YOU just forgot to ask if he was going to put them back ! Feeling a little used?
Wiener complete destroyed public trust. Why are people ignoring this? What does it say about women that ignore this behavior? Read the marriage vows, it is about trust. Either they are completely naive or gold diggers.
Would Hillary be where she is today if she had dumped Bill? Bill is a lair and cheat, why do we listen to him.
Why do women put up with these people?
............... BTW. Telling
...............
BTW. Telling lies gets your SECURITY CLEARANCE pulled !
How high are these people security clearances and why do they still have them?
Andrew, if you think the
Andrew, if you think the Israeli response to the "border incursion" (as far as I know they never reached the border) was a good and measured doctrine for dealing with such issues in the future, then i can recommend youy sit down and study something so simple as riotcontrol and various national doctrines on that. You might be surprised that in large areas of the universe, shooting with machineguns and military sniper-rifles with corresponding calibres at peoples legs is considered a pretty EXTREME third-tier respons. Over here in Europe we have this concept called shields and batons.
According to the Israeli numbers referred in JPost, there were between 500 and 1000 demonstrators, wich are eminently containable. All you need is deployable fences, etc. Its not rocketscience as long as you have a adult core of policeminded people and a clear set of doctrine. And it becomes downright silly to read them labeled as terrorists and infiltrators in the Israeli press when seen in light of Egypt and how we cheered the same generation in Tahrir square. (Charge of the camels, lol). But when Israel fcking snipes 10 here and there, its just all so cool.
"adult core of policeminded
"adult core of policeminded people".
It's not police work, it's the Defense of their Nation. From people who's stated aim is their utter annihilation. Be happy it's not me making the call. I believe in reciprocity in war, and if your intention is my genocide - guess what? Better you than me. The Israeli's - except for the predictably infantile Left - seem to be coming to that conclusion.
Wow! Great tihnking! JK
Wow! Great tihnking! JK
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In awe of that asnewr! Really
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Premier Wen Jiabao aangekom
Premier Wen Jiabao aangekom het, het die Britse kultuur, Olimpiese Spele, Media en Sport Minister Hunt, Shakespeare se mulberry bags geboorte plek Foundation, Ere-President Professor Wei Ersi, Dr Owen, direkteur van 'n lang wag by die BBP-ingang. Hulle het tot 'n warm welkom om duisende kilometers van die jimmy choo shoes Chinese premier. In die koshuis waar 'n standbeeld staan in die voorkant van Shakespeare. 'N kant tafel en plaas' n stukkie van kosbare kulturele oorblyfsels: 1623 gepubliseer deur mulberry handbags Shakespeare, die gemeente inwoners 'n brief aan Shakespeare,' n bekende Chinese vertaler Shenghao vertaling van Shakespeare se werke ... dit lyk asof hulle vol van die lewe, vertel van die legende van cheap air jordans Shakespeare ondervinding, en blywende effekte tussen China en die geskiedenis van Shakespeare. Wen leun noukeurig dopgehou word. Hy het gesê met emosie: Shakespeare is nie net 'n deel van die Verenigde Koninkryk, behoort ook aan die wêreld, nie net behoort aan een era, en behoort aan die hele geskiedenis cheap air jordan 11 van sy roemryke naam en werk sal vir ewig verduur en hy sal altyd ons brug vir kommunikasie. Vanuit die kombuis, eetkamer, skaapvel handskoene, werkswinkels, Shakespeare gebore is na jimmy choo sandal die tweede vloer van die kamer, terwyl jy luister na verduidelikings terwyl Premier Wen Jiabao gekyk het, voel die literêre meester van die groei proses. In hierdie boodskap, Premier mulberry alexa Wen het geskryf: om te lewe in die son, vlerke aan die droom, bewondering uitspreek vir Shakespeare en onthou. Tuin, blomme en groen, sonnige, twee Britse aktrise met 'n simbool van herinnering roosmaryn gras, maak aan die interpretasie van Hamlet, die klassieke clip. Wen gaan sit op 'n hout stoel' n prestasie gefokus mulberry bayswater te geniet, lof vir hul uitstekende vertonings. In mense se geheue, soos by te woon eerste minister, Wen Jiabao elke besoek is vinnige verskeidenheid van diplomatieke aktiwiteite, soos dit vandag is die voormalige woning van 'n wêreld literêre celebrity besoek was die eerste keer. In die binnehof, mulberry bayswater handbags Wen Jiabao en Hunter, Wells, Owen en die twee akteurs saam sit, die uitruil van ondervinding. Shakespeare se lewe skryfwerk 37 speel, twee gedigte en 154 sonnette Minister, of dit is komedie of tragedie,air jordan women weerspieël die idees van die humanisme, die waarheid, goedheid en skoonheid van die komedie, ons is nie net lag, maar ook van meditasie en verligting;. van die tragedie, nie net voel hartseer, en die uitoefening van hoop vir die cheap air jordan 2011 toekoms nag voor, Wen lees ook die Duitse digter Goethe evaluering van Shakespeare se artikel. Teks in 'n woord is, laat hom onthou: Wanneer ek die eerste keer lees sy werk, ek voel dat ek behoort aan hom. Toe ek lees van al sy werke, van 'n blinde man wat die hele wêreld kan sien in mense. zlm0708
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