Abu Muqawama retains its autonomy and the views and beliefs expressed within the blog do not reflect those of CNAS. Abu Muqawama retains the right to delete comments that include words that incite violence; are predatory, hateful, or intended to intimidate or harass; or degrade people on the basis of gender, race, class, ethnicity, national origin, religion, sexual orientation, or disability. In summary, don't be a jerk.
My column for World Politics Review this week is on the conflict in Syria. I first explore the concerns of the Obama Administration before discussing the difficulty we analysts face in trying to understand what is taking place on the ground. I conclude by referencing some of the literature on civil wars and insurgencies for clues as to what might happen. Read it here.