Abu Muqawama: December 2008

Abu Muqawama retains its autonomy and the views and beliefs expressed within the blog do not reflect those of CNAS. Abu Muqawama retains the right to delete comments that include words that incite violence; are predatory, hateful, or intended to intimidate or harass; or degrade people on the basis of gender, race, class, ethnicity, national origin, religion, sexual orientation, or disability. In summary, don't be a jerk.

  • saw the blog. how about a shout out to the print people who have killed this story, with the essential help of our friends stuck inside. my gaza fixer is a 23 year old girl in a hijab, with a new born and she's running and gunning like a special operator. and half the time for naught or too late because she can't get comms to file to me. yet she still wakes up everyday to try. i'm naming my first kid after her. hope it's a girl or my boy 'ameera' will be in a lot of fights. and even if he wins them, he won't be as tough as his godmother.
    Done and done. And while we're at it, the blog from McClatchy's Jerusalem-based correspondent has been solid, with good links to al-Jazeera International. If any of you kids know of any good Palestinian and Israeli bloggers, pass them along and we'll link to them.

    Update: One reader sends in a link to the IDF's YouTube channel. Lots of war porn here. No word yet on when the Hamas channel launches. Just remember, while watching these videos, that there are human beings on both the sending and receiving ends of these attacks.
  • I will say this vis a vis Israel and Palestine: if you are trying to gather news on what's taking place via American television, I am sorry. Talk of biases aside, there's just very little reporting. I think Bristol Palin's baby got more coverage on NBC this morning than Gaza and Israel did.
  • At times like this, this blogger feels a little silly for his Thou Shalt Not Mention Israel-Palestine rule. And I promise, if any of us run across any good articles on the fighting taking place from a tactical or operational perspective, we'll pass them along. But today, I want to highlight the new book by Brookings scholar P.W. "Pete" Singer.

    I read an article or op-ed by Pete written over a year ago and posted on this blog that while I liked what the author had to say, his double-initialed first name was ridiculous. Who does this pompous jerk think he is, I asked. A.A. Milne? E.E. Cummings? T.X. Hammes? That led to the following conversation between a friend and me:

    "Uh, you know there's a reason he uses 'P.W.', don't you?"

    "No."

    "Yeah, like he's worried people will confuse him with the other Peter Singer."

    "Who? The Irish scrum-half?"

    "No, that's Peter Stringer. I'm talking about the other Peter Singer."

    "Who?"

    "Just Google him."

    [Seconds pass.]

    "Oh."

    So let's be clear: the Peter Singer this blog has come to know and admire over the past year is not the bio-"ethicist" who doesn't think killing an infant is the same as killing a grown man. This book by Peter Singer -- P.W. to you -- is going to be worth reading. It's about war. In the future. My copy is already in the mail, in fact. Aside from being a great guy, Pete is one of the brightest young defense analysts working today. His last two books have been really well received, and I suspect this one will be as well. Anyway, read the reviews here, and buy it here:

  • Not too many University of Pennsylvania graduates and faculty make their way forward to combat zones, so it's always sad when we lose one at war. Many thanks to the reader who passed this story along.

    John P. Pryor, 42, of Moorestown, the dedicated leader of the University of Pennsylvania's trauma team and a decorated major in the Army Reserve who wrote eloquently about the painful parallels between battlefield deaths and urban homicides, was killed on Christmas by enemy fire in Iraq while serving as a combat surgeon.

    Dr. Pryor deployed Dec. 6 and was with a risky frontline surgical unit when he was killed by shrapnel from a mortar round. It was his second tour of duty in Iraq.

  • On a day when fighting re-erupts in Gaza, I am kicking myself more than usual for not seeing this movie when I had the chance at its premier in London last month. I'm sure it will be in DC, though. It looks amazing.
  • "Whatever it takes to make friends and influence people -- whether it's building a school or handing out Viagra," said one longtime agency operative and veteran of several Afghanistan tours.

    So there's enemy-centric COIN, population-centric COIN, and now *****-centric COIN?
  • As regular readers know, I have used this blog to think about deterrence and coercion in southern Lebanon over the past few months. This weekend, I have the weekly "The Big Idea" column in The National.
    ... the harshest blow to Israel was the widespread perception that Hizbollah had fought the mighty IDF to a standstill: as the late Ha’aretz defence correspondent Ze’ev Schiff lamented to me a few months after the war, “We have lost our deterrence capability.”

    But this may have been one of many false assumptions about the results of 2006. It was said, for example, that the fighting would set Lebanon back a decade. But this summer’s tourist season was the best in memory, and despite the global economic crisis, the banking sector remains strong. As I have travelled around both southern Lebanon and the Dahiyeh in the past few months, I have been struck by the speed and skill with which Hizbollah and external donors – not just Iran but also the countries of the Gulf and the West – have rebuilt areas that appeared devastated beyond repair. Lebanon – and Hizbollah’s constituents – now have as much to lose in 2008 as they did in 2006.

    In this light – and reflecting upon the belligerent words coming from Tel Aviv – Schiff may have been mistaken. Some of my Lebanese friends have dismissed the words of Eisenkot as “dangerous” and “stupid”. But I am not sure they are either.

    In 2006 Israel brought a horrific amount of air and artillery power to bear on Lebanon, and few north of the Blue Line believe they would hesitate to do so again. Hizbollah’s July 2006 cross-border kidnapping raid was a serious mistake that had devastating consequences for the people of Lebanon. If the words of Eisenkot have effectively communicated that another such provocation will bring even harsher retribution, then Israel’s deterrent capability remains intact – so long as it doesn’t have to be put to use.

    Deterrence, as the legendary American defence analyst John Collins reminds us, is a strategy for peace – not for war. The principles of deterrence are different from those of war. Whereas surprise and security are paramount in war, deterrence often hinges on publicising one’s capabilities and leading the enemy to believe you’re crazy enough to use them to the full effect.

    [Read it all here.] [Also, Nir has a piece on PMCs in the same issue.]
  • Here's another holiday picture. This is me and my niece just after church this evening. Here, I'm explaining the Principles of War. Now, though, I am spread out on the floor with a fifth of Bushmills trying to put together her Legos while she sleeps in the other room. Uncles and fathers and grandfathers the world over are doing the very same thing right now.
  • I just left my grandmother's house, where my jarhead cousin was leading an animated discussion as to whether it would be possible to rig a digital camera onto his brother-in-law's model airplane kit and "make our very own UAV." My uncle then asked, "What about a rocket? Can we put a rocket on it?"

    All I'm saying is, if my family manages to make it through the holiday season without any arrests on terrorism charges, we're doing okay.

    Which is all by way of saying that I -- and the rest of the blogging team -- hope our readership on teh internets has a great Christmas. Bless you all.

  • Update: While I'm blogging about sports, can I just mention what a ridiculous year former Lady Vol Candace Parker has had? One NCAA basketball championship, one NCAA player of the year award, one Olympics gold medal, the #1 WNBA draft pick, the WNBA Rookie of the Year (her line on her debut: 34 points, 12 rebounds and 8 assists), and the WNBA MVP. That is simply Phelpsian. In fact, if anyone really cared about women's athletics, she would rival Michael Phelps for Sports(wo)man of the Year.
  • I really enjoyed Fiascoand think the world of Tom Ricks ... who does not hate the U.S. Army.

    Pre-order this book on Amazon.com today.



    I think "Fiascoer" or "Unfiascoed" or even "You Know What Guys, I'm Gonna Let Ray Odierno Off the Hook This Time" would have all been better titles, though.

    By the way, I have just gotten around to reading The Warlord's piece on special operations (.pdf). Hilarious and wise, as always.
  • [Am I the only one who blogs anymore? Didn't I retire?]

    The Guardian has a pretty good "Afghanistan" page, where both the news and the commentary are "bad" in two different senses of the word. Clancy Chassay and Ghaith Abdul Ahad -- both of whom I've shared many an Almaza with in Beirut over the years -- have contributed some worthy reporting that highlights just how difficult "winning" in Afghanistan will be.

    There is also some commentary, which can be summed up as such:

    "We are losing in Afghanistan the Americans just don't get it Our Brave Boys are dying we can never win in Afghanistan don't you know this is just like 1842 why are the Americans so stupid the surge in Iraq didn't work we're doomed to fail in Afghanistan you can never defeat the Pashtun our cynicism proves we're smarter than the Americans HP Flashman the End."

    Yeah. And that's pretty much every op-ed you've ever read in the Guardian on Afghanistan since September 2001.

    In other news, here is a very useful clarification of terms.

    Okay, back to work.
  • Lots of good op-ed and editorial columns today:

    Enough with the Militarization, Already (The Washington Post):
    Is it good that the U.S. military has taken the lead on, well, everything?
    Trimming the Military Budget, Part I (The New York Times):
    The F-22, the DDG-1000, the Virginia class submarine, the V-22, Nukes, (blue water) Navy and Air Force? All bad. The Army, Marine Corps, Reserves and (brown water) Navy? All good. Readers of this blog will note that the New York Times has a crush on us. Is this staff editorial, then, a love letter? Because you guys are harsher on the USAF and USN than even we are.
    Trimming the Military Budget, Part II (The New York Times)
    Time to plan -- and budget -- jointly.
    Iraqi Soldiers Hooked on Drugs (The New York Times)
    This isn't an op-ed or editorial. It's just a depressing article. You too will need Xanax by the end of it. There might have been some other good stuff in the Times today, but my mom had thrown the paper away by the time I returned home from church. (Where I prayed for the Iraqi Army.) I did not, I confess, get the chance to skim the Chattanooga Times-Free Press. This last article, though, comes via Dave at SWJ.
    Why does our Army suck? (The Sunday Times of London)
    Key graph: Pride has certainly come before a fall. British commanders underestimated both the enemy’s effectiveness and the Americans’ ability to adapt. Some apparently failed even to observe how much had changed. At a meeting in August 2007 an American described Major-General Jonathan Shaw, then British commander, as “insufferable”, lecturing everyone in the room about lessons learnt in Northern Ireland, which apparently set eyeballs rolling: “It would be okay if he was best in class, but now he’s worst in class.”

    Goodness gracious. I'm not sure if the British Army is as rubbish as Michael Portillo thinks, but it is significant that -- after several years in which the British Army seemed to elude any criticism from the British press, which instead directed its barbs toward those ill-disciplined Yanks -- voices have emerged who have really questioned the effectiveness of the British Army in that mission at which they were supposed to be the acknowledged experts: COIN.

    Dave tries to talk our pale friends back from the edge of the cliff here. I will say, though, that Portillo is wrong to say all the blame lies with the politicians. If the British have failed to keep pace with the Americans with respect to COIN doctrine, that is a failure of the British Army and its officer corps. I know several senior British generals who understand this, even if Portillo does not.
  • The following is an honest-to-goodness conversation that just took place between me and my mother in her kitchen:

    "Mom, do you think gays have the right to be angry with Obama for choosing Rick Warren to give the invocation?"

    "I just think people need to let [Obama] reach out to all people and groups in America and to stop insisting he pursue some narrow agenda...

    [Several seconds pass.]

    ...But this crap about not having any Southerners? I'm mad as hell. I gave him money! People from Chattanooga drove to North Carolina to campaign for him! [Mom says "North Carolina" like it's Senegal.] He should appoint someone from the Southeast! I gave him money!"

    "Yeah, but who could he appoint? And for what? I mean, there's Harold Ford ... and who else?"

    "You! He could appoint you!"

    Well! Do you hear that, Transition Team?!

    [Note: Like all mothers, Abu Muqawama's has a ridiculously inflated estimation of her son's worth and talents. Which is always charming, if amusing. In my opinion, everyone should have a mother who thinks her 30-year old graduate student son would be a completely rational choice for Secretary of Defense.]
  • [Warning: this post has nothing to do with war or counter-insurgency.]

    The New York Times has a travel article today on the city of Tangier, where I spent the summer of 2007 thanks to a language fellowship from the U.S. Department of State. I am an enthusiastic champion of this city. You know the scene in the last Bourne moviewhere the annoying Julia Stiles character gives the assassin his new cell phone? (You're ashamed to admit that yes, you remember the scene.) I spent every afternoon in that same cafe doing my Arabic homework and reading the newspapers.

    Tangier is wonderfully resurgent city. If you have never traveled to an Arabic-speaking country, a short ferry ride from Spain to Tangier (followed by a train ride to either Fez or Marakesh) would be a great introduction. (Also, the "Tangerines" often speak Spanish and/or French as well as Moroccan Arabic -- which, I confess, I can't understand very well myself.) The expatriate community of artists in Tangier is something special as well. My friend Irina's mother has a nice quote at the end of the article:
    “There’s a wonderful term in ornithology that is perfect for the kind of people that end up here,” said Elena Prentice, an American painter and philanthropist who lives in Tangier. “They are called accidentals, birds that end up in an area they don’t really belong. Everyone in Tangier is some form of accidental.”
  • I am now back in Tennessee. Apologies to anyone in DC I failed to meet on my brief trip -- I'll be back in January.

    People like to sneer at the "MSM" for being too close to the powers that be. The New York Times, the Washington Post, CNN, and other media often hold off on reporting stories that might endanger national security. (Seriously -- I know some of you hate the left-leaning Times, but they do this a lot in the name of the national interest.) The problem with jackassess on "teh internets" is that we don't have the same editorial filter. So when a website like wikileaks publishes a classified report on a super-secret IED countermeasure that has saved countless lives in Iraq and Afghanistan, that's a problem. Right?

    From our friend Noah at Wired:
    In July, 2005, I asked a member of a Baghdad-based military bomb squad about the radio-frequency jammers his team was using to cut off signals to Iraq's remotely detonated explosives. His response: "I can't even begin to say the first fucking thing about 'em." A few days later, one of those jammers seemed to save me and him from getting blown up. Months after that, David Axe was thrown out of Iraq by the U.S. military, for a blog post which mentioned the Warlock family of jammers.

    So I was more than a little surprised, when I saw that Wikileaks had posted a classified report, outlining how the Warlock Red and Warlock Green jammers work with — and interfere with — military communications systems. The report, dated 2004, gives specific information about how the jammers function, their radiated power and which frequencies they stop. That Baghdad bomb tech would've put his fist through a wall, if he saw it out in public.

    Gang, this is not good. But what is the appropriate response? Sound off in the comments section.
  • I am reading this bookand really enjoying it. If you are in DC tomorrow (Wednesday), you might want to consider stopping by the American Enterprise Institute at 1600 to listen to Pete Mansoor talk about his time in Iraq with Fred Kagan. Details for the event are here. (You need to register, it appears.) Alternately, you can buy the book by clicking on the fancy link below.

    Baghdad at Sunrise: A Brigade Commander's War in Iraq (Yale Library of Military History)

    Update: Just returned from a beer with Phil Carter to this email, from a friend of mine: "Ex, Mansoor event was good. Liked what he had to say, especially on military contractors ... But, sandwiched between (no joke) Wolfowitz and Bill Kristol, I thought my head was gonna explode ... AEI makes me queasy."

    Bill Kristol and Paul Wolfowitz, please stop harassing my friends.
  • Ghaith Abdul Ahad is the bravest journalist I know. Born and raised in Baghdad, Ghaith deserted from Saddam Hussein's army and lived on the run for a few years, teaching himself English through books and the BBC. He used to sit at cafes in Baghdad, before the war, reading books like Charles Tripp's A History of Iraqconcealed in a newsaper so the mukhabarat a few tables over wouldn't notice he was reading books in English. After going to work for the Guardian, Ghaith was named Britain's most outstanding foreign reporter last year. Ghaith embedded for the first battle for Fallujah ... with the other side. He has a long scar on his face where an Apache helicopter almost killed him on the streets of Baghdad in September 2004. The other five people with him were killed.

    Ghaith and I sat down in a cafe in Beirut a few months ago and talked about Afghanistan. I told him what I knew (very little) and who I thought he should speak with before he left to go there on behalf of the Guardian. Mostly, though, I told him how much I looked forward to reading his reporting and seeing him in London in November.

    I didn't see Ghaith last month, but his reporting (and pictures) have been pretty awesome from the perspective of someone who studies insurgents. Insurgencies and counter-insurgencies are competitions to govern the people. The Taliban understands this -- and their own mistakes. Here are some key excerpts from Ghaith's article last Sunday:
    Mullah Muhamadi, one of Hemmet's men, arrived later wearing a long leather jacket and a turban bigger than all the others. "This is not just a guerrilla war, and it's not an organised war with fronts," he said. "It's both." He went on to explain the importance the Taliban attached to creating a strong administration in the areas it held: "When we control a province we need to provide service to the people. We want to show the people that we can rule, and that we are ready for the day when we take over Kabul, that we have learned from our mistakes."
    On the return of the rural insurgency:
    Like Qomendan, Mawlawi Abdul Halim talked about the Taliban strategy of controlling the countryside, establishing an alternative administration and squeezing the cities by eroding the government control. "In the areas where there are government or international forces, they only control their posts and 1km around, and we control the rest. If we cut off the countryside then the cities will come under our control — we know that from our experience with the Soviets."...

    He said the failure of a recent voter registration drive in Ghazni showed how effectively the Taliban was cutting off the countryside. "We stood at road intersections and prevented people from registering for the coming elections — even if the planes were flying above our heads that didn't prevent us from manning checkpoints. And some of our men followed the people to the market to make sure they wouldn't register. Now registration has almost stopped in our province." But why were they determined to prevent people from voting? "It's better for them. Most of the people know that this new government won't help them but those who don't know we prevent them."

    And, speaking with a university student in Kabul, this ominous sentiment:

    He had not been a Taliban supporter when they were in power "but when the occupation came and we saw the atrocities we joined the Taliban. Lots of my university friends are with the Taliban not because they are Taliban but because they are against this government and the occupation. No one expected the Taliban to be back, but when the normal people saw the corruption of the government, when they saw that the warlords are back, people started supporting the resistance."
    Readers Note: Ghaith is neither a British nor American citizen. He has only an Iraqi passport. (And is an Iraqi journalist of the non-shoe-throwing variety.) So please spare him the ridiculous accusations that were directed toward Nir Rosen (a man who has spent more time lecturing Marines and Green Berets than he has breaking bread with insurgents). Furthermore, to borrow a line of argument from Bob Bateman, if our intelligence services were better, we wouldn't need to learn about our adversaries from journalists. But until then...

    ...

    Meanwhile, a fight is raging over British military performance in Iraq and Afghanistan. This article in the Times touched upon a bit of a taboo subject. Dan Marston then writes in to clarify some things. For the record, I think Marston gets it right. It's not about who is better at COIN. It's about a) who has learned and b) who is being allowed to properly conduct COIN operations. It's hardly the fault of the British in Basra that they had to sit in their forts while the Americans fought alongside the Iraqi Army this past summer. (That must have been more-than-slightly embarassing.) On the other hand, officers in the British Army will admit they have not been nearly as quick to learn from their mistakes in Iraq and Afghanistan as have the Americans. That's not about who is "better." It's about who is learning. In the words of one senior British general: "The Americans have really shown us their heels in that respect."

    Thoughts from British veterans of Iraq and Afghanistan? Leave them in the comments section.
  • Shinseki, as a member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, supported the war plan. The head of U.S. Central Command, Gen. Tommy Franks, and his planning staff presented their approach to the Joint Chiefs and their staffs during the development of the plan. There was ample opportunity for the chiefs to express concerns and propose alternatives. There is no record of Shinseki having objected.

    Shinseki also met with the commander in chief himself to discuss the plan. On at least one occasion at the White House, President Bush asked each member of the Joint Chiefs, including Shinseki, whether he believed the Iraq war plan was adequate to the objectives. Each said it was.

    On the one hand, there is a lot of truth in this op-ed. I am sure Gen. Shinseki would agree that he did not protest the Iraq War plans as vigorously as his admirers on the Left imagine him to have protested. On the other hand, the author of this op-ed -- the loyal mouthpiece for a man most can agree was a horrible failure as Secretary of Defense (the second time around, it should be noted) -- cannot be trusted to provide a reliable narrative of Gen. Shinseki's retirement (announced early by Sec. Rumsfeld, which effectively made Shinseki a lame duck). He is also not likely to endorse the idea that Sec. Rumsfeld's Pentagon was a working environment in which all protests from the uniformed officer corps were squashed and within which dissent was not tolerated.

    I might bite my tongue if the author of this op-ed was currently working in a PRT in Afghanistan and not in a cushy job at Bank of America. And, I'll admit, that's probably unfair of me.

  • I'm in DC and don't have the time to blog, but followers of the Angry Arab blog know all about his obsession with shoe-throwing in Arab culture. (He gets annoyed when Western media report how shoe-throwing is a grave insult in Arab culture -- as if it would not be in Western culture as well.) Complain as he may, though, the Arabic-speaking world does seem to give the lowly shoe some weird kind of punitive power. Even the lowest-ranking private in the U.S. Army understands, by this point, not to show the soles of his boots to his host while seated. And when those in the West or Far East protest, shoes usually don't figure into the demonstrations. In the Arabic-speaking world they sometimes do. I am not an "expert" on Arab culture, but I have lived in the Arabic-speaking world for about four years of my life and have certainly noticed this -- and don't fault Western reporters when they notice this as well. Despite it all, the best coverage of President Bush's encounter with a pair of shoes thrown by an Iraqi journalist is to be found on Angry Arab. He's got links to all the stories on Arabs and shoes in English, Arabic, German, Spanish, etc. Highly amusing.
  • Readers: Don't everyone get excited at once, but Road House is on AMC right now. I spent a more-enjoyable-than-it-should-have-been evening in Beirut a few months back watching Road House dubbed into French. C'est Dalton!

    Real heroes, meanwhile, were on display yesterday at Fort Bragg. I'm sure you all saw this in the Post:
    As Ford and Staff Sgt. John Wayne Walding returned fire, Walding was hit below his right knee. Ford turned and saw that the bullet "basically amputated his right leg right there on the battlefield."

    Walding, of Groesbeck, Tex., recalled: "I literally grabbed my boot and put it in my crotch, then got the boot laces and tied it to my thigh, so it would not flop around. There was about two inches of meat holding my leg on." He put on a tourniquet, watching the blood flow out the stump to see when it was tight enough.

    Then Walding tried to inject himself with morphine but accidentally used the wrong tip of the syringe and put the needle in this thumb, he later recalled. "My thumb felt great," he said wryly, noting that throughout the incident he never lost consciousness. "My name is John Wayne," he said.

    Jaysus.

    Finally, your eponymous blogger was procrastinating this past week and went for a tour of his local distillery. Photo below. I am now prepared to explain the differences between Tennessee whiskey and bourbon whiskey. I can't believe I grew up in Tennessee without ever having visited before.

  • Only in the U.S. Air Force is there still a "Captain Bachelor". In the U.S. Army and Marine Corps, it's more like "Major Divorced-After-Four-Tours-in-Iraq" or "Captain-Leaving-the-Army-to-Have-a-Social-Life". U.S. Air Force Capt. Bachelor, a KC-10 Extender aircraft pilot from the 908th Expeditionary Aerial Refueling Squadron, flies the refueling track during a flight over Afghanistan on Dec. 10, 2008. DoD photo by Staff Sgt. Aaron Allmon, U.S. Air Force.

    [h/t Phil]
  • Readers: I am moving to DC from Tennessee in the next few weeks and will be looking to share an apartment with a friend of mine (another over-educated veteran of the Afghanistan War). If you live in the DC area and know of a two-bedroom apartment for sale or rent in the district proper, let me know at abuaptsearch[at]gmail.com. We're especially in the market for apartments near the 16th Street bus lines and the Yellow Line. (U Street; Columbia Heights; etc.)

    *Homelessness in the DC area is no laughing matter, of course. This is my favorite charity providing long-term care for homeless in DC in case you're looking for a charity to which your office can donate this holiday season.
  • The left-leaning Center for American Progress has a new report out -- which co-author and fan of the blog Sean Duggan valiantly attempted to send us a few days ago -- outlining suggestions for the incoming Obama Administration with respect to military spending and policy. If you were a blog following, say, health care policy, you would think the Republican Party to be a bunch of conservative budget hawks while the Democrats were tax-and-spend liberals. And this would conform to national stereotypes. In defense policy, though, the caricature is often reversed. Reading this report from CAP, for example, you would think the Democratic Party a gang of hard-boiled realists considering the number of times our scarcity of resources is mentioned.

    I found a lot to like in this report, though. Among the key recommendations:
    Prioritize people over hardware. Developing high-tech expensive weapons programs should never take priority over the investment, support, and development of those serving in our all-volunteer professional military. Our primary investment should always be in the men and women serving in uniform. Investing in their development—in education, training, and quality of life—is investing in the greatest weapon we have.

    Embrace a new vision for the U.S. military
    . Operations in Afghanistan and Iraq have highlighted the changing threat environment for the United States. It is increasingly likely that, in this post-9/11 world, U.S. troops will more frequently be assigned to non-traditional warfare tasks, including both kinetic and non-kinetic counterinsurgency operations, rather than full-scale conventional wars with near-peer competitors. While proficiency in conventional warfare cannot be allowed to lapse, the next administration should consider the type of conflicts most likely to be encountered when allocating limited funding to procurement, training, force expansion, and other budgetary requests.

    Include supplemental war funding in a consolidated budget. Long-term U.S. interests in Iraq and Afghanistan require that an American military presence will be maintained in those countries for the foreseeable future, most of the cost of which should be paid for through supplemental appropriations. However, the services have taken advantage of these ostensibly “emergency” war-funding bills to request money for significant non-warrelated projects. DOD should in the future submit appropriations for the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan with the baseline request in one consolidated budget. This procedure will allow lawmakers to scrutinize the items from the supplemental and force Congress and DOD leaders to make trade-offs and hard choices when considering the FY 2010-13 defense budget priorities. Scale back purchases of weapons systems designed for conventional warfare and reorient the force based on the need for greater irregular capabilities. [Emphasis added.] It is too late to make changes in the FY 2009 defense budget, but American taxpayers can save as much as $24.75 billion over the next four years by eliminating weapons systems designed to deal with threats from a bygone era—weapons and programs that are not useful in defending our country from violent extremists or the other threats we now face.
    Friend-of-the-blog Michael "Mikey" Horowitz (of the University of Pennsylvania and CNAS) is working on a project similar to this one. We look forward to reading his paper when it comes out.

    And in other news, Yochi Dreazen doesn't let the sleaze in his hometown distract him from the war in Afghanistan.

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