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Abu Muqawama

Abu Muqawama retains its autonomy and the views and beliefs expressed within the blog do not reflect those of CNAS. Abu Muqawama retains the right to delete comments that include words that incite violence; are predatory, hateful, or intended to intimidate or harass; or degrade people on the basis of gender, race, class, ethnicity, national origin, religion, sexual orientation, or disability. In summary, don't be a jerk.

  • The Washington Post features two op-eds today on the recent State Department flap concerning diplomats refusing to serve in Iraq. (Abu Muqawama and Charlie first weighed in on this here.) Allow Abu Muqawama to highlight some of Tammy Schultz's piece, which Abu Muqawama felt was both smarter and more nuanced that Austin's Bay's Washington Times op-ed yesterday -- while at the same time reaching the same basic conclusion.

    To recap: At a State Department town hall Wednesday, hundreds of diplomats cried foul over a new policy that could cost them their jobs if they turn down assignments in Baghdad or outlying provinces. "It's one thing if someone believes in what's going on over there and volunteers, but it's another thing to send someone over there on a forced assignment," declared one Foreign Service veteran. "I'm sorry, but basically that's a potential death sentence and you know it. Who will raise our children if we are dead or seriously wounded?"

    Who, indeed? Undoubtedly, the same question was asked silently by the parents among the approximately 4,000 military personnel who lost their lives and the nearly 30,000 wounded since the Iraq war began.

    Ah, but not so fast. It's not so simple as telling the State Department to stop their whining, is it Tammy?

    There are some completely practical considerations that make the personal-risk calculation for diplomats different from their military counterparts. For instance, a Foreign Service officer's life insurance policy becomes null and void in a combat zone -- a big deal for someone with a family to support.


    But the more significant problem is cultural. Our diplomats are not used to laying their lives on the line in operational roles. Sure, many of them serve in hardship postings. But part of the reason that only three State Department employees have died in Iraq is that most never leave the relative safety of the Green Zone. They're not trained to. Our diplomats have been the
    conveyer belts of policy -- not the engines of policymaking or operations. But the Long War will increasingly call for civilian expertise in "non-permissive" environments, where the bullets are still flying.

    If you're going to call for that kind of commitment, though, you better be prepared to properly resource the agencies you're asking to step up. I'm sure Schultz would not disagree with Hans Binnendijk, writing in the second op-ed, when he raises the important issue of resources:

    Civilian agencies are disappearing. The U.S. Information Agency and the Arms Control and Disarmament Agency have folded, while the U.S. Agency for International Development operates with less than a third of the staff it had during the Cold War. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice's initiative to transform diplomacy lacks fiscal and personnel resources.

    ***

    Resetting the balance between civilian and military responsibilities will take time. Some recommend legislation that would fundamentally redesign the national security and interagency structures. That goal may be too grand, but steps must be taken in that direction.

    First, we must recognize the problem. The State Department and other civilian agencies are instruments of U.S. national security policy but are unprepared. They need to be authorized and fully resourced to do their jobs. The USIA should be re-created, while USAID needs expansion and restructuring. Civilian agencies need operational cultures more compatible with the changing security environment.

    In the end, two things should result from all this. One, the foreign service officer corps is going to end up with real egg on their faces. They can cry foul about that all they want, but the U.S. public is going to compare their griping about Iraq with the sacrifices made by U.S. servicemen, and all those old stereotypes about martini-sipping, striped pants-wearing pretty-boy diplomats are going to come flooding back. This is a shame. Abu Muqawama knows a few diplomats who have fought in Iraq and Afghanistan as military reservists and then gone back to the State Department, and this is going to embarrass them to no end. But tough. State has brought this one on themselves.

    Second, though, a more positive development could take place -- and is taking place already. Several presidential campaigns have embraced Newt Gingrich's call to enlarge the State Department, and many other smart folks -- such as Tammy Schultz's peers at CNAS -- are thinking about ways to fix the inter-agency process. (A process about which Charlie knows a lot more than Abu Muqawama.) If this mess ends up with the U.S. Information Agency reconstituted and more foreign service officers hired, it will have been worth it.

    ***

    On a completely unrelated note -- but connected to the other big issue this blog covered over the week -- Ken Silverstein at Harper's is now blogging on the FM 3-24 plagiarism "scandal" and David Price's heroic struggle against John 'Jon' Nagl and the united forces of fascism.

    Abu Muqawama is tired of this already. One friend e-mailed to say that "storms and teacups" come to mind when reading about this, and Abu Muqawama is inclined to agree. But that same friend asked if FM 3-24 -- as doctrine -- was having a real effect on events on the ground. In a word, yes. In a way, FM 3-24 only serves to crystallize and legitimize tactics and techniques that have been in use in Iraq since well before the doctrine's publication. But the radical departure FM 3-24 represents from the traditional Jominian concept of war employed by the U.S. Army makes FM 3-24 the most influential piece of doctrine published by the U.S. military in at least a generation.*

    Now is it making Iraq any safer? Some say yes. And there has been, we all must admit, a real lull in violence in Iraq recently. Abu Muqawama, however, has been holding his breath ever since the surge started and has yet to exhale. It's just too soon to tell whether or not we have "won" anything concrete. (Phil Carter explores the dark side of the "good news" in Slate.)

    *For more on the Clausewitz versus Jomini debate, by the way, read the first half of John 'Jon' Nagl's book. Or Michael Howard's excellent short introduction to Clausewitz. If Charlie was up last night reading Mahan (again), Abu Muqawama was reading Book VIII of On Warin a pub for a good thirty minutes last night while waiting on some friends. So don't feel bad, Charlie!
  • Charlie was so busy reading Mahan last night that she forgot to post this highly entertaining clip of Nuke LaLoo--Jonathan Papelbon on Letterman earlier this week. Enjoy.

  • As part of an ongoing campaign to remind readers that insurgencies aren't only confined to Iraq and Afghanistan, Charlie directs your attention to this NYT report:
    The political head of the Tamil Tigers rebel group was killed today in an attack by the Sri Lankan Air Force, the group said in a statement. The leader, S. P. Tamilselvan, and five other rebel officials were killed during a 6 a.m. aerial strike on their headquarters in the north, Kilinochchi, the group said.

    [...]

    The senior rebel leader, Velupillai Prabhakaran, is rarely seen. Mr. Tamilselvan was the official who met with peace envoys and talked to journalists, and his death leaves the group with no obvious public face.
    The Tamil Tigers are among the most well-organized, most adaptive, and most effective insurgents in the world today. Suicide vests? They invented them. Devastating amphibious attacks (e.g., the USS Cole)? Perfected by the Sea Tigers. Charlie isn't interested in romanticizing these guys, but they're definitely worthy of serious study. (She'll let Abu Muqawama comment on their links to Hezbullah.)

    If we believe, as Charlie does, that insurgencies are ultimately political, the elimination of their political interlocutor is a serious blow. Not that it reduces their operational effectiveness (though clearly there was an intel breech that allowed the Sri Lankan air force to target 6 leaders simultaneously). But it does mean that any political negotiations related to an independent or autonomous Tamil Eelam are set back.

    Any Sri Lanka / LTTE experts among the readership? Sound off in the comments.
  • Check out this cool graphic. Soner Cagaptay and Akin Unver have mapped out the PKK for the New York Times. (h/t Martin Kramer) Soner hates the PKK so much you would think he's some die-hard Kemalist ... oh wait.
  • Finally, someone in Hollywood has grabbed his n--s and decided to tell the story of the Great American Insurgency like it really happened.

  • Abu Muqawama usually avoids the Washington Times editorial page with the same Barry Sanders spin moves he uses to avoid CounterPunch. But Austin Bay has an op-ed today you might want to take a look at stressing the need for 21st-Century U.S. diplomats to roll their sleeves up and get in the fight alongside their brothers and sisters in the armed services.

    Diplomats, pack your duffel bags.

    And I mean duffel bags, not garment bags. While you're at it, get a pair of boots. I also recommend several pairs of work gloves and work pants with lots of pockets for cameras, extra batteries, sunglasses and your global cell phone.

    Twenty-first century diplomacy isn't an office job. It is a demanding and, at times, a dangerous trade, one that requires accepting deprivation, running physical risks and hanging out in bad neighborhoods. If this echoes a field soldier's job description, it's not a coincidence.

    Like it or not, the United States is engaged in a long war over the terms of modernity — will modernity be defined by tyrants, terrorists and religious extremists, or will democratic liberalism defeat them? In this war for wealth creation (economic development) and political maturation, diplomats and skilled civilian agency specialists are soldiers of a type, and to win it means "being out there" in the difficulties.


    Okay, this is all well and good -- you guys all know Abu Muqawama and Charlie are 100% on board with the State Department matching the commitment that has been shown by the U.S. Marine Corps and Army -- but Abu Muqawama wishes Bay had at least paid lip service to the fact that the State Department (and the Justice and Treasury Departments, for that matter) is not as an institution set up for the expeditionary fight. They do not, for example, have the family readiness groups, the pre- and post-deployment mental health screening, and the expeditionary mindset the U.S. Army does.

    This blog has been pretty harsh on the State Department in the past few days (they have deserved it), but it's not enough to just tell diplomats to get tough. You can tell them that, sure, but you also better take responsibility for giving those same diplomats the resources and institutions they're going to need to be successful. The mindset of the foreign service has to change as well. Abu Muqawama is not sure when, exactly, they began to think of wars as being outside their scope of responsibility, but incoming foreign service officers had better understand that "war" (the sharp end of diplomacy) is now part of their task list.

    Abu Muqawama's take on recruiting for the State Department is that the line used should be something like, "If you wanted to join the U.S. Marine Corps but were afraid your political science degree from Cornell wasn't going to be put to good use, boy, have we got the job for you."

    Update: Ryan Crocker, meanwhile, has no patience for diplomats who put personal security ahead of national security.
  • Real quick: the Small Wars Journal Blog has LTC John Nagl's response to David Price and other FM critics up now. Required reading for those following this issue. (The official Army response is also posted.)

    Stay tuned for other FM authors to follow suit.
  • The New York Times is apparently getting Roger Cohen back for all that time he's spent in Paris over the years by leaving him in Afghanistan for an extended visit. Today's op-ed is worth reading.

    Two things he notes that Abu Muqawama wants to highlight:

    Like Poland, Afghanistan has suffered the fate of a weak state between powerful neighbors.

    This is very true, and under-analyzed. Leaving Iran, Russia, and the former satellite states aside for a moment, many of Afghanistan's difficulties stem from the fact that it is and will always be a proxy battleground for India and Pakistan. The closer the ties between Afghanistan and India become, the more threatened Pakistan feels. The more threatened Pakistan feels, the more they allow foreign fighters operating from within their borders to destabilize the regime in Kabul.

    I heard many assessments of how long Afghanistan will depend on Western military assistance, but Abdul Jabbar Sabit, the attorney general, was bluntest: “The Afghan Army will not be able to defend the country for 10 years, so the international force has to be here for at least a decade.”

    He’s realistic. An intense U.S. effort is going into producing a credible 72,000-man Afghan Army by 2009. The number may be met, but the force’s ability to sustain itself and mount large operations will lag. Capt. Sylvain Caron, a Canadian “mentoring” a nascent battalion, said “the cultural change will take 20 years.”

    The police are way behind the army. Training has been a disaster. Low salaries, belatedly rising to $100 from $50 a month, have made corruption endemic, particularly in narco-territory. Work on a credible police force has scarcely begun.

    “We’re looking at a long-term commitment,” William Wood, the U.S. ambassador, told me. How long? “A number of years.” Like in post-war Germany? “It would just be dishonest to pretend to be able to give you a number.” But, he insisted: “The role of the U.S. military will change.”


    That's COIN, folks. It takes a sustained, multi-decade presence. Abu Muqawama thinks, though, the American people understand this and are on board with such a presence. He is less certain the European public understands this. And it bears repeating that when the conflict started, the Europeans were responsible for two things in Afghanistan while the U.S. battled the Taliban militants and their allies: counter-narcotics operations and the training of the internal security forces. So far, the two biggest failures in Afghanistan have been...
  • The State Dept may be ordering foreign service officers to Iraq, but it doesn't sound like they're going to go quietly. Charlie exerts a fair amount of effort in defending the State Dept., but comments like this make it hard:
    "It is one thing if someone believes in what is going on over there and volunteers," he said, "but it is another thing to send someone over there on a forced assignment. And I'm sorry, but basically that is a potential death sentence and you know it. Who will raise our children if we are dead or wounded?"
    Don't you hate it when State goes and confirms everyone's worst stereotypes? This blogger knows they're civilians and not trained to work in combat conditions. But Baghdad 2007 isn't Beirut 1983; they've clearly seen worse. And actually, most FSO's embrace the risks associated with serving in Bogotá, Jakarta, Islamabad, and Kabul. So why are they pitching a fit about these forced assignments? Charlie will go out on a limb here and suggest it has something to do with opposition to the Iraq War (which is not surprising given the way career officials at State were treated in the run up to the war). But still. This kind of behavior isn't winning them any friends.

    If military officers of similar rank were as obstinate, we'd be talking about coups. Instead, we're just talking petulance.

    Update: Abu Muqawama here. Charlie's about 30 seconds away from strangling the first FSO she sees (and this is isn't a good thing -- she's friends with several ), but the Washington Post's article today should be added to this post. It is slightly more sympathetic to the State Department.

    But if the State Department's backlash to this policy was bad, foreign service officers should consider what the backlash toward them is going to be like after what Charlie has accurately described as their petulance. The foreign service officers note Iraq has claimed the lives of at least three diplomats and that if they serve in Iraq, they too can be killed. Well folks, welcome to the daily lives of 1.6 million U.S. servicemen and their families. 3,881 soldiers have been named or reported dead since that war began.

    Yes, the State Department needs to do a better job preparing diplomats for Iraq. Yes, the State Department needs to do a better job helping the FSO who returns from a combat zone and needs treatment. And yes, the DOD is much better positioned to look after its personnel and deal with combat than State. But suck it up, folks. You've got 19-year old kids from Tennessee out there on street corners playing roulette with IED's, and you're bitching about having to spent six months in a fortified compound in Baghdad.
  • Following Abu Muqawama's post on the (il)legality of waterboarding, is Stu Herrington's excellent weekend op-ed about his 30 year career as an Army interrogator. His view on torture: keep the gloves on. Or in his words, "it's wrong, and it doesn't work."

    Alongside Col. Herrington's strong moral center is an excellent description of an interrogator's professional tradecraft. Not the kind practiced by Jack Bauer, but the painstaking "recruitment" of a captured enemy to provide you with the information he has and you need.
    In interrogation centers I ran, we called prisoners "guests" and extended military courtesies, such as saluting captured officers. We strove to undermine a prisoner's belief system, which we knew instructed him that Americans are unschooled infidels who would bully him and resort to intimidation, threats and brutality. Patience was essential. We rejected the view that interrogators could merely "take off the gloves" and that information would somehow magically flow if we brutalized our "guests." This notion was uninformed and counterproductive, not to mention illegal, and we made sure our chain of command understood that bowing to such tempting theories would result in bad information.

    [...]

    When a professional interrogator sits across from a captured Iraqi general who possesses information about the Iraqi nuclear program, or who knows why Saddam did not toss nerve gas at our massed forces, the interrogator knows he is facing a formidable adversary, an educated, trained professional strongly inclined by his Iraqi patriotism and survival instincts to deny his interrogator such information. The interrogator's challenge in such situations is to assess and manipulate the situation, somehow persuading his captive to make disclosures in spite of the prisoner's visceral fear of the consequences if he helps the enemy. The role of the interrogator is, in essence, that of a recruiter. The prisoner must be convinced that if he reveals state secrets, his captor will handle his trust with discretion and take care of him.

    Generations of professional interrogators have possessed such skills, and used them to obtain information vital to our country. Those who have not mastered these techniques fall back on the ultimate admission of incompetence and resort to brutality. Once this moral frontier is crossed, captives on the receiving end of such treatment respond to their survival instincts. Spurred by cunning and fueled by the hatred stoked by their tormentor's brutality, they respond as our American aviators responded in the Hanoi Hilton, showing their contempt by lying, invention, stalling -- anything to stop the abuse -- or by accepting death before dishonor.

    Torture is wrong, and it doesn't work. Would that the amateurs understood that as well as the professionals.
  • ...then this event is for you. Phebe Marr, Joost Hiltermann, and William McCallister all talking about Iraq is alone worth the price of admission, but the Center for Technology and National Security Policy at NDU has put together what looks to be a really solid (and free) event.
  • When the fighting at Nahr al-Bared Refugee Camp in northern Lebanon ended, Abu Muqawama wondered how, exactly, the camp's residents would ever be able to re-build. Today's report in the Guardian does nothing to answer that question but paints a bleak picture of what remains for refugees. This blog and the internet don't really do the pictures justice, but you really need to look at the devastation in their special photo essay. The place really is, as this blog has earlier guessed, a "Stalingrad." In the paper version of the Guardian today, they ran a two-page spread of one photograph that was literally breath-taking. Not as breath-taking, though, as this heart-warming vignette:

    Inside the few homes that escaped the fires, racist graffiti covered the walls, many signed by a group calling themselves Sons of the Army or by particular commando groups.

    One read: "It's a sin for a Palestinian to live in a home, they should live in hovels with the other animals."

    Classy. The Arab Nation at its finest. Angry Arab has posted pictures of this graffiti on his website if anyone's interested in the untranslated text.

    Anyway, at the moment Abu Muqawama is working on an article arguing why, in the aftermath of Iraq, we can expect to see more bloodshed along the lines of Nahr al-Bared in Iraq's neighboring states.
  • Charlie had originally filed this article under "eye roll" and moved on. Because honestly, how worked up can you get with people who are complaining about the lack of footnotes in a goddamned Army / Marine field manual? Instead, she'd like to direct your attention to two surprising elements of this "story":

    1) We have a field manual where footnotes are required!

    2) Anthropologists are reading it!

    Let's be honest here folks: this is not about plagiarism (the paragraph about Kilcullen's 28 articles paralleling Lawrence's original articles is particularly hilarious). This is about opposition to the Iraq War (which Charlie understands) and opposition to civilian academics helping the military fight it better (which Charlie does not). So, instead of marveling that anyone took the time and effort to put anthropology, history, and (gasp!) even some political science in a freaking field manual (!), they kvetch over the footnotes. It reminds Charlie of the classic lament: The food here is tehribble, and the portions are so smawll!

    This blogger is reluctant to write-off all of academia as irrelevant, tweed-lovers. Most all of her advisors did significant government consulting work, and the academy and policy-makers were better for it. But these sad, petulant attacks from a small Ivory Tower fringe shouldn't be tolerated. They are the last refuge of ill-informed scoundrels.
  • Issandr over at The Arabist -- whose job description includes reading publications like CounterPunch so Abu Muqawama doesn't have to -- sent over a .pdf file yesterday morning of this article, which you can now read for free. In it, David Price pretty much tees off on the authors of FM 3-24, accusing them of plagiarism as well as, hilariously, being "marginally skilled writers" and "desperate people with limited skills." (Nope, no academic elitism here. None at all. Look away, please.)

    Yes, folks, it's a smear piece. (Price can't even be bothered to get John "Jon" Nagl's name right in the original article, he's so full of righteous anger.) Yes, it was published by CounterPunch, whose breathless headline was "Pilfered Scholarship Devastates General Petraeus's Counterinsurgency Manual." (Who writes their headlines? The Sun?) And yes, the charges that Page 3 stunner Montgomery McFate is "prostituting" the field of anthropology to the services of empire is nothing new either. (Abu Muqawama guesses this is because of the obvious financial rewards involved with a Harvard Law graduate working for, uh, the federal government.) But the plagiarism claim is new and deserves attention. Read the article, and don't feel bad if you skip toward the end to the unacknowledged sources section.

    In the final analysis, the folks over at the Wired blog probably have it correct when they write:

    Does military doctrine need to adhere to academic standards? No, it doesn't, it's not scholarship. Then again, should Pentagon officials really be surprised that academics are acting, well, like academics? No, they shouldn't be.

    I predict it'll only get worse from here.

    Yes, Dear Readers, it very likely will. The self-righteous struggle of the anthropological establishment against the forces of hegemony must continue. (Because every other academic field -- political science, the physical sciences, etc. -- has pretty much thrown in the towel and decided that if you're going to get all culturally relative, working for The Man isn't any worse than toiling away in some cushy academic post in the developed world. Either way, that little hunchback Sardinian whose picture hangs on your wall thinks you're a total sell-out.)

    Abu Muqawama will be interested to see how the University of Chicago Press handles all of this. Will they panic and print some disclaimer or re-call the books? Or will they just shrug and say, "Yeah, dudes, it's a military manual. We, like, re-printed it. So go sue Bob or something." (Abu Muqawama is not entirely sure why he imagines Jeff Spicoli as the U. of Chicago spokesman here, but he does, so go with it.)

    Anyway, stay tuned. Abu Muqawama knows Charlie has an opinion here.

    (By the way, does anyone else think that CounterPunch's language of violence -- "Pilfered Scholarship Devastates General Petraeus's Counterinsurgency Manual" -- is just crying out for some English Literature PhD student to lend his/her analysis? I swear, as soon as they finish their espressos and an American Spirit, the folks at CounterPunch are off to join the revolution. Just wait a sec ... one more sip ... they'll catch up.)
  • Well done, New York Times. There's some good reporting today from Afghanistan on foreign fighters. There's also a cool video report here. The written report talks about the effect the influx of foreign fighters has on the insurgency:

    Afghan and American officials say the Siberian intended to be a suicide bomber, one of several hundred foreign militants who have gravitated to the region to fight alongside the Taliban this year, the largest influx since 2001.

    The foreign fighters are not only bolstering the ranks of the insurgency. They are more violent, uncontrollable and extreme than even their locally bred allies, officials on both sides of the Afghan-Pakistan border warn.

    They are also helping to change the face of the Taliban from a movement of hard-line Afghan religious students into a loose network that now includes a growing number of foreign militants as well as disgruntled Afghans and drug traffickers.

    ...

    “We’ve seen an unprecedented level of reports of foreign-fighter involvement,” said Maj. Gen. Bernard S. Champoux, deputy commander for security of the NATO-led International Security Assistance Force. “They’ll threaten people if they don’t provide meals and support.”

    In interviews in southern and eastern Afghanistan, local officials and village elders also reported having seen more foreigners fighting alongside the Taliban than in any year since the American-led invasion in 2001.

    Read the rest here. NATO says the presence of these fighters is a sign of desperation. American military and intelligence analysts, by contrast, are a bit more worried. They should be.

  • Brilliant. Just brilliant. It's past four in the morning, though, and Abu Muqawama is off to bed.
  • Abu Muqawama and Charlie put our heads together across the Atlantic Ocean and came up with this, the long-awaited Counterinsurgency Reading List. This list is not exhaustive, but the "essentials" and "intermediate" lists include all the books and articles the two of us think you should read. There's also some fiction and films -- and even a section on political Islam because while it doesn't necessarily have anything to do with COIN, it certainly has relevance to the operating environments in which some of our readership live and work. Click on the links, and they should -- with a few exceptions -- either take you to the article or to the link on amazon.com.

    Wan to know what we think about specific books and articles? Check out our COIN Book Club entries, which review select offerings from this Reading List.

    Counterinsurgency Reading List
    October 2007
    (updated November 2007)
    (updated March 2008)
    (updated May 2009)

    The Bare Bones Essentials

    David Galula, Counterinsurgency Warfare: Theory and Practice
    David Kilcullen, "28 Articles", Military Review, May-June 2006
    Kalev Sepp, "Best Practices in COIN", Military Review, May-June 2005

    Intermediate Reading

    Colonial Era
    Robert Bateman, "Lawrence and his Message"
    C.E. Callwell, Small Wars
    John Cann, Counterinsurgency in Africa: The Portuguese Way of War 1961-1974
    Carl von Clausewitz, On War
    Bernard Fall, The Street without Joy
    David Galula, Pacification in Algeria: 1956-1958
    Tony Geraghty, The Irish War
    Charles Gwynn, Imperial Policing
    Alistair Horne, A Savage War of Peace: Algeria 1954-1962
    Frank Kitson, Gangs and Counter-Gangs
    Robert Komer, Bureaucracy Does its Thing
    Andrew Krepinevich, The Army and Vietnam
    John Nagl, Learning to Eat Soup with a Knife: Counterinsurgency Lessons from Malaya and Vietnam
    Neil Sheehan, A Bright Shining Lie
    Robert Taber, War of the Flea
    Robert Thompson, Defeating Communist Insurgency
    Roger Trinquier, Modern Warfare
    Mao Tse-Tung, On Guerrilla Warfare
    Bing West, The Village

    Modern Day
    Ralph Baker, "The Decisive Weapon", Military Review, May-June 2006
    David Barno, “Fighting ‘The Other War’: Counterinsurgency in Afghanistan, 2003-2005,” Military Review, September-October 2007
    Stephen Biddle, “Seeing Baghdad, Thinking Saigon,” Foreign Affairs, March-April 2006
    Burgoyne & Marckwardt, The Defense of Jisr al-Doreaa
    Peter Chiarelli, "Winning the Peace", Military Review, July-August 2005
    Nigel Alwyn Foster, "Changing the Army for COIN Operations", Military Review, November-December 2005
    Les Grau, The Bear Went Over the Mountain
    T.X. Hammes, The Sling and the Stone: On War in the 21st Century
    T.X. Hammes, “Fourth Generation Evolves, Fifth Emerges,” Military Review, May-June 2007
    Hecker & Rid, War 2.0: Irregular Warfare in the Information Age
    Chris Hickey, "Principles and Priorities for Training in Iraq", Military Review, March-April 2007
    Frank Hoffman, "Hybrid Threats"
    David Kilcullen, The Accidental Guerrilla

    David Kilcullen, "Anatomy of a Tribal Revolt"
    David Kilcullen, “Counterinsurgency Redux,” Survival, Winter, 2006
    John Kizley, "Learning About Counterinsurgency", Military Review, March-April 2007
    Sean MacFarland and Niel Smith, "Anbar Awakens," Military Review, March-April 2008
    Marston & Malkasian, Counterinsurgency in Modern Warfare
    H.R. McMaster, “On War: Lessons to be Learned.” Survival, February-March 2008
    Steven Metz, Rethinking Insurgency
    Elizabeth Rubin, "Battle Company Is Out There"
    Rupert Smith, The Utility of Force
    Various, FM 3-24, "Counterinsurgency"

    Advanced Reading

    Hannah Arendt, On Revolution
    Hannah Arendt, On Violence
    Robert Asprey, War in the Shadows
    Robert Bates, Prosperity and Violence
    Jarret M. Brachman and William F. McCants, "Stealing Al-Qaeda's Playbook," CTC Report, February 2006
    Scott A. Cuomo and Brian J. Donlon, "Training a 'Hybrid' Warrior," Marine Corps Gazette
    Loup Francart, Maitriser la violence
    Robert M. Gates, "Beyond Guns and Steel: Reviving the Nonmilitary Instruments of American Power"
    Antonio Giustozzi, Koran, Kalashnikov, and the Laptop: The Neo Taliban Insurgency in Afghanistan
    John Bagot Glubb, War in the Desert
    Daniel Helmer, "Flipside of the COIN: Israel’s Lebanese Incursion Between 1982-2000"
    Stathis Kalyvas, The Logic of Violence in Civil Wars
    Alan B. Krueger, What Makes a Terrorist
    Mark Lichbach, The Rebel’s Dilemma
    Yezid Sayigh, Armed Struggle and the Search for State: The Palestinian National Movement, 1949-1993
    James Scott, Moral Economy of the Peasant
    Frederic M. Wehrey, “A Clash of Wills: Hizballah’s Psychological Campaign Against Israel in South Lebanon.”
    Jeremy Weinstein, Inside Rebellion: Politics of Insurgent Violence

    Fiction

    Graham Greene, The Quiet American
    Rudyard Kipling, Kim
    Jean Larteguy, The Centurions
    Leon Uris, Trinity

    Films

    The Battle of Algiers
    Go Tell The Spartans
    The Wind that Shakes the Barley

  • The always reliable Small Wars Journal Blog has an extended post on the issues surrounding the State Dept's role in COIN campaigns. In particular it highlights comments from Inside the Pentagon of one of Charlie's favorite retired Army colonels, Robert Killebrew:
    … “We are best served by a strategy of decentralization to forward-station forces that are permanently in the country, that can be molded and adapted and reinforced as the crises builds,” he continued. “And when I say forces, I mean primarily the U.S. State Department country team headed by a capable ambassador” and other government organizations enforcing an interagency approach to the situation.
    “Every counterinsurgency expert always says that in a counterinsurgency situation, the political should lead the military. And we absolutely do not do that when we send military forces into a country with the U.S. ambassador,” Killebrew said.
    The emphasis on local forces waging a war is rooted in a belief that the presence of foreign troops in a country like Iraq, regardless of well-meaning motives, always prompts insurgents to claim that infidels are trying to conquer their lands, he explained.
    To that end, the next administration must rebuild the State Department’s capabilities, he said. “And when you do that, you have to understand that you’re dealing with a traumatized child. State is so accustomed to being abused by Congress,” he said, adding there are not enough senior staffers to fight for more resources on Capitol Hill. “That has got to change,” Killebrew said…
    Charlie has heard Killebrew beat this drum for some time; his proposals for a reinvigoration of the Military Advisory and Assistance Group (MAAGs) are one of the few that actually constitute a "strategy" for The Long War. Charlie is particularly intrigued by the idea that the US should be involved, you know, before everything goes to sh*t. Killebrew's argument isn't merely about force structure or force employment, but a fundamental re-envisioning of how to best meet the demands of US interests in the 21st Century.

    At the operational level, Killebrew argues that the "inter-agency" will never be solved in Washington. Instead we should let local commanders and ambassadors work out issues on the ground as part of a action-oriented country team. (Some see the Khalilzad-Barno days in Afghanistan as one model to emulate.) As one who allegedly teaches about the inter-agency, Charlie has deep sympathy with Killebrew on this front.

    All of this begs the question as to what State's role is in COIN campaigns? Charlie has heard military officers refer all too often to "civilian capacity" with the idea that the Foreign Service is chock full of experts on agriculture, water and electrical systems, tribal cultures, and more. This blogger is pretty sure that if those people existed, they'd volunteer to be on the first flights overseas (and to the extent that those skills do exist, those folks are true first responders). But the Foreign Service exists to represent US interests in foreign capitols. If we want an expeditionary State Department, we're going to have to (re)create one in much the same way we have to (re)create those capabilities in the Army and Marine Corps as well.
  • The Economist has as good an introduction to COIN and the debate surrounding it that you're likely to read anywhere. This is all old news and familiar names -- Hammes, Nagl, Kilcullen, etc. -- to Abu Muqawama's readership, which is probably why Charlie didn't post this despite sending it along last night. (In the absence of Red Sox games, that woman has no idea how to spend a Friday night. Ten bucks says she spent the evening curled up on the couch with a dog-eared copy of Mahan's The Influence of Sea Power upon History, 1660-1783.) This article is well worth reading, though.

    Although most armies have now relearnt the limits of force and the importance of the “comprehensive approach”, commanders complain that other branches of government have not. In a recent article, General Peter Chiarelli, an adviser to Robert Gates, America's secretary of defence, says more money has to be spent not on the Pentagon but on the “non-kinetic aspects of our national power”. He recommends building up the “minuscule” State Department and USAID development agency (so small it is “little more than a contracting agency”), and reviving the United States Information Agency.

    As the American army expands, some thinkers, such as Colonel Nagl, say it needs not just more soldiers—nor even linguists, civil-affairs officers and engineers—but a fully fledged 20,000-strong corps of advisers that will train and “embed” themselves with allied forces around the world. The idea makes army commanders blanch, but they do not question the underlying assumption. Insurgencies may be the face of war for the West in the years ahead. Even if America cannot imagine fighting another Iraq or Afghanistan, extremists round the world have seen mighty America's vulnerability to the rocket-propelled grenade, the AK-47 and the suicide-bomber.
  • This is about four years too late, but kudos for the State Department for finally ordering more diplomats to deploy to Iraq.

    WASHINGTON, Oct. 26 (Reuters) — Facing staff shortages in Iraq, the State Department announced Friday that diplomats would have no choice but to accept one-year postings in the hostile environment or face losing their jobs.

    Folks in the Department of Defense like to blame things in Iraq on State and the other agencies, but there are two big problems with the State Department: One, it's too darn small. It is no accident that 2008 presidential candidates are echoing Newt Gingrich's call to triple the size of the department -- or at least increase the number of officers. Two, unlike the U.S. military, State has no real expeditionary history. When a soldier is ordered to war, he goes. State, meanwhile, does not "mobilize" and "deploy" its personnel. Neither, for that matter, does the Department of Justice, the Department of the Treasury, or any of the other agencies that need to partner with Defense in an effort like that in Iraq or Afghanistan.

    Update: Karen DeYoung has a longer, better article in the Washington Post.
  • One, if the Italian legal system were some incorruptible, we-mean-business outfit that put the Sicilian and Neapolitan mafia bosses behind bars and clamped down on the crimes and corruption of Italy's elected officials, Abu Muqawama would have more patience for it when it starts going after U.S. soldiers who accidentally shoot an Italian spy going through a security checkpoint, at night, during a war:

    ROME, Oct. 25 — An Italian court ruled Thursday that it did not have jurisdiction to continue a trial against an American soldier who killed a top Italian intelligence agent in Iraq in 2005. The trial, a continuing irritant in relations between Italy and the United States, had been held in absentia because American officials refused to hand over the soldier, Mario Lozano.

    Two, does anyone else ever notice how the National Review never runs out of the energy needed to attack some idiot soldier-blogger employed by The New Republic -- another magazine readable only for its book reviews -- but just never seems to have the space to dedicate to critical analysis of this massive disaster of a war in Iraq? (Read here and here. The only thing worthwhile about the latter article is that it highlights LTC Fred Johnson, a mentor to young Abu Muqawama and, despite his choice in students, a first-rate infantry officer.) Seriously, now that the war they all supported has turned out to be a lot more difficult than first imagined, these clowns at the National Review would rather play shoot-the-messenger than think hard how we might have done this one better. Enough already.
  • Anyway, that's what the al-Aqsa Martyrs' Brigades say. Clancy Chassay, who filmed and edited this fantastic video report from Gaza, isn't the kind of reporter who is going to ask any critical questions. (Um, what exactly does that mean, this "resistance," and how exactly does that constitute a "strategy" that's going to make your people safer and not just provoke furious retaliation?) He's more likely to buy into this whole "noble resistance" thing and blame the U.S. for the region's troubles. That said, who cares? As long as his guerrilla-romancing politics allow him to carry out this kind of "insurgent's eye-view" reporting, Abu Muqawama applauds and will pick up his bar tab in whatever trendy Gemmayze cafe he frequents these days.
  • Charlie has it on good authority that Bob Woodward is working on a fourth installment in his Bush at War series, with at least a portion of it focusing on the turn-around in Anbar province. Charlie is anxious to see how Woodward's narrative plays out. The "Anbar Awakening" is a story that has legs well beyond Iraq in 2007 and has implications for both our Iraq exit strategy ("bottom up reconciliation") as well as how we evaluate our prospects for exploiting local fissures and countering Al Qaeda-style local governance in the future.

    Anyone know of any other books in the pipeline about the last couple years of the War?
  • Abu Muqawama spent yesterday afternoon in the library, reading Barry Posen's explanation of the way in which inter-war France did its best to pawn its national responsibility to defend its borders off onto others. By the time the French realized their efforts to build coalitions had failed, they had neither the time nor the political will to muster power internally.

    Roger Cohen reports today from Afghanistan that European states are still trying to pawn their responsibilities to muster power and fight off onto others -- but the reasons for doing so are complicated, especially in the case of Germany. Cohen doesn't really address that complexity, but his entire op-ed is still worth reading.

    Remember the Wehrmacht? It was a formidable fighting force. The modern German army, the Bundeswehr, is also very effective. Thing is, it is reluctant to fight or even place itself in danger.

    Given history, that may seem just fine. The United States helped frame the institutions of today’s Germany precisely to guarantee peace over war. But in Afghanistan, where 3,200 Germans serve in a hard-pressed NATO force, a touch of “Bundesmacht” would be welcome.

    ...

    “In Afghanistan, NATO solidarity collapses at the point of danger,” said Julian Lindley-French, a military expert at the Netherlands Defense Academy. “There’s no point planning robust operations worldwide if the burden is not shared. A lot of the German troops are little more than heavily armed traffic cops.”

    Canada, with about 2,500 soldiers in Afghanistan, has seen 71 killed. That is about three times the German losses and seven times the Italian. Britain has more than 80 dead, and the United States almost 450. These are eloquent numbers.

  • Fellow mil-blogger Blackfive, whose politics are decidedly right-of-center, has a hilarious report from a David Horowitz event for Islamo-Facism Week. He discovers a) David Horowitz is a clown, even if you agree with much of what he says, and b) nothing unites Americans across the political and religious spectra like our universal dislike of crazy 9/11 conspiracy theorists. This post is so worth reading.

    And for those of you looking for a slightly (read: much) more intelligent discussion of political Islam, try this long essay from the New York Review of Books. (h/t Martin Kramer) Oh, and for a longer treatment of the subject, Abu Muqawama has been recommending Hourani's timeless Arabic Thought in the Liberal Age, 1798-1939 to anyone and everyone who has asked him for a primer on political Islam.

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