20YY Warfare Initiative

20YY Warfare is an ambitious, multi-year project to examine how emerging technologies will shape the future of warfare. Rapid advances in unmanned systems, robotics, data processing, autonomy, networking, and other enabling technologies have the potential to spur an entirely new warfighting regime. State and non-state actors alike will seek to exploit these and other new technologies, many of which are driven by commercial sector innovation in information technology. The U.S. military will need to develop new concepts of operation, doctrine, training, policies, and organizational structures to exploit these technologies and stay ahead in the emerging warfighting regime. These developments may occur in the next decade or later, hence “20YY.”

The 20YY Warfare Initiative will focus on publishing groundbreaking research and growing the community of interest on these issues. 20YY aims to deliver practical, actionable recommendations to policy makers today to help prepare the U.S. military for the challenges and opportunities these technologies will present in the years to come.

What is Autonomy?

In February 2014, Paul Scharre, fellow and project director for the 20YY Warfare Initiative, discussed Autonomous Technologies at the Chatham House, London.

The Role of Robotics on the Battlefield

On June 11, 2014, Mr. Scharre also presented on the 20YY Warfare Initiative during the CNAS Eighth Annual National Security Conference. USNI News covered his presentation and new report.


20YY Warfare Initiative Team:

Related Content

  • October 22, 2014
  • Daniel Burg, Paul Scharre
  • Op-eds

To Save Money, Go Unmanned

U.S. Defense Department leaders have called for a renewed effort to sustain America’s military technological dominance, but to do so they will have to fight an uphill battle against entrenched bureaucratic interests competing over a shrinking budgetary pie. Whether this initiative will be more...

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  • October 21, 2014
  • Ben FitzGerald
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Technology strategy then and now – the Long Range Research and Development Planning Program

Deputy Secretary of Defense Bob Work has called for a new offset strategy to help maintain the United States’ military technical superiority. But is a third offset strategy the best approach for the United States today and can we successfully implement one? Previous offset strategies addressed...

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  • October 20, 2014
  • Paul Scharre
  • Op-eds

The Coming Swarm: Robotics on the Battlefield

The unfolding robotics revolution is transforming a range of industries, from manufacturing to transportation, warehouse management, household appliances, toys, elder care and more. Similarly, it will lead to significant and perhaps surprising changes in warfare. Uninhabited vehicles, like the...

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  • October 17, 2014
  • Paul Scharre
  • Other Media

Can Automation Reduce Training Costs?

A preliminary analysis of pilot initial qualification training for manned and unmanned aircraft. Unmanned aircraft require significantly fewer flying hours for pilot training, and this savings is magnified for unmanned aircraft with a high degree of automation for flight control. Download a PDF of...

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  • October 15, 2014
  • Press Releases

CNAS Releases New Report "Robotics on the Battlefield Part II: The Coming Swarm"

  Washington, October 15 – Center for a New American Security (CNAS) Fellow and 20YY Warfare Initiative Director Paul Scharre has written a new report, Robotics on the Battlefield Part II: The Coming Swarm. The report examines the role that “swarms” of robots will play in the future of warfare,...

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  • October 15, 2014
  • Paul Scharre
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Robotics on the Battlefield Part II: The Coming Swarm

CNAS-the-coming-swarm-20yy-paul-scharre
In "Robotics on the Battlefield Part II: The Coming Swarm," 20YY Warfare Initiative Director Paul Scharre explores the power of robot swarms. It includes specific recommendations for action to preserve U.S. military dominance in an age of autonomous systems. The report suggests that swarms of...

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  • October 10, 2014
  • Paul Scharre, Shawn Brimley
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To Save the Navy’s Next-Gen Drone, Kill It First

The Defense Department was set to release this summer the final request for proposal for the Unmanned Carrier-Launched Airborne Surveillance and Strike, or UCLASS, aircraft, but divisions within the department about the scope of the program and the Navy’s requirements of the drone have led to...

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  • October 8, 2014
  • Paul Scharre
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U.S. Options Limited by Lack of Drones Over Syria

As a U.S.-led coalition of nations tries to prevent the Syrian town of Kobani from falling into the hands of the self-proclaimed Islamic State, failure to do so could have as much to do with resources as it does with the flaws of a strategy that, for now, is mostly reliant on airstrikes alone....

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  • October 7, 2014
  • Paul Scharre
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Do Drones Have A Future?

Thirteen years ago today the Predator drone saw its first armed reconnaissance mission in Afghanistan. Since then, the U.S. military drone fleet has grown by leaps and bounds. The U.S. Air Force has scores of Predators and Reapers stationed around the globe 24/7, high-altitude drones like Global...

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  • October 5, 2014
  • Paul Scharre
  • In the News

American naval effort swarms of robots

Dangerous jobs such as explosives detection, battlefield reconnaissance, and precision air strikes robots have been delivered. Now, the American Navy decided he takes the technology a step further. According to a report on the site nationaldefensemagazine .org. Experiment in August, a team of...

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