April 30, 2020

When machine learning comes to nuclear communication systems

Nuclear deterrence depends on fragile, human perceptions of credibility.

As states armed with nuclear weapons turn to machine learning techniques to enhance their nuclear command, control, and communications (NC3) systems, the United States and its competitors should take care that these new tools do not inadvertently accelerate crisis instability or an arms race.

NC3 Systems and Credibility

Stability between competing nations largely relies on ascertaining the credibility of threats, capabilities, and decisions in order to decrease uncertainty and reduce the risk of conflict. Throughout the Cold War, NC3 systems served as mechanisms for signaling intent and capability, ensuring the credibility of deterrence postures, and decreasing the risk of nuclear war. In the early 21st century, technological developments such as machine learning techniques are introducing new dynamics and capabilities that increase uncertainty and lend to “strategic instability.”

Read the full article from C4ISRNET.

Learn more about the Artificial Intelligence and International Stability Project:

Artificial Intelligence and International Stability Project

Despite calls from prominent scientists to avoid militarizing AI, nation-states are already using AI and machine-learning tools for national security purposes. AI has the pote...

Read More
  • Congressional Testimony
    • October 19, 2023
    Obstacles and Opportunities for Transformative Change

    Watch:...

    By Paul Scharre

  • Commentary
    • Foreign Policy
    • June 13, 2023
    Every Country Is on Its Own on AI

    But establishing such an institution quickly enough to match AI’s accelerating progress is likely a pipe dream, given the history of nuclear arms controls and their status tod...

    By Bill Drexel & Michael Depp

  • Commentary
    • The Hill
    • June 10, 2023
    The Time to Regulate AI Is Now

    Policymakers should also be under no illusion that a light regulatory touch will somehow prevent a degree of concentration at AI’s frontier....

    By Caleb Withers

  • Video
    • June 6, 2023
    Is an AI arms race underway?

    The role of artificial intelligence has long been debated in military communities. But as recent leapfrog advancements in technology have garnered headlines about the effects ...

    By Paul Scharre

View All Reports View All Articles & Multimedia