December 23, 2025
Trump Isn’t That Serious About Defeating Xi
This article was originally published in The Wall Street Journal.
We wish we could agree with Matthew Kroenig’s assessment that the Trump administration is serious about defeating Beijing (Letters, Dec. 20). Whatever virtue the national security strategy may contain, two recent moves by the administration run counter to its logic and put wind in the sails of the Communist Party’s ambitions to eclipse the U.S. as the world’s leading power.
First, the NSS rightly warns against “hostile foreign influence” in the form of “destructive propaganda” and “cultural subversion.” Yet President Trump is sidestepping the clearest remedy to the most egregious vector for such influence: TikTok. Congress passed, and the Supreme Court unanimously upheld, a law requiring the app’s Chinese owner, ByteDance, to divest and relinquish operational control of the U.S. business or be banned. The emerging deal in Washington allows ByteDance to maintain a significant stake and appears to preserve Chinese control over the algorithm that shapes the media diets of more than a third of Americans, cementing Beijing’s ability to manipulate U.S. public opinion on everything from Taiwan to the midterm elections.
The notion that China will stay “hooked” on our AI stack flies in the face of everything we know about Beijing’s drive for self-reliance.
Second, though the NSS rightly calls to maintain “technological preeminence,” the president’s decision to allow Nvidia to sell its H200 chips to China directly contradicts that goal. The deal may boost the company’s market share there, but it represents a strategic own goal for the U.S. Easier access to our chips accelerates Beijing’s dual-track strategy of leveraging advanced foreign hardware to rectify near-term deficiencies in AI training while pursuing semiconductor independence. The H200 fills the most consequential gap in China’s AI ecosystem: high-end training compute it can’t yet produce at scale.
Unsurprisingly, Washington’s concession hasn’t moderated Beijing’s indigenization drive. Chinese authorities are reportedly weighing $70 billion in new incentives for domestic chipmaking while limiting how many foreign chips state-funded data centers can purchase to ensure sufficient demand for local alternatives. The notion that China will stay “hooked” on our AI stack flies in the face of everything we know about Beijing’s drive for self-reliance.
Read the full article on The Wall Street Journal.
More from CNAS
-
Could There Be a Way to Make Economic Sanctions More Mission Oriented?
One of the main tools foreign policy leaders have to exert pressure on other governments is through the use of economic tools. Sanctions, export controls, investment restricti...
By Lt Col Mary Hossier
-
Boosting Economic Security Collaboration Among G7 Economies and like-Minded Allies
Emily Kilcrease, senior fellow and director of the CNAS energy, economics, and security program, and Geoff Gertz, senior fellow, participated in the T7, the official engagemen...
By Emily Kilcrease & Geoffrey Gertz
-
Ducking Climate Science Is a Danger to the U.S. Military. Congress Must Help.
This article was originally published in Breaking Defense. The Trump Administration’s recent decision to revoke the EPA “endangerment finding” is emblematic of a trend in Amer...
By Will Rogers
-
CNAS Insights | Trump's Plan B for Tariffs
The administration is already pivoting to a new tariff architecture that will mostly, though not entirely, recreate his previous tariffs....
By Geoffrey Gertz
