Reports
Showing 1-20 of 727 Publications
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Reports
Technology & National Security
Sovereign AgentsExecutive Summary In summer 2026, OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind, and Meta each disclosed that their AI agents had escaped containment during cybersecurity task evaluation...
By Ben Hayum
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Charting the New Nuclear Age
Reports
Executive Summary With the continued growth of China’s nuclear arsenal, the United States will likely face two nuclear peer threats in the coming years. The United States cann...
By Stacie Pettyjohn, Carlton Haelig & Natasha Lander Finch
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Munitions Procurement and the Fiscal Year 2027 Defense Budget
Reports
Executive Summary The war with Iran has taken a tremendous toll on the American military’s munitions stockpile. Over half its inventory of high-end missile interceptors has be...
By Carlton Haelig
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Behind the Front Line
Reports
This report considers the near-term opportunities that exist for integrating agentic artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities across the Department of War. While integration ...
By Josh Wallin & Carlton Haelig
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The Russia Stability Tracker
Reports
In February 2023—one year into Russian President Vladimir Putin’s war on Ukraine—the Center for a New American Security convened a group of leading U.S. experts on Putin’s Rus...
By Andrea Kendall-Taylor
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Reports
Technology & National Security
The AGI MomentIntroduction The age of AI is upon us. What that means is not yet clear. As general-purpose AI capabilities continue to march toward human-level performance across a range of ...
By Paul Scharre
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Drones, Missiles, and the U.S. Munitions Shortage
Reports
Executive Summary Drones have exploded in popularity since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. There is a growing view that inexpensive drones—“affordable mass”—a...
By Philip Sheers & Stacie Pettyjohn
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Reports
National Security Human Capital
Redrawing the MapExecutive Summary The United States is home to 17.3 million veterans in 2026—a population that has declined from 21.0 million in 2015, as older, conscription-era veterans have...
By Katherine L. Kuzminski
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Superpowers and AGI
Reports
Executive Summary Artificial intelligence (AI) systems continue to progress at a steady pace. This trend has fed forecasts that artificial general intelligence (AGI)—generally...
By Jacob Stokes
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Whither the Coalition?
Reports
Executive Summary The future of Taiwan, a self-governing island democracy that is claimed by the People’s Republic of China (PRC), remains one of the most complex and fraught ...
By Emily Kilcrease & James Crabtree
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An Uphill Climb
Reports
Executive Summary To avoid what is becoming a human rights catastrophe for the women and girls of Afghanistan and a ticking time bomb for a major terrorist resurgence in the n...
By Lisa Curtis & Annie Pforzheimer
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Hibernating Bear
Reports
Executive Summary Since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, there have been several crises—in Syria, Nagorno-Karabakh, Venezuela, and Iran—where Russia did not intervene ...
By Andrea Kendall-Taylor, Peter Schroeder & Kate Johnston
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Forecasting the Future of the Axis of Upheaval
Reports
Executive Summary This report assesses the future of the “axis of upheaval”—the deepening relationships among Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea—from Moscow’s perspective. T...
By Andrea Kendall-Taylor
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Reports
Technology & National Security
Red LinesChinese advanced artificial intelligence (AI) systems pose a serious and growing threat to U.S. national security. At least seven Chinese developers now produce systems with f...
By Daniel Remler
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Reports
Technology & National Security
Adversarial DistillationThe Chinese Communist Party (CCP) views artificial intelligence (AI) as central to strategic competition with the United States and is pursuing every means to strengthen its A...
By Daniel Remler & Ben Hayum
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Thwarting Communications Blackout
Reports
Control over the physical means of transmitting information—the lifeblood of modern societies—has become a central area of contestation between Taiwan and the United States on...
By Jacob Stokes & Ryan Claffey
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Reports
Technology & National Security
The Entanglement EdgeQuantum networking—technologies that transmit quantum states between nodes—is an underappreciated but potentially consequential dimension of U.S.-China quantum competition....
By Constanza M. Vidal Bustamante & Morgan Peirce
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Invested Allies
Reports
The United States is seeking to strengthen its domestic capabilities and supply chain resilience in a number of sectors critical for its economic security, including semicondu...
By Geoffrey Gertz & Eleanor Hume
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Reports
Transatlantic Security / Global Swing States
Beyond the SahelRussia has been expanding its engagement in Africa under President Vladimir Putin, seeking to increase Russia’s access to resources (either natural or military, including port...
By Kate Johnston, Valeria Allende & Isabel Dlabach
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Reports
Technology & National Security
American AI Companies Can’t Get Enough ChipsIn 2026, artificial intelligence (AI) chip production has become a binding constraint on the pace of the AI compute buildout. Demand for computing power to train and deploy ad...
By James Sanders, Janet Egan & Rory Madigan
