Featured Reports
Behind the Front Line
Josh Wallin, Carlton Haelig | September 30, 2026
The AGI Moment
Paul Scharre | September 21, 2026
Drones, Missiles, and the U.S. Munitions Shortage
Philip Sheers, Stacie Pettyjohn | September 18, 2026
Redrawing the Map
Katherine L. Kuzminski | September 15, 2026
Behind the Front Line
This report considers the near-term opportunities that exist for integrating agentic artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities across the Department of War. While integration ...
The AGI Moment
Introduction The age of AI is upon us. What that means is not yet clear. As general-purpose AI capabilities continue to march toward human-level performance across a range of ...
Drones, Missiles, and the U.S. Munitions Shortage
Executive Summary Drones have exploded in popularity since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. There is a growing view that inexpensive drones—“affordable mass”—a...
Redrawing the Map
Executive Summary The United States is home to 17.3 million veterans in 2026—a population that has declined from 21.0 million in 2015, as older, conscription-era veterans have...
CNAS INSIGHTS
CNAS Insights brings timely analysis and expert commentary to the most pressing topics in national security.
CNAS Insights | U.S.-China AI Agreements Need Verification, Not Trust
The upcoming Trump-Xi summit is likely to disappoint the leaders of top AI labs that have recently called for urgent, coordinated pacing of frontier AI progress. While agreeme...
CNAS Insights | Strategic Stability with China Will Come at a Cost
U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese General Secretary Xi Jinping will meet this week for the latest high-stakes summit. A core focus will be extending a trade truce set to...
CNAS Insights | America Must Expand AI Export Controls Amid Talks with China
The path forward is to lengthen the United States’ AI lead by expanding, not weakening, technology protections, starting with closing three priority gaps: remote access, adver...
Press
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The Air Force Retreats from Studying China
CASI’s goal is to “study everything that flies in China” in order to “better understand decision making, limitations, opportunities, and challenges,” as then-Chairman of the J...
By Tom Shugart
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Indo-Pacific Security / Energy, Economics & Security
U.S.-China Relations: Avoiding the Worst Case Isn’t Good EnoughInstead, the prevailing conclusion is that the meeting was “a diplomatic nothing burger,” in the words of regional analyst and adjunct senior fellow at the Center for a New Am...
By James Crabtree
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Fortress Guam: The Environmental Cost of Preparing for War with China
“The reason that Guam was important in the 1600s for the Spanish was the same reason it was important for the United States when they got it from Spain in 1898, the same reaso...
By Carlton Haelig
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What Boeing’s F/A-XX Win Means for the Company, and What Challenges Come Next
Stacie Pettyjohn, a senior fellow and director of the defense program at the Center for a New American Security, voiced similar sentiments, saying that winning F/A-XX represen...
By Stacie Pettyjohn
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Iraq Begins High-Stakes Security Balancing Act as U.S. Troops Withdraw
Hamzeh Hadad, an adjunct fellow with the Middle East Security Program at the Centre for a New American Security, said there were no immediate signs the US planned a wholesale ...
By Hamzeh Hadad
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Our Research Programs
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Behind the Front Line
This report considers the near-term opportunities that exist for integrating agentic artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities across the Department of War. While integration ...
By Josh Wallin & Carlton Haelig
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The Air Force Retreats from Studying China
By Tom Shugart
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What Boeing’s F/A-XX Win Means for the Company, and What Challenges Come Next
By Stacie Pettyjohn
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Behind the Front Line
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Indo-Pacific Security / Energy, Economics & Security
U.S.-China Relations: Avoiding the Worst Case Isn’t Good EnoughInstead, the prevailing conclusion is that the meeting was “a diplomatic nothing burger,” in the words of regional analyst and adjunct senior fellow at the Center for a New Am...
By James Crabtree
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The Trump-Xi Summit Leaves Taiwan in Limbo
By Derek Grossman
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Japan’s New CIA Could Be Takaichi’s Trump Card
By Derek Grossman
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National Security Human Capital
The Airpower We Need for Irregular WarfareWhy does providing aircraft to partner forces so often fall short of building an effective air force? Retired Lieutenant General Anthony Rock, Michael Horowitz, and Tobias Swi...
By Tobias Switzer
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National Security Human Capital
Hegseth Touts Tougher Soldiers. His Wife Is Leading a Push for More Care.By Katherine L. Kuzminski
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National Security Human Capital
VA Touts Faster Disability Claims, but Advocates Still See Gaps in Veteran CareBy Kyleanne Hunter
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The Russia Stability Tracker
In February 2023—one year into Russian President Vladimir Putin’s war on Ukraine—the Center for a New American Security convened a group of leading U.S. experts on Putin’s Rus...
By Andrea Kendall-Taylor
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Russian Hybrid Attacks and Europe's Response
By Andrea Kendall-Taylor & Jim Townsend
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Sep 25, ’26 Washington Roundtable
By Jim Townsend
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The Russia Stability Tracker
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As the U.S. Pulls Its Forces Out of Iraq, What Happens to Iran-Backed Armed Groups?
"There is a realistic prospect for several armed groups to disarm and integrate within the state, some have already made it public that they are willing to do so and that is b...
By Hamzeh Hadad
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Iraq Begins High-Stakes Security Balancing Act as U.S. Troops Withdraw
By Hamzeh Hadad
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U.S. Troops Are Leaving Iraq. What Does That Mean for U.S. Influence in the Region?
By Hamzeh Hadad
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As the U.S. Pulls Its Forces Out of Iraq, What Happens to Iran-Backed Armed Groups?
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Indo-Pacific Security / Energy, Economics & Security
U.S.-China Relations: Avoiding the Worst Case Isn’t Good EnoughInstead, the prevailing conclusion is that the meeting was “a diplomatic nothing burger,” in the words of regional analyst and adjunct senior fellow at the Center for a New Am...
By James Crabtree
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Talking Trade with Rachel Ziemba, Ziemba Insights
By Rachel Ziemba
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Trump’s Heavy-Handed Approach to China Leaves Trade Partners with Stark Choice
By Emily Kilcrease
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Technology & National Security
'They genuinely believe it': Australian AI researcher on fears in Silicon ValleyI do not think it is feasible for Australia to develop its own sovereign capabilities from scratch. One researcher estimated it would cost around $500 billion to do this to ev...
By Janet Egan
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Technology & National Security
Chinese AI Models Surge in Global Popularity — And Washington Is WorriedBy Daniel Remler
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Technology & National Security
AI & Tech Brief: Pacing AI without WashingtonBy Michael Sellitto
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U.S. Strikes Iranian Oil Tankers in Response to Tehran’s Attacks on Navy Ships
While civilian ships aren’t typically lawful targets, they lose their protected status if they contribute to an adversary’s military action and if destroying them offers a def...
By Mark Nevitt
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Shutdown Reform’s Constitutional Blind Spot: The Two-Year Clause
By Mark Nevitt
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Women’s Share of Top Military Promotions Falls as Hegseth Blocks Nominees
By Mark Nevitt
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U.S. Strikes Iranian Oil Tankers in Response to Tehran’s Attacks on Navy Ships
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CNAS Insights | New Rules for U.S. Foreign Aid
Join us for the CNAS 2026 National Security Conference: New Rules, on Thursday, June 11!...
By Gibbs McKinley
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Transatlantic Security / Global Swing States
Beyond the SahelBy Kate Johnston, Valeria Allende & Isabel Dlabach
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CNAS Insights | Why the “Swing States” Approach Is Right for Africa
By Gibbs McKinley
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CNAS Insights | New Rules for U.S. Foreign Aid
