Press
Showing 1-20 of 31 Items
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What the Chances of a War between the US and China Actually Look Like, according to Experts
In The News
Ultimately, a war between China and the United States would largely arise from political decisions that Chinese Communist Party leaders make, especially China’s President Xi J...
By Tom Shugart
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Milley Warns China: An Invasion of Taiwan Would Be as Disastrous as Russia’s War against Ukraine
In The News
On Wednesday, Milley said he did not know if Xi would ever order his forces to invade Taiwan, but he described China’s president as a “rational actor” who evaluates his choice...
By Tom Shugart
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What the US Navy Must Learn from Ukraine’s Bold Drone Attack on Russia’s Black Sea Fleet
In The News
A Navy spokesperson declined to comment when asked on Monday what steps the service was taking to protect its vessels from attacks by unmanned boats and aircraft, from Iran, C...
By Tom Shugart
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New Photos Show China’s Artificial Islands Are Highly Developed Military Bases
In The News
Fiery Cross Reef appears to be one of the most developed, with a fully operational airfield, hangars, other large buildings and radomes, or domes with radar equipment inside. ...
By Tom Shugart
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Stealthiest U.S. Submarine Makes Rare Appearance in Arabian Sea
In The News
Former submariner Tom Shugart noted that the Arabian Sea is roughly the same distance from Beijing and Moscow, and that the messaging could be to both. Technically, the locati...
By Tom Shugart
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Indian Ocean Rivalry: China’s Naval Maneuvers Irk New Delhi
In The News
Tom Shugart, an adjunct senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security (CNAS) think tank, said: "While we don't have any direct indications of intentions to specifica...
By Tom Shugart
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Satellite Images of Naval Base in Cambodia Expose China’s Lie
China insisted it wasn’t building a naval base in Cambodia … until its ambassador attended the ribbon-cutting ceremony. It insists it won’t arm its overseas facilities … right...
By Tom Shugart
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China's Taiwan war games threaten more global supply chain disruption
In The News
The extent to which China will escalate its response to the Pelosi visit -- flexing its military muscle, cyber attacks and economic sanctions -- remains to be seen. Given its ...
By Tom Shugart
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Experts doubt China is gearing up to invade Taiwan under the guise of training
To invade Taiwan, China would need to mobilize its fleet of civilian ferries, which are operated by state-owned companies, said retired Navy Capt. Thomas Shugart, a military i...
By Tom Shugart
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Russian Navy's massive submarine could set the stage for 'a new Cold War' in the oceans
In The News
The Russian Navy has taken delivery of what is the world's longest known submarine, one its maker touts as a research vessel -- but what others say is a platform for espionage...
By Tom Shugart
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Satellite photos show China destroyed object similar to Japan plane
In The News
China has destroyed an object believed to be shaped like a Japan Self-Defense Forces (SDF) aircraft in a desert area of Xinjiang, Nikkei has learned through analysis of satell...
By Tom Shugart
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With a new carrier and rumors of more bases, a vision of China's global presence is getting clearer
In The News
In the years ahead, the design of China's carriers and the limited experience of their crews will likely keep them in the Western Pacific, where Beijing is focused on Taiwan a...
By Tom Shugart
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China has the power to take Taiwan, but it would cost an extremely bloody price
In The News
On his first trip to Asia as United States President last week, Joe Biden gave his strongest warning yet to Beijing that Washington was committed to defending Taiwan militaril...
By Tom Shugart
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China tests missile targeting for specific planes: CNAS' Shugart
In The News
China has set up what appears to be a mock-up of an airborne warning and control system (AWACS) plane used by the Japan Air Self-Defense Force (JASDF) in a desert area of Xinj...
By Tom Shugart
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Navy grappling with the future of its unmanned fleet
In The News
Tom Shugart, a defense analyst with the Center for a New American Security and a retired submarine warfare officer, said the Navy’s current approach to unmanned maritime syste...
By Tom Shugart
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The US may be using Ukraine as a blueprint for how Taiwan could stop a Chinese invasion
In The News
President Joe Biden’s administration reportedly wants to arm Taiwan with the same types of portable weapons that the United States and other NATO members have been providing t...
By Tom Shugart
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Moskva sinking: What really happened to the pride of Russia's fleet?
In The News
The Russian guided-missile cruiser Moskva rests deep beneath the Black Sea this morning. Whether it lies there as the victim of Ukrainian missiles, Russian incompetence, bad l...
By Tom Shugart
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The military wants ‘robot ships’ to replace sailors in battle
In The News
Tom Shugart, an adjunct senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security, said the Navy is building these ships with one enemy primarily in mind: China. The Chinese mi...
By Tom Shugart
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How did a $3 billion US Navy submarine hit an undersea mountain?
Surface ships or a sub operating at periscope depth can relay on global positioning satellites to give sailors a very accurate location, said Shugart, now an adjunct senior fe...
By Tom Shugart
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Analysis: Pentagon has a Pacific posture predicament
On Feb. 4, roughly two weeks into office, U.S. President Joe Biden ordered Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin to lead a Global Posture Review of all American forces deployed ov...
By Tom Shugart
