The David Fastabend question -- "How does this end?" -- has been one I have been asking myself in light of the current policy debates on Afghanistan. Accordingly, I sketched out three scenarios -- most dangerous, most likely, most desired -- and tried to imagine how U.S. policy decisions might bring each about. This is a little more sober than what is normally on offer at Abu Muqawama, so be sure to leave snarky remarks in the comments section. The link to this report on the CNAS website is here.