December 12, 2012

The Silence and the Drones

The controversy of
the American targeted-killing program, and especially the resurgence of covert
paramilitary and military action, has inspired a great deal of concern about
the accountability and oversight of America’s supposed new ways of war. Does the lack of risk they offer encourage the Congress, media, and public to stay silent? One
of the most prominent scholars of military robotics, P.W. Singer
, recently put out an article that reiterated
an argument he makes about the decline in the accountability of American wars,
as exemplified in the drone program:

In democracies, there have always been
deep bonds between the public and its wars. Citizens have historically
participated in decisions to take military action, through their elected
representatives, helping to ensure broad support for wars and a willingness to
share the costs, both human and economic, of enduring them.

In the U.S., our Constitution
explicitly divided the president’s role as commander-in-chief in war from
Congress’s role in declaring war. Yet, these links and this division of labour
are now under siege as a result of a technology that our founding fathers never
could have imagined.

We don’t have a draft anymore. Less
than 0.5 per cent of Americans over 18 serve in the active-duty military. We do
not declare war anymore. The last time Congress actually did so was in 1942 –
against Bulgaria, Hungary, and Romania. We don’t buy war bonds or pay war taxes
anymore. During the Second World War, 85 million Americans purchased war bonds
that brought the government $185 billion. In the last decade, we bought none
and instead gave the richest five per cent of Americans a tax break.

And now we possess a technology that
removes the last political barriers to war. The strongest appeal of unmanned
systems is that we don’t have to send someone’s son or daughter into harm’s
way. But when politicians can avoid the political consequences of the
condolence letter – and the impact that military casualties have on voters and
on the news media – they no longer treat the previously weighty matters of war
and peace the same way.

For the first 200 years of American
democracy, engaging in combat and bearing risk – both personal and political –
went hand in hand. In the age of drones, that is no longer the case.

This narrative
exemplifies a civil mythology under final assault from the robotic barbarians
at the gates. Unfortunately, history itself tells a far messier story. For one
thing, the notion that there are always deep bonds between the public and the
war-fighting effort is false. I have tackled the question
of the draft

previously on this blog, but the rest of the arguments merit further scrutiny.

For one, the
Constitution’s demands on Congressional oversight in war have never been so
clear, nor so linear in their erosion. The U.S. fought several wars without a
formal declaration – and even without direct Congressional authorization –
before it ever formally declared war in 1812. In some cases, such as the
Quasi-War and the Barbary Wars, these were authorized by Congressional statutes
short of a formal declaration. In 1801, Congress passed the Naval Peace
Establishment Act, and Jefferson cited Congress’s funding of the military
capacity as sufficient authorization for its use against hostile powers. A
State Department directive told the U.S. Navy that if the Barbary states
declared war on the U.S., then the Navy was to “protect our commerce & chastise
their insolence – by sinking, burning, or destroying their ships & Vessels
wherever you shall find them.”

Of course,
Jefferson was hesitant to expand this further than defense and limited
retaliation, but even he did not believe a formal declaration, nor, obviously, any kind of conscription, was necessary for
waging offensive war. What he
received was a series of Congressional statutes expanding the fleet and
specifically authorizing expanded military action against the Barbary states.

The Indian wars
were justified on much the same logic. At no point did the U.S. formally
declare war against the Indians. By the period of the Seminole Wars it
was well-established that Congress recognizing hostilities and appropriating
resources to the combat established constitutional recognition of a conflict
. Insofar as Congress receives statutory
notification and continues to defray the costs of conflict, it legitimizes war
as constitutional. The differences between a Congressional authorization for
using force and a formal declaration are statutorily meaningful, but both are
legitimate with respect to the Constitution.

The deep civic
bonds have actually generally been quite shallow. State militias were called up
in local wars for military geographical reasons, but the burning of the capital
in 1814 failed to merit a draft. The AUMF, NDAA, and War Powers Resolution all
constitute a system of Congressional compliance to Presidential military
initiative, in which war is retroactively legitimized through post hoc defrayment.

The U.S. Navy, with
its peacetime establishment and broad writ to conduct “small wars” and punitive
expeditions (as well as a Marine Corps with similar advantages), did far more
to undermine the political barriers to U.S. wars than drones have or likely
will. Expeditionary warfare by forces inherently limited in their political
costs of extraction is as old as the republic itself.

The very concept of
covert action helped too, and the idea of a secret air force predates the CIA
itself. Roosevelt’s Flying Tigers, approved before U.S. entry into WWII using
government money laundered through a contractor and lend-lease, sought to
secretly put dozens of aircraft into China to fight Japan. Manned aircraft,
along with a PMC, and an extralegal or illegal authorization by a frustrated
executive began what was planned to be a covert war. December 7, 1941, not deep
civic responsibility, saved it from being remembered as such. Later, the CIA was flying
secret air forces for Cubans and Congolese. WWII era aircraft flew secret wars,
but covert action itself was the real mechanism for reducing political costs. That
it now happens to employ robots rather than deniable pilots, foreign
mercenaries, or nameless spooks allows changes in quantity more than essential quality.

Yet many insist
that drones, by removing the threat of casualties, undermine oversight and
accountability because politicians can avoid legislative backlash and media
scrutiny. Even recent history does not bear this out.

For example, at
least 17 Americans died in Operation Enduring Freedom-Philippines, including
some in militant attacks

and not simply accidents or other causes. Operation Enduring Freedom-Horn of
Africa has
its casualties too
. The
media noted their deaths but there was no backlash. Bemoaning the lack of media
coverage of Afghanistan – Afghanistan!
a cliché of war commentary that will be decade old before the drawdown
. Relative to the number of U.S. personnel committed, I would wager the
targeted killing campaign is far better covered than Afghanistan today, and it
is certainly out of proportion in terms of the casualties that the personnel
supporting the war suffer.

Indeed, the wars in
Iraq and Afghanistan themselves do not suggest that the link between perpetual
war and lack of risk is so straightforward. What, exactly, has Congressional
oversight there saved us from? For all the bemoaning of the “drone wars,” they have
broad public approval
incredibly little Congressional criticism – by the cost-defrayment standard,
continual support – and can we really say their consequences are so much more
deleterious to the body politic and the public trust than the disaster that was
the choice to invade Iraq? To ignore, escalate, and bungle in Afghanistan?

We can’t blame the
drones for the U.S. war in Yemen, where US SOF and clandestine agents watched
from the ground when 2002’s lethal drone strike came down, or where cruise
and most
likely F-15Es
part in the bombardment. We can’t blame the drones for the U.S. war in Somalia,
naval guns
, AC-130s
and helicopters
, along
with JSOC, operated for years before the Predators and Reapers let loose
missiles there. In any case, neither of these states really have the air
defense capability, or the intention, to challenge U.S. airpower. Are we really
to believe the risk of a plane crash is why policymakers switched to drone

As for Pakistan,
the model of accountability that Singer holds up, the bin Laden raid, involved
a lot of deliberation and careful consideration, to be sure – but it was done
entirely in secret. That we even know of its deliberations so intimately is because, for basically everyone involved, it’s a good story. That we use drones there and not conventional aircraft is
not because of American casualty aversion, but because it is what the Pakistani
government appears to accept – and these strikes frequently cease or slacken when Pakistani and U.S.
relations come too close to the brink. Political costs retain veto power, but in covert action, they are quiet and indirect.

The fault lies not
in our drones, but in ourselves. The reason our wars – secret or no – are so
poorly managed are because of the policy process itself and the goals it seeks,
alongside the incredible capability of the U.S. military and federal government
which lets them sustain the weight and persevere through so many missteps and
failures. The draft does not stop failing wars, overt or covert, as we learned
from Vietnam and the “secret wars” surrounding it. That the condolence letter
of a pilot crashing his aircraft in Yemen might be the difference between peace
and war seems proper, but what would make its power so much greater than those
for the advisors and the spotters, or the vastly larger number of letters for
the fallen of Afghanistan, which was sickeningly, but unsurprisingly, absent
from the general election? The political silences that enable these processes are older than we care to admit. It is not just that we cannot turn back time, but
that there is no extended length of time much better to turn back to. Before drones were, these kinds of wars were there, waiting for them.