September 13, 2023

To Avoid AI Catastrophes, We Must Think Smaller

Early last year, researchers demonstrated the capacity of an artificial intelligence (AI) drug discovery tool called MegaSyn to generate thousands of novel chemical weapons in a matter of hours. While conversations about AI safety measures proliferate, including a White House-mediated effort at voluntary regulation and an upcoming UK AI summit, systems like MegaSyn remain unchecked in a regulatory conversation that is increasingly focused on long-term, theoretical risks, at the cost of addressing the harms that AI already poses to society.

These incidents are not theoretical, nor are they projections of long-term dangers; rather, these AI tools are already presenting tangible threats to individual health and well-being.

Amid the furor caused by large language models (LLMs) like OpenAI’s ChatGPT, members of Congress, policy researchers and tech companies have proposed regulations that are designed to curb some of the greatest dangers presented by highly capable “frontier AI.” Famed computer scientists and contributors to the AI revolution have come forward to warn of emerging extinction risks. To be sure, this technology presents long-term and far-reaching threats to society, but these calls for regulation fall short at addressing some of the most acute dangers.

Read the full article from The Messenger.

  • Commentary

    Defense

    Where Do We Go from Here?

    Introduction Over the past nine months, The New American Defense Industrial Base essay series has brought together a wide range of participants to deliver a variety of views o...

    By Susanna V. Blume

    • September 3, 2026
  • Commentary

    Defense

    Manufacturing a New National Security

    Introduction The United States sits atop the world’s pedestal of military superpowers—particularly when it comes to developing and employing the most sophisticated technology—...

    By James Swartout & Nick Doucette

    • August 28, 2026
  • Commentary

    Defense

    The Impossible Middle East

    The Middle East today has some thinking to do. It will need to draw up new ways to preserve its wealth, to pursue greater self-sufficiency, and to diversify—and even own—its s...

    By Becca Wasser

    • Foreign Affairs
    • August 27, 2026
  • Commentary

    Defense

    The Risks of Downplaying China’s Military

    Deterrence can succeed, and continued U.S., Taiwanese, and allied investment can matter a great deal — if undertaken with the urgency the situation demands....

    By Tom Shugart

    • War on the Rocks
    • August 24, 2026

View All Reports View All Articles & Multimedia