April 25, 2021

We Got Afghanistan Wrong, but There’s Still Time to Learn Something

By Dr. Jason Dempsey

President Biden was right to reject the recommendations of the Afghan Study Group and to order the withdrawal of American forces from Afghanistan. It was clearly not an easy decision, as it involved going against the recommendations of many current and former military leaders who were heavily invested in the conflict. With this difficult decision should come some introspection about the limits of military power and the danger of simplistic narratives of American capabilities, but initial responses suggest that this will not be the case.

We have already heard a lot about "conditions-based" approaches and all that Afghanistan might lose with our withdrawal. Notably missing from those arguments is any acknowledgment of how inefficient and ineffective our nearly 20-year-long military-led endeavor has been, how our efforts thus far have fed into Afghanistan’s dysfunction, and why we should not expect "more of the same" to lead to better outcomes now.

Instead of building a force that fit Afghanistan, we built an Army of mini-me’s

I spent a total of nearly two years in Afghanistan during my U.S. Army career, first serving in conventional infantry units and later as an advisor to the Afghan military, interacting with members of the Afghan army and police across six provinces — during which I've seen up-close how the U.S. military's approach can blind us to what really matters on the ground. Right now, we have less than five months before the announced pullout date, so the question of what we got wrong isn't just self-criticism: It's a necessary, and urgent, step to insuring we best use the remaining leverage we have now and after we withdraw troops from Afghanistan. And maybe, even at this late date, help to accomplish the goal of a country able to resist Taliban domination.

“You have the watches, we have the time” is a popular phrase among veterans of the war in Afghanistan. Attributed to a member of the Taliban, the saying highlights the difference between Taliban patience and an American desire to win quickly and go home. It is most often used as an excuse for our lack of progress in the war: a verbal shrug of the shoulders that implies there was nothing the military could have done to overcome this implicitly political dynamic. Yet it was not politicians, but U.S. military commanders who for years pushed short-term solutions to the war, while using profound-sounding statements like this and vague assertions that "COIN takes time" to cover for the failure of our approach.

Read the full article from POLITICO.

  • Commentary
    • The Wall Street Journal
    • December 27, 2021
    Albania Takes the Lead in Saving Afghan Refugees

    Rather than attempting to conceal or play down this influx of foreigners, Albania’s leaders have embraced them with national pride....

    By Vance Serchuk

  • Podcast
    • November 2, 2021
    Facing a Humanitarian Crisis and Renewed Terror Threat in Afghanistan

    Financial Crime Matters talks with Alex Zerden about his time as Treasury attaché at the United States Embassy in Kabul, the worsening humanitarian crisis in Afghanistan and t...

    By Alex Zerden

  • Video
    • November 1, 2021
    Lessons From Iraq, Afghanistan: Why The U.S. Got It So Wrong

    Retired U.S. Army colonel Christopher D. Kolenda in conversation with StratNews Global Editor-in-Chief Nitin A. Gokhale about his just launched book ‘Zero-Sum Victory: What We...

    By Christopher D. Kolenda

  • Podcast
    • October 13, 2021
    Economic Crisis in Afghanistan

    Alex Zerden, founder and principal of Capitol Peak Strategies discusses the economic crisis in Afghanistan. He spoke with Bloomberg's David Westin. Listen to the full convers...

    By Alex Zerden

View All Reports View All Articles & Multimedia