March 27, 2014
If Deterrence Fails: Rethinking Conflict on the Korean Peninsula
In "If Deterrence Fails: Rethinking Conflict on the Korean Peninsula," Asia-Pacific Security Director Dr. Patrick Cronin charges U.S. policymakers to rethink deterrence and escalation in a changing security environment. Dr. Cronin note that preserving a strong U.S.-ROK alliance is central to this mission. The report begins with an overview of the destabilizing economic, political and military trends in North Korea. It then argues how deterrence might fail; how escalation might occur; and why South Korea and the United States might not be ready. It also suggests what might be done about it, offering operational and strategic recommendations to ensure that the U.S.-ROK alliance can better meet this potential security challenge.
Authors
-
Patrick M. Cronin
Former Senior Advisor and Senior Director, Asia-Pacific Security Program
Patrick M. Cronin is a former Senior Advisor and Senior Director of the Asia-Pacific Security Program at the Center for a New American Security (CNAS). Previously, he was the ...
More from CNAS
-
Crossed Wires
Reports
The United States’ current diplomacy with North Korea has enduring implications for its strategic competition with China....
By Kristine Lee, Daniel Kliman & Joshua Fitt
-
Trump has three options with North Korea to avoid a dangerous perfect storm in Asia
Commentary
In the next few weeks, the Korean Peninsula will face a watershed moment -- one which could upend the United States' alliances in northeast Asia and regional stability as a wh...
By Duyeon Kim
-
How American Progressives Think About Asian Security
Commentary
Democrats running for the 2020 U.S. presidential nomination implicitly accept – or at least have not rejected – the premise that the United States’ fate is linked to that of t...
By Van Jackson
-
Situation Report: U.S.-North Korea Negotiations to Resume This Weekend
Commentary
After months of stalled talks, U.S. and North Korean representatives will meet this weekend to resume negotiations over North Korea's nuclear weapons program. Just this week, ...
By Duyeon Kim, Elizabeth Rosenberg, Kristine Lee, Van Jackson & Neil Bhatiya
