November 13, 2023

How Chinese aggression is increasing the risk of war in the Taiwan Strait

Source: The Washington Post

Journalists: Christian Shepard, Vic Chiang

Despite the Chinese efforts at unpredictability, the sheer scale of mobilization necessary to invade Taiwan means a sneak attack would be very difficult without American intelligence catching wind of Chinese plans.

But Beijing can hope to numb Taiwan and get a jump-start on the United States by constantly practicing ever more realistic invasion scenarios.

“These drills keep getting bigger and bigger,” said Tom Shugart, adjunct senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security. “As the number and frequency continues to grow, it naturally becomes that much harder to know whether next time is the real thing.”

Read the full story and more from The Washington Post.


  • Tom Shugart

    Adjunct Senior Fellow, Defense Program

    Thomas Shugart is an Adjunct Senior Fellow with the Defense Program at the Center for a New American Security (CNAS). His research focuses on undersea warfare and maritime com...