November 18, 2022

Milley Warns China: An Invasion of Taiwan Would Be as Disastrous as Russia’s War against Ukraine

Featuring Tom Shugart

Source: Task and Purpose

Journalist Jeff Schogol

On Wednesday, Milley said he did not know if Xi would ever order his forces to invade Taiwan, but he described China’s president as a “rational actor” who evaluates his choices based on cost, benefit, and risk.

“I think that he would conclude that an attack on Taiwan in the near future would be an excessive amount of risk and it would end in a strategic – really – debacle for the Chinese military,” Milley said.

To invade Taiwan, the Chinese military would need to cross roughly 110 miles of ocean. If China mobilized its civilian ferries, it could be able to transport four to seven brigades of troops per day across the Taiwan Strait, retired Navy Capt. Thomas Shugart, a military innovation expert with the Center for a New American Security think tank in Washington, D.C., told Task & Purpose in August.

Read the full story and more from Task and Purpose.

Authors

  • Tom Shugart

    Adjunct Senior Fellow, Defense Program

    Tom Shugart is an Adjunct Senior Fellow with the Defense Program at the Center for a New American Security. His research focuses on undersea warfare and maritime competition, ...