Press
Showing 21-40 of 60 Items
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Military Analyst Says Russia's Invasion Of Ukraine Is Now A 'War Of Attrition'
More than five months since Russia invaded Ukraine, a war of attrition has emerged with losses of materiel and men on both sides, not advances on the ground, becoming the key ...
By Michael Kofman
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Putin's "annexation playbook" in Ukraine could leave no path to peace
What to watch: Ukraine has a clear incentive to make its move before September to try to disrupt any Russian annexation plans. Russia, meanwhile, seems to be attempting to se...
By Michael Kofman
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Ukraine Is at Its ‘Most Dangerous Point’ of the War
In February, Ukraine shocked the world by driving Russian forces from Kyiv, fending off Vladimir Putin’s attempt to quickly capture the country. Almost four months later, the ...
By Michael Kofman
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The Fight to Survive Russia's Onslaught in Eastern Ukraine
Russia’s war in Ukraine is not the same conflict that it was earlier this spring. The Russian Army’s initial campaign, in February and March, was a three-front invasion with l...
By Michael Kofman
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Ukraine’s Training Problem
Britain today announced that it would send Ukraine its most advanced long-range artillery systems. The announcement came days after President Biden approved giving Kyiv advanc...
By Michael Kofman
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Why Russia is struggling in eastern Ukraine, in maps
In the Donbas and the Kharkiv regions, up to two-thirds of the land is used for agriculture, according to Diadin. Clusters of trees around farms in northern Donetsk provide co...
By Michael Kofman
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The new Russian offensive in Ukraine isn’t going much better than the previous one
A May 9 US intelligence estimate concluded that the Russians had gained only a few miles in the Donbas region since the offensive began; a Pentagon official described Russia’s...
By Michael Kofman
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Russia’s offensive in the Donbas can’t make up for its failure in Kyiv
This week, the new phase of Russia’s war in Ukraine has taken form. It is a war over control of the Donbas, the eastern Ukrainian region where Russia has been supporting a sep...
By Michael Kofman
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Next Phase of War Will Be Pivotal for Russia and Ukraine, U.S. Says
Senior Biden administration officials say they believe that the next four weeks will shape the eventual outcome of Russia’s war in Ukraine, with long-lasting ramifications tha...
By Michael Kofman
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Russia’s Strategy in the East
Russia declared today that its military campaign in eastern Ukraine was underway as it bombarded hundreds of targets across a sprawling 300-mile front, from Kharkiv in the nor...
By Michael Kofman
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Russia’s Moskva cruiser sinks following Ukrainian claim of missile strike
Russia’s Black Sea flagship missile cruiser, the Moskva, sank while being towed to port after an explosion caused by an unexplained fire, the Russian defence ministry has said...
By Michael Kofman
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Russia and Ukraine race to prepare for decisive battle in Donbas
In the first phase of the war, Russian troops attacked across three broad fronts hoping to quickly take cities, but they became overstretched and suffered heavy losses. Russia...
By Michael Kofman
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On the Moskva, think like Helen Mirren
The sinking of Russia’s ‘Moskva’ cruiser is a big symbolic win for Ukraine, but does very little to change the course of the war. Experts NatSec Daily spoke to since the Kreml...
By Michael Kofman
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Russia Is Recruiting Mercenaries and Syrians to Ukraine, Western Officials Say
As Russian troops retreat from northern Ukraine and focus operations on the country’s east and south, the Kremlin is struggling to scrape together enough combat-ready reinforc...
By Michael Kofman
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As Russia retreats from Kyiv, U.S. sees uglier fights to come
Russia’s apparent retreat from Kyiv and retrenchment into Ukraine’s easternmost regions marks the latest sign that the war is at an inflection point — one that U.S. officials ...
By Michael Kofman
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How Kyiv Has Withstood Russia’s Attacks
Kyiv is the ultimate prize for Russia: the heart of Ukraine, and the seat of a government it has sought to replace. For weeks, Russian troops have pressed in on the city from ...
By Michael Kofman
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Why Russia's military is bogged down by logistics in Ukraine
After weeks of little success except in southeastern Ukraine, despite relentless shelling and thousands of military and civilian casualties, Moscow said during peace negotiati...
By Michael Kofman
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Where Does Putin’s War Go From Here?
Shortly before dawn on Feb. 24, in an address to the nation peppered with falsehoods and grievances, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced plans to invade neighboring Ukr...
By Jim Townsend & Michael Kofman
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‘Diminishing returns’: What can change the course for Putin in the Ukraine war?
Michael Kofman, a Russian military analyst at research group CNA in Virginia, said significant Russian casualties do not necessarily seem to be a political limitation on Putin...
By Michael Kofman
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The Next 2 Weeks Could Determine the Fate of Ukraine
After the initial shock of Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine, the biggest surprise of the war may be how badly the Russian army has performed. What at first seemed like a c...
By Michael Kofman