July 21, 2025
Rethinking the Global AI Race
This article was originally published on Just Security.
The global competition over artificial intelligence is increasingly framed in stark and dramatic terms, often compared to the Manhattan Project, a new arms race, or a moonshot project requiring incredible resources to attain a difficult, if not, impossible goal. These analogies all suffer from a common flaw: they point us toward the wrong goal. AI is not a discrete project with a clear endpoint, like building a nuclear weapon or landing on the moon. It is a long-term, society-wide effort to develop powerful tools and ensure their benefits reach classrooms, battlefields, factories, and start-ups alike.
The country that leverages advances in AI to establish and maintain substantial economic and military advantages will not necessarily be the one that develops the most advanced models in the shortest amount of time. The United States is not going to win the AI race against China, for example, simply because U.S.-made OpenAI models beat Chinese-made DeepSeek or Kimi K2 models on capability benchmarks. Instead, countries that learn how to bridge the gap between invention and widespread societal adoption will reap the most crucial benefits in the long term.
The United States must stop running as if this were only a 100-meter dash and start acting like a strategic marathoner: moving with urgency, clarity, and sustained commitment.
By taking a longer view, the United States can make smarter decisions about how to align technological progress with national security and public welfare. If it continues to frame AI primarily as a short-term sprint toward technical milestones, it risks falling behind global peers and adversaries.
Gaining and maintaining a long-term competitive advantage in AI will require more than technical superiority. It demands reorienting education and workforce training, modernizing institutions, and setting a national vision based on broad public engagement. By adopting this strategy, the United States can accomplish what other countries may struggle to replicate: a whole-of-society approach to AI.
Read the full article on Just Security.
More from CNAS
-
Commentary
Technology & National Security
Securing America’s AI Future: Federal Research and Development PrioritiesOn April 29, 2025, the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) issued a Request for Information on the Development of a 2025 National Artificial Intelligenc...
By Caleb Withers & Spencer Michaels
-
Commentary
Energy, Economics & Security / Technology & National Security
Semiconductor Imports and U.S. National SecurityThe Secretary of Commerce has initiated a Section 232 investigation to determine the effects on the national security of imports of semiconductors and semiconductor manufactur...
By Geoffrey Gertz & Caleb Withers
-
Commentary
Technology & National Security
Artificial Intelligence Infrastructure on DOE LandsMaintaining America’s lead in AI data centers is critical for U.S. AI dominance....
By Caleb Withers, Janet Egan & Spencer Michaels
-
Reports
Defense / Technology & National Security
Lessons in LearningExecutive Summary Although claims of a revolution in military affairs may be overhyped, the potential for artificial intelligence (AI) and autonomy to change warfare is growin...
By Josh Wallin
