October 19, 2017

The Policy Dimension of Leading in AI

By Elsa B. Kania

The artificial intelligence (AI) revolution is creating new challenges for law, policy, and governance at domestic and international levels. Although advances in AI could causeproductivity growth and spark a new industrial revolution, current trends in robotics and automation will likely cause unprecedented economic dislocation, particularly by replacing low-skilled jobs. Projected to increase GDP by 14% as of 2030, AI is on track to become a critical accelerant of global economic growth. Yet the greatest economic benefits from AI will likely go to China and the United States, with more modest gains in growth and productivity for developing countries. Such uneven distribution of AI’s benefits could exacerbate inequality, resulting in higher concentrations of wealth within and among nations. In addition, algorithmic bias tends to compound human and systemic biases, compounding societal inequities. Concurrently, international competition to leverage military applications of AI has provoked concerns of an “AI arms race.” Looking forward, these trends could disrupt domestic and international politics alike.

Read the full op-ed in Lawfare.

  • Podcast
    • July 29, 2021
    Samuel Bendett on AI Development in Russia

    What is happening in Russia right now with regards to development of artificial intelligence? In today’s bingecast, Samuel Bendett and Robert J. Marks discuss Russian military...

    By Samuel Bendett

  • Video
    • July 22, 2021
    Artificial intelligence arms race does not exist

    Paul Scharre, former special assistant to the under secretary of defense for policy, now vice president and director of studies at the Center for a New American Security, spok...

    By Paul Scharre

  • Podcast
    • June 27, 2021
    Some foresight about the future of foresight

    Trying to predict the future is a timeless and time-consuming pursuit. Artificial Intelligence is increasingly being enlisted to the cause, but so too are “super-forecasters”...

    By Michael Horowitz

  • Podcast
    • April 26, 2021
    Artificial intelligence, coming to a battlefield near you ...

    In this fast take episode of Military Matters, Jack Murphy talks with Paul Scharre about how AI will affect the future of simulation training and beyond. Listen to the full c...

    By Paul Scharre

View All Reports View All Articles & Multimedia