October 19, 2017

The Policy Dimension of Leading in AI

By Elsa B. Kania

The artificial intelligence (AI) revolution is creating new challenges for law, policy, and governance at domestic and international levels. Although advances in AI could causeproductivity growth and spark a new industrial revolution, current trends in robotics and automation will likely cause unprecedented economic dislocation, particularly by replacing low-skilled jobs. Projected to increase GDP by 14% as of 2030, AI is on track to become a critical accelerant of global economic growth. Yet the greatest economic benefits from AI will likely go to China and the United States, with more modest gains in growth and productivity for developing countries. Such uneven distribution of AI’s benefits could exacerbate inequality, resulting in higher concentrations of wealth within and among nations. In addition, algorithmic bias tends to compound human and systemic biases, compounding societal inequities. Concurrently, international competition to leverage military applications of AI has provoked concerns of an “AI arms race.” Looking forward, these trends could disrupt domestic and international politics alike.

Read the full op-ed in Lawfare.

  • Commentary
    • The National Interest
    • November 19, 2019
    Preparing the Military for a Role on an Artificial Intelligence Battlefield

    The Defense Innovation Board—an advisory committee of tech executives, scholars, and technologists—has unveiled its list of ethical principles for artificial intelligence (AI)...

    By Megan Lamberth

  • Commentary
    • Breaking Defense
    • November 6, 2019
    Artificial Intel: Time Is Not On America’s Side

    The United States reached a crucial milestone on its road to crafting a true national strategy for artificial intelligence (AI) this week. On Monday, the National Security Com...

    By Martijn Rasser

  • Commentary
    • War on the Rocks
    • July 18, 2019
    In Search of Ideas: The National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence Wants You

    Americans don’t want to grow old wondering what happened to their country’s place in the world. U.S. global leadership has fostered international institutions, strengthened hu...

    By Robert O. Work & Eric Schmidt

  • Podcast
    • June 20, 2019
    What Could Possibly Go Wrong?

    War has been a driver of breakthrough technology for a long time. The first waves of artificial intelligence and even the internet came out of DARPA, a defense agency whose or...

    By Paul Scharre, Richard Danzig, Arati Prabhakar & Jonathan Wilson

View All Reports View All Articles & Multimedia