Over the next two years, the tenuous status quo on the Korean Peninsula, never far from chaos, will be acutely challenged by the convergence of democratic transitions in the United States and South Korea, coupled with the imminence of North Korea’s deployment of nuclear-tipped missiles. How an emboldened Kim Jong-un exploits these near-term trends could plunge the Korean Peninsula into war or push it to the precipice of peace.
To read the full op-ed, visit The National Interest website.
More from CNAS
Military Artificial Intelligence, the People’s Liberation Army, and U.S.-China Strategic Competition
China sees AI playing a central role in advancing its military power. Chinese Communist Party (CCP) General Secretary Xi Jinping has set ambitious goals for the PLA to “basica...
By Jacob Stokes
Rumors of China’s Decline Are Premature and Dangerous
The chief near-term risk is not that Beijing’s ascent will fizzle, but rather that Washington will fail to muster the strength necessary for an adequate response....
By Richard Fontaine
While 2024 marks the beginning of a presidential election year in the United States, it also marks a year of elections across the globe. These elections are taking place amid ...
By Anna Pederson & Charles Horn
How to Stop Our High-Tech Equipment From Arming Russia and China
The U.S. government’s efforts to stop Russia and China from using American equipment to boost their defense sectors have resulted in tough rules — but leaky enforcement. As a ...
By Chris Miller & Jordan Schneider