September 22, 2020

Yes, Donald Trump Could Pull U.S. Troops Out of South Korea If Reelected

By Jason Bartlett

If reelected, I am skeptical about whether Donald Trump will pursue military action against North Korea unless all hopes of reengagement are extinguished. If Kim Jong-un continues to isolate himself from U.S. leadership, Trump may resort to more drastic measures for rapprochement including the removal of U.S. troops from the Korean Peninsula and an indefinite freeze of U.S.-South Korea joint military exercises.

If Kim Jong-un continues to isolate himself from U.S. leadership, Trump may resort to more drastic measures for rapprochement.

In fact, a former chief of staff to President Trump suggested that if reelected, the United States and North Korea will strike a deal with unspecified “incremental concession” towards denuclearization. North Korea’s harsh critique of the “Libya Model” for denuclearization suggests that the rogue state will voluntarily abandon its nuclear ambitions only if the leadership feels immutably confident in its ability to maintain sovereignty without nuclear weapons. Alternatively, Pyongyang may give them up if convinced that pursuing nuclear weapons will undoubtedly threaten its survival.

Read the full article in The National Interest.

  • Commentary
    • The Diplomat
    • September 10, 2021
    Banished Soviet-Koreans Helped Build North Korea

    While Pyongyang touts its reclusive nature as an act of national pride free from foreign influence, the reality is that a collection of outsiders – Soviet-Koreans, in particul...

    By Jason Bartlett

  • Commentary
    • The Diplomat
    • August 31, 2021
    Online Shopping for Nukes? Tune Into a North Korean Military Parade.

    The ostentatious display of lethal weapons in massive military parades serves both a political and financial purpose: to demonstrate military might to enemies and entice poten...

    By Jason Bartlett

  • Podcast
    • August 23, 2021
    Engaging North Korea

    Van Jackson joins the Hopkins Podcast on Foreign Affairs to discuss the strategy of pressure through isolation towards North Korea. Listen to the full conversation from Hopki...

    By Van Jackson

  • Commentary
    • The Diplomat
    • July 27, 2021
    Hotels and Free Wi-Fi Are Sitting Ducks for North Korean Cybercriminals

    The dangerous combination of weak or nonexistent cybersecurity protocols, relaxed travelers and employees, and increased e-commerce and digital financial activity provide an i...

    By Jason Bartlett

View All Reports View All Articles & Multimedia