March 30, 2015

Shades of Gray: Technology, Strategic Competition, and Stability in Maritime Asia

By Amy Chang, Ben FitzGerald and Van Jackson

In this seventh paper in the Maritime Strategy Series, Amy Chang, Ben FitzGerald, and Van Jackson unpack how a "fog of technology" is exacerbating dangerous "gray zone" scenarios in maritime Asia. Proliferating technologies that lack of clear norms to govern their use are intersecting with strategic competition and coercive behaviors to unsettle longstanding patterns of interaction among states. The authors see these trends as converging to raise the dangers of conflict in the region, whether through distorted incentives to undertake coercion or through the potential for miscalculation. They outline ways to "remove the fog" of technology and shore up stability in maritime Asia. Many of their recommendations for the United States government have broad relevance for a refreshed approach to technology and national security.

Ben FitzGerald is a Senior Fellow and Director of the Technology and National Security Program at the Center for a New American Security. Dr. Van Jackson is a Visiting Fellow at CNAS and a Council on Foreign Relations International Affairs Fellow. At the time of writing, Amy Chang was the Norman R. Augustine Research Associate in Technology and National Security at CNAS.

  • Amy Chang

  • Ben FitzGerald

    Adjunct Senior Fellow, Defense Program

    Ben FitzGerald is a partner at Lupa, a private investment firm, and an adjunct senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security (CNAS). At Lupa he leads the firm’s inve...

  • Van Jackson

    Adjunct Senior Fellow, Asia-Pacific Security Program

    Dr. Van Jackson is an Adjunct Senior Fellow with the Asia-Pacific Security Program at the Center for a New American Security (CNAS), an American political scientist, and one o...

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