Articles & Multimedia
Showing 1-20 of 91 Publications
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The Cloud Can Solve America’s AI Problems
Washington doesn’t have to restrict chip exports to control the technology’s future development....
By Paul Scharre & Tim Fist
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How to Prevent an AI Catastrophe
How dangerous is AI? The honest and scary answer is that no one knows....
By Markus Anderljung & Paul Scharre
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AI’s Gatekeepers Aren’t Prepared for What’s Coming
What is clear is that current state-of-the-art AI models are not safe and no one knows how to reliably make them safe....
By Paul Scharre
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Chinese Data Restrictions Undermine US-China Stability
By refusing dialogue, China increases the risk of miscalculation, crises, and even conflict....
By Paul Scharre
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Arms Control for Artificial Intelligence
The best illustration of the dynamics of the desirability of arms control is the international community’s response to nuclear weapons versus chemical weapons....
By Paul Scharre & Megan Lamberth
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To Stay Ahead of China in AI, the U.S. Needs to Work with China
An AI gold rush is underway in the private sector in the wake of ChatGPT, but the geopolitical stakes are even greater. The United States and China are vying for global leader...
By Paul Scharre
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AI's Inhuman Advantage
AI agents’ victories demonstrate that machines can dramatically outperform humans in command and control, a potential major advantage in war....
By Paul Scharre
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America Can Win the AI Race
If the United States wants to win the AI competition, it must approach Beijing carefully and construct its own initiatives thoughtfully....
By Paul Scharre
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U.S. and China Can Show World Leadership by Safeguarding Military AI
The US and China must move beyond unilateral statements and begin developing shared confidence-building measures to manage the risks of military AI competition....
By Paul Scharre
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How to counter China’s scary use of AI tech
In the face of these AI threats, democratic governments and societies need to work to establish global norms for lawful, appropriate and ethical uses of technologies like faci...
By Paul Scharre
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Decoupling Wastes U.S. Leverage on China
The ability to deny China access to advanced chips is a powerful advantage whose value is growing exponentially...
By Paul Scharre
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How to Stop Putin Without Starting WWIII
The United States and other NATO countries should aid Ukraine through weapons, intelligence, and diplomatic support, but should stay clear of direct involvement in the war....
By Paul Scharre
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US waited too long to withdraw from Afghanistan
There was no good way for the United States to exit the failed war in Afghanistan....
By Paul Scharre
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Debunking the AI Arms Race Theory
In 2015, a group of prominent AI and robotics researchers signed an open letter warning of the dangers of autonomous weapons. “The key question for humanity today,” they wrote...
By Paul Scharre
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Esper's Convenient Lie
Esper’s claim that the two decades of countering violent extremism left the U.S. under-prepared for a near-peer fight doesn’t hold water....
By Paul Scharre
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The Militarization of Artificial Intelligence
Militaries are racing to adopt artificial intelligence (AI) with the aim of gaining military advantage over competitors. And yet, there is little understanding of AI’s long-te...
By Paul Scharre
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Are AI-Powered Killer Robots Inevitable?
In war, speed kills. The soldier who is a split second quicker on the draw may walk away from a firefight unscathed; the ship that sinks an enemy vessel first may spare i...
By Paul Scharre
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The Defense Department Needs a Real Technology Strategy
Defense Department leaders agree the U.S. military must reinvigorate its technological edge. They just can’t agree on which technologies matter. Nor do they appear to be layin...
By Paul Scharre & Ainikki Riikonen
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The Iranian Missile Strike Did Far More Damage Than Trump Admits
Over 100 American soldiers have been treated for traumatic brain injuries following Iran’s missile strike on Al Asad Air Base in western Iraq. The strike came in retaliation f...
By Loren DeJonge Schulman & Paul Scharre
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The China Challenge
The United States and China are strategic competitors, and technology is at the center of this competition, critical to economic strength and national security. The United Sta...
By Martijn Rasser, Elizabeth Rosenberg & Paul Scharre