Press
Showing 1-20 of 34 Items
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The new Russian offensive in Ukraine isn’t going much better than the previous one
In The News
A May 9 US intelligence estimate concluded that the Russians had gained only a few miles in the Donbas region since the offensive began; a Pentagon official described Russia’s...
By Michael Kofman
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Russia’s offensive in the Donbas can’t make up for its failure in Kyiv
In The News
This week, the new phase of Russia’s war in Ukraine has taken form. It is a war over control of the Donbas, the eastern Ukrainian region where Russia has been supporting a sep...
By Michael Kofman
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Next Phase of War Will Be Pivotal for Russia and Ukraine, U.S. Says
In The News
Senior Biden administration officials say they believe that the next four weeks will shape the eventual outcome of Russia’s war in Ukraine, with long-lasting ramifications tha...
By Michael Kofman
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Russia’s Strategy in the East
In The News
Russia declared today that its military campaign in eastern Ukraine was underway as it bombarded hundreds of targets across a sprawling 300-mile front, from Kharkiv in the nor...
By Michael Kofman
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Russia’s Moskva cruiser sinks following Ukrainian claim of missile strike
In The News
Russia’s Black Sea flagship missile cruiser, the Moskva, sank while being towed to port after an explosion caused by an unexplained fire, the Russian defence ministry has said...
By Michael Kofman
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Russia and Ukraine race to prepare for decisive battle in Donbas
In The News
In the first phase of the war, Russian troops attacked across three broad fronts hoping to quickly take cities, but they became overstretched and suffered heavy losses. Russia...
By Michael Kofman
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On the Moskva, think like Helen Mirren
In The News
The sinking of Russia’s ‘Moskva’ cruiser is a big symbolic win for Ukraine, but does very little to change the course of the war. Experts NatSec Daily spoke to since the Kreml...
By Michael Kofman
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Russia Is Recruiting Mercenaries and Syrians to Ukraine, Western Officials Say
In The News
As Russian troops retreat from northern Ukraine and focus operations on the country’s east and south, the Kremlin is struggling to scrape together enough combat-ready reinforc...
By Michael Kofman
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As Russia retreats from Kyiv, U.S. sees uglier fights to come
In The News
Russia’s apparent retreat from Kyiv and retrenchment into Ukraine’s easternmost regions marks the latest sign that the war is at an inflection point — one that U.S. officials ...
By Michael Kofman
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How Kyiv Has Withstood Russia’s Attacks
In The News
Kyiv is the ultimate prize for Russia: the heart of Ukraine, and the seat of a government it has sought to replace. For weeks, Russian troops have pressed in on the city from ...
By Michael Kofman
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Why Russia's military is bogged down by logistics in Ukraine
In The News
After weeks of little success except in southeastern Ukraine, despite relentless shelling and thousands of military and civilian casualties, Moscow said during peace negotiati...
By Michael Kofman
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Where Does Putin’s War Go From Here?
In The News
Shortly before dawn on Feb. 24, in an address to the nation peppered with falsehoods and grievances, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced plans to invade neighboring Ukr...
By Jim Townsend & Michael Kofman
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‘Diminishing returns’: What can change the course for Putin in the Ukraine war?
In The News
Michael Kofman, a Russian military analyst at research group CNA in Virginia, said significant Russian casualties do not necessarily seem to be a political limitation on Putin...
By Michael Kofman
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The Next 2 Weeks Could Determine the Fate of Ukraine
In The News
After the initial shock of Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine, the biggest surprise of the war may be how badly the Russian army has performed. What at first seemed like a c...
By Michael Kofman
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Russian air force action increases despite flood of antiaircraft missiles into Ukraine
In The News
“It’s very likely that the Russian Aerospace Forces have modified how they’re conducting operations,” said Michael Kofman, the director of Russian studies at CNA, a Virginia-b...
By Michael Kofman
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How Kyiv’s Outgunned Defenders Have Kept Russian Forces from Capturing the Capital
In The News
“Ukraine’s main game is a game for time,” said Michael Kofman, director of Russian studies at the Center for Naval Analyses (CNA) in Arlington, Va. “To try to do something els...
By Michael Kofman
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Over Ukraine, Lumbering Turkish-Made Drones Are an Ominous Sign for Russia
In The News
“It is so perplexing, and no one is quite sure what went wrong,” said Samuel Bendett, an expert on the Russian military at the Center for a New American Security, a Washington...
By Samuel Bendett & Michael Kofman
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Russia’s Tight Embrace of Belarus Raises Prospect of Nuclear Deployment
In The News
Belarusians voting in today’s referendum are poised to abandon the country’s nonnuclear status, an outcome that could lead to Moscow deploying such weapons in Belarus just as ...
By Michael Kofman
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Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine Is Just Beginning
In The News
Russia has only deployed around one-third of its amassed forces into Ukraine, a senior U.S. defense official said in a briefing to reporters on Friday, underscoring the risk o...
By Michael Kofman
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‘What Is the End Game?’ Russia’s Multipronged Assault on Ukraine
In The News
Missile strikes against air defences and critical military infrastructure, a rocket bombardment against major troop locations followed by a three-pronged land attack: Russia’s...
By Michael Kofman
