October 28, 2025
A New Era of Strongman Rulers Is Upon Us
This article was originally published in The New York Times.
When President Trump and President Xi Jinping of China meet this week, the world will be watching to see if they can lock in a framework trade agreement and finally restore a sense of lasting stability and predictability to the world’s most consequential relationship.
Don’t count on it.
The consequences of strongman rule seep into the fabric of economies and everyday life.
Whatever rhetoric or handshake deals come out of their planned encounter at a regional summit in South Korea, they are unlikely to signify more than a momentary truce between two leaders unchecked by domestic or institutional constraints and free to change course on a whim.
Welcome to the new strongman era.
Read the full article in The New York Times.
More from CNAS
-
Trump Will Struggle With Diplomacy Whilst Putin Is Emboldened
Putin is “not in the mood for a ceasefire” because he “thinks that he’s going to drive Ukraine to their knees this winter”, says former deputy assistant secretary of defence f...
By Jim Townsend
-
Midterm Push or Meaningful Shift? Trump’s Approach to Russia
On October 9, U.S. President Donald Trump announced he had reached a deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin to produce to purchase Russian diesel ahead of next month’s mid...
By Andrea Kendall-Taylor
-
Thanks to Trump and Putin the Risk Russia Poses Is Only Likely to Grow
"Keep your friends close and your enemies closer." Or is it keep your enemies close and kick your friends to the curb? The Trump administration certainly seems to think the la...
By Andrea Kendall-Taylor
-
Indo-Pacific Security / Transatlantic Security / Middle East Security
The Axis of Upheaval Goes to WarThey are fine-tuning their cooperation to make their partners more resilient—and more dangerous to the United States—while limiting costs and risks....
By Andrea Kendall-Taylor & Richard Fontaine
