It’s official: the delayed parliamentary vote on Prime Minister Theresa May’s initial Brexit deal with the European Union is now scheduled for Jan. 15. May has had a brutal couple of months, culminating in a no-confidence vote spurred from within her own Conservative Party last December, which put her in a weaker position than at any other time during her premiership. She even received the dreaded Kate McKinnon treatment on Saturday Night Live, showing just how deeply her predicament has penetrated the news zeitgeist.
But May’s troubles don’t end there, and what will happen next week when she faces Parliament is anybody’s guess. European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker has said there is no room to renegotiate a new deal and told the UK to “get its act together” ahead of the January vote; the long-term question of how to avoid a hard border between the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland continues to be a sticking point, with German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas saying a hard border would be unacceptable to the EU. All the while the Labour Party, led by avowed euroskeptic Jeremy Corbyn, would prefer Parliament vote down her deal next week so that his forces can push for a revolt within her government and move on a full vote of no confidence, forcing a general election.
So, yeah: If there’s one word to describe the current state of Brexit, it’s “ugly.” In fact, short of a hard crash out of the EU—which, absent a deal, will happen on March 29, 2019—it’s hard to see how things could get uglier. Unless, of course, talk of a new referendum becomes a reality.
Read the full article and more in POLITICO Magazine.
More from CNAS
CommentaryPotential US responses to the Russian use of non-strategic nuclear weapons in Ukraine
Responding in-kind to a Russian nuclear attack and caving to nuclear coercion are clearly unwise, but the other options have risks and uncertainties that make one thing obviou...
By Jeffrey Edmonds
VideoMilitary equipment especially important in this stage of Ukraine war
Margarita Konaev, adjunct senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security, joins Government Matters to discuss the latest in Ukrainian military strategy to counter the...
By Margarita "Rita" Konaev
CommentaryPushing back on Beijing in the EU-U.S. Trade and Technology Council
The gradual shift taking place in Europe might create space for a new agenda in the Trade and Technology Council to address risks emanating from China....
By Carisa Nietsche
PodcastRussia may become the only non-NATO nation in the Arctic, sparking fears of conflict
For decades, Russia and other nations collaborated on scientific and environmental issues in the Arctic. Now, there's concern that Finland and Sweden joining NATO could spark ...
By Heli Hautala