Reports
Showing 1-20 of 124 Publications
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Reports
Technology & National Security
Off TargetThe pace of progress in frontier artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities shows no sign of slowing. Frontier models offer transformative potential for national security—from ...
By Caleb Withers, Jay Kim & Ethan Chiu
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Reports
Technology & National Security
Quantum's Industrial MomentQuantum technologies are approaching a critical inflection point. Over the next three to five years, quantum sensors and computers that have long remained confined to laborato...
By Constanza M. Vidal Bustamante & Dr. John Burke
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Reports
Technology & National Security
Prepared, Not ParalyzedExecutive Summary The Trump administration has embraced a pro-innovation approach to artificial intelligence (AI) policy. Its AI Action Plan, released July 2025, underscores t...
By Janet Egan, Spencer Michaels & Caleb Withers
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Reports
Technology & National Security
Countering the Digital Silk RoadThe year 2025 marks the 10th anniversary of the Digital Silk Road (DSR), China’s effort to strengthen its global ties and influence through technology. In the decade since the...
By Vivek Chilukuri & Ruby Scanlon
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Reports
Technology & National Security
Tipping the ScalesThis report examines how emerging AI capabilities could disrupt the cyber offense-defense balance....
By Caleb Withers
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Reports
Technology & National Security
Countering the Digital Silk Road: Saudi ArabiaProject Overview The year 2025 marks the 10th anniversary of the Digital Silk Road (DSR), China’s ambitious initiative to shape critical digital infrastructure around the worl...
By Vivek Chilukuri & Ruby Scanlon
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Reports
Technology & National Security
Global Compute and National SecurityThe current pathway to breakthrough artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities relies on amassing and leveraging vast “compute”—specialized chips housed within massive data cen...
By Janet Egan
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Reports
Technology & National Security
Countering the Digital Silk Road: KenyaResearchers from the CNAS Technology and National Security team spent a week in the country interviewing U.S. and Kenyan policymakers, journalists, technology firms, civil soc...
By Vivek Chilukuri & Ruby Scanlon
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Reports
Indo-Pacific Security / Technology & National Security
Cyber Crossroads in the Indo-PacificThe Indo-Pacific faces a cyber crossroads. Down one path lies deeper military, intelligence, and economic ties between Washington and its key allies and partners in this strat...
By Vivek Chilukuri, Lisa Curtis, Janet Egan, Morgan Peirce, Elizabeth Whatcott & Nathaniel Schochet
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Reports
Technology & National Security
Countering AI Chip Smuggling Has Become a National Security PriorityBased on the available evidence, artificial intelligence (AI) chip smuggling has likely been occurring at a scale that significantly undermines U.S. attempts to restrict the P...
By Erich Grunewald & Tim Fist
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Reports
Technology & National Security
Atomic AdvantageExecutive Summary One of the most consequential national security contests now unfolds on battlefields invisible to the naked eye—across the faint radiofrequency signals of th...
By Constanza M. Vidal Bustamante
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Reports
Defense / Technology & National Security
Lessons in LearningExecutive Summary Although claims of a revolution in military affairs may be overhyped, the potential for artificial intelligence (AI) and autonomy to change warfare is growin...
By Josh Wallin
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Reports
Technology & National Security
Countering the Digital Silk Road: BrazilProject Overview This year marks the 10th anniversary of the Digital Silk Road (DSR), China’s ambitious initiative to shape critical digital infrastructure around the world to...
By Ruby Scanlon & Bill Drexel
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Reports
Technology & National Security
Promethean RivalryExecutive Summary Just as nuclear weapons revolutionized 20th-century geopolitics, artificial intelligence (AI) is primed to transform 21st-century power dynamics—with world l...
By Bill Drexel
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Reports
Technology & National Security
Countering the Digital Silk Road: IndonesiaThis year marks the 10th anniversary of the Digital Silk Road (DSR), China’s ambitious initiative to shape critical digital infrastructure around the world to advance its geop...
By Vivek Chilukuri & Ruby Scanlon
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Reports
Defense / Technology & National Security
Safe and EffectiveThe promise of artificial intelligence (AI) and autonomy to change the character of war inches closer to reality...
By Josh Wallin
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Reports
Indo-Pacific Security / Transatlantic Security / Technology & National Security
Averting AI ArmageddonIn recent years, the previous bipolar nuclear order led by the United States and Russia has given way to a more volatile tripolar one, as China has quantitatively and qualitat...
By Jacob Stokes, Colin H. Kahl, Andrea Kendall-Taylor & Nicholas Lokker
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Reports
Technology & National Security
BiopowerFor policymakers, the question is not whether the biorevolution has transformative power, but which nation will responsibly harness that power...
By Vivek Chilukuri & Hannah Kelley
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Reports
Technology & National Security
Technology to Secure the AI Chip Supply Chain: A Working PaperAdvanced artificial intelligence (AI) systems, built and deployed with specialized chips, show vast potential to drive economic growth and scientific progress....
By Tim Fist, Tao Burga & Vivek Chilukuri
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Reports
Technology & National Security
AI and the Evolution of Biological National Security RisksNew AI capabilities may reshape the risk landscape for biothreats in several ways. AI is enabling new capabilities that might, in theory, allow advanced actors to optimize bio...
By Bill Drexel & Caleb Withers
