May 14, 2026
Does OPEC Still Matter?
This article was originally published in War on the Rocks.
On April 28, the United Arab Emirates announced that it would leave OPEC, effective May 1 — ending nearly six decades as an OPEC member. In terms of oil production, it is the most significant country to leave the group. While multiple factors drove the decision to leave, the timing is notable — as the war with Iran has led to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and focused global attention on oil prices. We asked four experts to consider the impact on OPEC’s future.
Read the full article in War on the Rocks.
More from CNAS
-
2026 Summer Reading List from Derisky Business
On Derisky Business, the economic security podcast from the Center for a New American Security, we like to ask all our guests to recommend their favorite books listeners shoul...
By Emily Kilcrease, Geoffrey Gertz & Eleanor Hume
-
Ziemba: Iran Looking to Monetize & Weaponize Hormuz
Oil steadied after falling more than 3% in previous sessions following early progress in peace talks over the Iran war. A US waiver allows some sales from Iran, offering them ...
By Rachel Ziemba
-
Are the 301 Tariffs Really About Forced Labor? with Josh Kagan
Josh Kagan joins Emily and Geoff to give the big picture behind recent U.S. tariffs related to forced labor, as well as providing an insider’s view on the future of trade and ...
By Emily Kilcrease & Geoffrey Gertz
-
Trump’s Replacement Tariffs Will Have Unintended Consequences for USMCA
Ultimately, this is a choice between two models of economic leadership. One relies on rules, predictability, and partnership. The other leans on discretion, leverage, and shor...
By Emily Kilcrease
