September 15, 2022
Time Is Running Out to Defend Taiwan
Chinese President Xi Jinping has made it abundantly clear that “reunifying” Taiwan with mainland China is a legacy issue for him, something he intends to accomplish on his watch through political and economic means or, if necessary, through military force. Right now, he is preoccupied with the COVID-19 crisis, the slowing growth of the Chinese economy, and the upcoming 20th Party Congress, where he hopes to secure a third term as chair of the Chinese Communist Party.
The U.S. military’s most promising capabilities to counter China will not be ready until the 2030s.
But once these immediate concerns are addressed, it is possible that sometime in the next five years Xi will consider taking Taiwan by force, either because nonmilitary efforts at reunification have fallen short or because he believes his chances of success will diminish if he waits and U.S. military capabilities grow.
Read the full article from Foreign Affairs.
More from CNAS
-
Trump Rues State of Iran Talks, Says Prefer Not to Strike
Video
President Donald Trump expressed displeasure with the current state of negotiations with Iran but stopped short of threatening fresh military action in the nine-week conflict ...
By Becca Wasser
-
Rising Domestic Pressure in Russia?
Podcast
Over the last several weeks, strain within Russia's domestic political system has become increasingly apparent. The Kremlin has intensified digital controls, intermittently di...
By Andrea Kendall-Taylor & Jim Townsend
-
Leveraging the Defense Innovation Ecosystem for Maximum Effect
Commentary
Introduction At a moment when the resilience of the wartime acquisition system is a national priority, start-ups, primes, investors, and the U.S. government must align to turn...
By Aaron Peterman & Sohaila Mali
-
Charles on a Mission: Can King’s State Visit Salvage U.S.-UK Ties?
Video
Call it the royal trump card: King Charles III has been dispatched to Washington on a state visit at the lowest point in the "special relationship" in at least seven decades. ...
By Jim Townsend
