Press
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In The News
Transatlantic Security / Energy, Economics & Security
U.S. Aims to Cripple Russian Oil Industry, Officials SayRussian oil exports increased in April, and rising prices mean that Russia has earned 50 percent more in revenues this year compared to the same period in 2021, according to a...
By Maria Snegovaya & Edward Fishman
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Russia’s military is now a ‘wounded bear.’ Can it revive itself?
In The News
Right now, there is a sense in the public that Russia’s conventional forces have proven to be a paper bear, defeated by Ukrainians armed with older equipment, and plagued by a...
By Jim Townsend
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Why Russia is struggling in eastern Ukraine, in maps
In The News
In the Donbas and the Kharkiv regions, up to two-thirds of the land is used for agriculture, according to Diadin. Clusters of trees around farms in northern Donetsk provide co...
By Michael Kofman
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The new Russian offensive in Ukraine isn’t going much better than the previous one
In The News
A May 9 US intelligence estimate concluded that the Russians had gained only a few miles in the Donbas region since the offensive began; a Pentagon official described Russia’s...
By Michael Kofman
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Crucial NATO decisions expected in Finland, Sweden this week
In The News
Key decision-makers in non-aligned Finland and Sweden are set to announce their positions on NATO membership this week in what could be a serious blow to Russia as its militar...
By Heli Hautala
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Putin’s choices filled with peril on eve of Victory Day parade
On the brink of its May 9 Victory Day celebrations, Russia looks very far from triumph in its war in Ukraine. And all of its options going forward are fraught with danger. Aft...
By Jeffrey Edmonds
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Intel leaks show US success in Ukraine — but come with risks
In The News
The Biden administration’s decision to step up aid to Ukraine is paying real-world dividends, providing not only the weapons to battle Russian forces but also the intelligence...
By Richard Fontaine
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Russia-Ukraine war: What would a victory look like now to Putin?
In The News
Russia’s Victory Day parade is an annual extravagance in Red Square. Falling on May 9, it commemorates the Nazi surrender of World War II with a lavish spectacle meant to proj...
By Margarita "Rita" Konaev
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Russia’s offensive in the Donbas can’t make up for its failure in Kyiv
In The News
This week, the new phase of Russia’s war in Ukraine has taken form. It is a war over control of the Donbas, the eastern Ukrainian region where Russia has been supporting a sep...
By Michael Kofman
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Once A Hope Of Russian Liberals And The West, Medvedev Beats A Bellicose Drum To Stay Safe, Relevant
Former President Dmitry Medvedev's opinion article in the daily Kommersant in October 2021, ahead of Russia's massive military buildup along the Ukrainian border, was as surre...
By Maria Snegovaya
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Next Phase of War Will Be Pivotal for Russia and Ukraine, U.S. Says
In The News
Senior Biden administration officials say they believe that the next four weeks will shape the eventual outcome of Russia’s war in Ukraine, with long-lasting ramifications tha...
By Michael Kofman
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As a new, uglier phase of fighting in Ukraine begins, Western countries are rushing to give Kyiv bigger, better weapons
In The News
Ukrainians have "proven that they're willing to fight and they're able to," said Jim Townsend, an adjunct senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security, "but I think...
By Jim Townsend
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Was NATO Enlargement a Mistake?
In The News
We at Foreign Affairs have recently published a number of pieces on NATO, the decision to proceed with its enlargement, and its impact on European and global security. To comp...
By Maria Snegovaya
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Russia’s Strategy in the East
In The News
Russia declared today that its military campaign in eastern Ukraine was underway as it bombarded hundreds of targets across a sprawling 300-mile front, from Kharkiv in the nor...
By Michael Kofman
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The ‘Messy Middle’
In The News
If you live in most any Western country, your government’s support for Ukraine, including sending weapons and imposing sanctions on Russia, can give the impression of a united...
By Carisa Nietsche
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Will new weapons shipments change the war for Ukraine?
In The News
“They are receiving a great amount of what they need,” Rita Konaev, associate director of analysis at Georgetown University’s Center for Security and Emerging Technology told ...
By Margarita "Rita" Konaev
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Russia’s Moskva cruiser sinks following Ukrainian claim of missile strike
In The News
Russia’s Black Sea flagship missile cruiser, the Moskva, sank while being towed to port after an explosion caused by an unexplained fire, the Russian defence ministry has said...
By Michael Kofman
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Russia and Ukraine race to prepare for decisive battle in Donbas
In The News
In the first phase of the war, Russian troops attacked across three broad fronts hoping to quickly take cities, but they became overstretched and suffered heavy losses. Russia...
By Michael Kofman
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On the Moskva, think like Helen Mirren
In The News
The sinking of Russia’s ‘Moskva’ cruiser is a big symbolic win for Ukraine, but does very little to change the course of the war. Experts NatSec Daily spoke to since the Kreml...
By Michael Kofman
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Why Russia gave up on urban war in Kyiv and turned to big battles in the east
In The News
Just weeks into its war in Ukraine, Russia has shifted its focus to the country’s east, redeploying weapons and troops and increasing attacks on key towns and cities. The sudd...
By Jeffrey Edmonds
