Press
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Businesses ‘Frozen Out’ of Trump’s Tariff Channel with China
“There’s always a risk that this kind of thing devolves into endless chit-chat,” said Emily Kilcrease, a former deputy assistant U.S. trade representative during Trump’s first...
By Emily Kilcrease
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Japan’s New CIA Could Be Takaichi’s Trump Card
Japan is stepping up to meet his administration’s demands for allies to do more. Intelligence reform may generate fewer headlines than higher defense spending, new missiles, o...
By Derek Grossman
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Rare Earths Force Trump to Be Less Hostile Before Xi Summit
"The US and the Trump administration are just fundamentally in a different position with China where they can't use that overly coercive, over-reaching approach, knowing that ...
By Emily Kilcrease
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Aerospace Suppliers Test Rare-Earth Alternatives to Ease Reliance on China
"Even under optimistic scenarios, we are years, not months, away from breaking our dependency on China for rare earths," said Geoffrey Gertz, a former official on the White Ho...
By Geoffrey Gertz
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Technology & National Security
AI Safety Looms as Major Xi-Trump Summit Topic amid Intensifying RaceDaniel Remler, a senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security, a Washington-based think tank, said while most firms appear interested in using technologies from bot...
By Daniel Remler
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As Trump and Xi Meet, the U.S. and China Are ‘Shin-Kicking Under the Table’
Geoffrey Gertz, a senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security, a Washington think tank, said there was a “real risk” in the coming months that one side would unint...
By Geoffrey Gertz
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As Trump and Xi Meet, the U.S. and China Are ‘Shin-Kicking Under the Table’
Sara Schuman, a former U.S. trade official, managing director at Beacon Global Strategies, and adjunct senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security, said the Chines...
By Sara Schuman
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Saudi Arabia Spent Months Trying to Bypass Hormuz. For Now, There’s No Way Around It.
“This is a reminder that bypass channels aren’t infallible,” said Rachel Ziemba, an adjunct senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security, a Washington think tank. “...
By Rachel Ziemba
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Fulfilling Earlier U.S.-China Agreements Is a Work in Progress as Trump and Xi Meet Again
Modest progress is likely, but analysts don’t expect any major breakthroughs from Xi’s visit, which begins Wednesday. “Instead, the main deliverable really is that the trip is...
By Sara Schuman
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China Rare-Earth Exports to U.S. Drop Before Xi-Trump Meet
“Washington needs stability with Beijing to keep these critical inputs moving,” Chris Kennedy, lead for economic statecraft at Bloomberg Economics and adjunct senior fellow at...
By Chris Kennedy
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Russia’s Secret Plan to Supercharge Kamikaze Drone Production
Drones allow Moscow to “launch these massive volleys and put pressure on deep targets within Ukraine at many different locations, and ensure that they can saturate the defense...
By Stacie Pettyjohn
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Why Autocrats Care What People Think
“Popularity is a tricky thing, because you don’t know how durable it is,” said Andrea Kendall-Taylor, a senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security in Washington. ...
By Andrea Kendall-Taylor
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The Canadian Tycoon Accused of Helping Russia’s ‘War Machine’
“This really is a case study of gaps in enforcement and the limits of compliance extraterritorially,” said Alex Zerden, a former U.S. Treasury official and adjunct senior fell...
By Alex Zerden
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Analysts: Trump Likely to Press Xi on Minerals Pledges at White House Meeting
Chinese President Xi Jinping’s visit to the White House will be an opportunity for President Trump to renew pressure on his counterpart to fulfill commitments on mineral expor...
By Sara Schuman
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Trump’s New Tariff Threat Risks Cutting off Asia’s Russian Oil Lifeline as Gulf Supply Falls
The threat itself could prompt buyers to move faster. “Paradoxically, it could incentivise more purchases from Russia to get ahead of any future risks,” said Rachel Ziemba of ...
By Rachel Ziemba
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Tokyo’s Defense Changing to Less U.S., More Asia
India wants “an Indo-Pacific region where the democratic powers are strong and working together to preserve a regional balance of power and a measure of deterrence vis-a-vis C...
By Richard Fontaine
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U.S. Space Weapon Announcement Comes amid Deepening Space Race, Experts Say
The weapons could carry capabilities from directed energy to electromagnetic spectrum jamming technology to kinetic capabilities like missiles, according to experts. The weapo...
By Philip Sheers
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Iran War Drives Bigger Diesel Supply Loss Despite Trump’s Claims
“Iran conflict-related shortages are the biggest driver of the diesel and product shortage and price spike, though damage to Russian refineries is exacerbating these trends,” ...
By Rachel Ziemba
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Big Questions—And Key Logistical Details—Loom Ahead of China-U.S. Summit
"I think that's one of the reasons why they want to sustain diplomacy with Trump is they're pretty happy with the direction things are going," said Jacob Stokes, a senior fell...
By Jacob Stokes
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Technology & National Security
AI Crisis Heightens the Stakes of Xi’s Visit to Washington“While it’s undoubtedly true that the [Chinese Communist Party] wouldn’t take kindly to an uncontrollable AI undermining its rule, it would be a huge leap to conclude that Bei...
By Daniel Remler