July 26, 2026
Can China Keep Its AI Open?
This article was originally published in The Wire China.
On July 16, Chinese lab Moonshot AI released Kimi K3, a 2.8 trillion parameter open-weight model that within a day had displaced Anthropic’s most advanced offering, Fable 5, atop a widely watched frontend coding leaderboard, a first for a Chinese model. The following day, Chinese President Xi Jinping told attendees at the annual World AI Conference in Shanghai to “seize this rare, historic opportunity to encourage open-source.” Yet in the same speech, he warned that AI is “advancing at a staggering speed” and called for “laws and regulations, technological monitoring, early warning and emergency response systems” to keep the technology secure.
Without reliable ways to measure dangerous capabilities, some judgments may be wrong. And an open model that clears a badly drawn line proliferates globally, offering malicious actors anywhere the opportunity to adapt them for harmful uses such as cyberattacks or biological design.
Those two priorities of openness and security will become increasingly difficult to reconcile. As Chinese models approach the frontier, open-weight releases risk diffusing powerful AI capabilities beyond Beijing’s ability to control. Recent reporting suggests Beijing is already beginning to grapple with that dilemma. Nine days before President Xi’s remarks, Reuters revealed that China’s Commerce Ministry had convened Alibaba, ByteDance, and Z.ai to discuss curbing overseas access to their most advanced models, with options ranging as far as barring public release.
Read the full article in The Wire China.
More from CNAS
-
Technology & National Security
Ukraine Is Opening Putin’s Military Secrets to the WorldUkraine has launched a new platform, called 'TrophyLab', sharing research into captured Russian weapons with allies. Russian UAV expert and CNA and Center for a New American S...
By Samuel Bendett
-
Technology & National Security
The White House’s Secret AI Rules + the State of Model Alignment With METR’s Chris Painter + the Final Hot Mess ExpressThen, yet another report details new incidents in which A.I. agents have gone rogue. Chris Painter, an adjunct senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security and the ...
By Chris Painter
-
Technology & National Security
AI Roundup: AI Going Rogue, Music Labels Want Popular AI Music GuidelinesDaniel Remler, senior fellow with the Technology and National Security Program at the Center for a New American Security (CNAS), joined AirTalk to discuss the White House's me...
By Daniel Remler
-
Technology & National Security
The Cure for Russia’s Labor Shortage Is Worse Than the DiseaseAltogether, while Russia’s labor crisis is becoming a structural constraint on the Kremlin’s wartime economy, domestic stability, and long-term geopolitical ambitions, its res...
By Samuel Bendett
