December 23, 2025
Trump Isn’t That Serious About Defeating Xi
This article was originally published in The Wall Street Journal.
We wish we could agree with Matthew Kroenig’s assessment that the Trump administration is serious about defeating Beijing (Letters, Dec. 20). Whatever virtue the national security strategy may contain, two recent moves by the administration run counter to its logic and put wind in the sails of the Communist Party’s ambitions to eclipse the U.S. as the world’s leading power.
First, the NSS rightly warns against “hostile foreign influence” in the form of “destructive propaganda” and “cultural subversion.” Yet President Trump is sidestepping the clearest remedy to the most egregious vector for such influence: TikTok. Congress passed, and the Supreme Court unanimously upheld, a law requiring the app’s Chinese owner, ByteDance, to divest and relinquish operational control of the U.S. business or be banned. The emerging deal in Washington allows ByteDance to maintain a significant stake and appears to preserve Chinese control over the algorithm that shapes the media diets of more than a third of Americans, cementing Beijing’s ability to manipulate U.S. public opinion on everything from Taiwan to the midterm elections.
The notion that China will stay “hooked” on our AI stack flies in the face of everything we know about Beijing’s drive for self-reliance.
Second, though the NSS rightly calls to maintain “technological preeminence,” the president’s decision to allow Nvidia to sell its H200 chips to China directly contradicts that goal. The deal may boost the company’s market share there, but it represents a strategic own goal for the U.S. Easier access to our chips accelerates Beijing’s dual-track strategy of leveraging advanced foreign hardware to rectify near-term deficiencies in AI training while pursuing semiconductor independence. The H200 fills the most consequential gap in China’s AI ecosystem: high-end training compute it can’t yet produce at scale.
Unsurprisingly, Washington’s concession hasn’t moderated Beijing’s indigenization drive. Chinese authorities are reportedly weighing $70 billion in new incentives for domestic chipmaking while limiting how many foreign chips state-funded data centers can purchase to ensure sufficient demand for local alternatives. The notion that China will stay “hooked” on our AI stack flies in the face of everything we know about Beijing’s drive for self-reliance.
Read the full article on The Wall Street Journal.
More from CNAS
-
Trump Administration Pauses Offshore Wind Projects Along the East Coast
Five large-scale offshore wind projects under construction along the East Coast have been halted. The Trump administration says the projects pose a national security risk. Wil...
By Will Rogers
-
No Grid, No Glory: What History Teaches Us About the Next Major War
This article was originally published on The National Interest.The Trump Administration’s new National Security Strategy goes to great lengths to do what every good strategist...
By Will Rogers
-
Breaking the Rare Earths Dependency with Chris Kennedy
Geoff sits down with Chris Kennedy to unpack the Trump administration’s National Security Strategy and debate what it will take for the United States to overcome its dependenc...
By Geoffrey Gertz, Emily Kilcrease & Chris Kennedy
-
Energy, Economics & Security / Technology & National Security
Recommendations for Promoting American AI AbroadStrategic Context and Program Objectives The American AI Exports Program is an ambitious and essential proposal to expand the reach of American AI technologies in foreign mar...
By Janet Egan, Geoffrey Gertz, Daniel Remler & Ruby Scanlon
