December 23, 2025
Trump Isn’t That Serious About Defeating Xi
This article was originally published in The Wall Street Journal.
We wish we could agree with Matthew Kroenig’s assessment that the Trump administration is serious about defeating Beijing (Letters, Dec. 20). Whatever virtue the national security strategy may contain, two recent moves by the administration run counter to its logic and put wind in the sails of the Communist Party’s ambitions to eclipse the U.S. as the world’s leading power.
First, the NSS rightly warns against “hostile foreign influence” in the form of “destructive propaganda” and “cultural subversion.” Yet President Trump is sidestepping the clearest remedy to the most egregious vector for such influence: TikTok. Congress passed, and the Supreme Court unanimously upheld, a law requiring the app’s Chinese owner, ByteDance, to divest and relinquish operational control of the U.S. business or be banned. The emerging deal in Washington allows ByteDance to maintain a significant stake and appears to preserve Chinese control over the algorithm that shapes the media diets of more than a third of Americans, cementing Beijing’s ability to manipulate U.S. public opinion on everything from Taiwan to the midterm elections.
The notion that China will stay “hooked” on our AI stack flies in the face of everything we know about Beijing’s drive for self-reliance.
Second, though the NSS rightly calls to maintain “technological preeminence,” the president’s decision to allow Nvidia to sell its H200 chips to China directly contradicts that goal. The deal may boost the company’s market share there, but it represents a strategic own goal for the U.S. Easier access to our chips accelerates Beijing’s dual-track strategy of leveraging advanced foreign hardware to rectify near-term deficiencies in AI training while pursuing semiconductor independence. The H200 fills the most consequential gap in China’s AI ecosystem: high-end training compute it can’t yet produce at scale.
Unsurprisingly, Washington’s concession hasn’t moderated Beijing’s indigenization drive. Chinese authorities are reportedly weighing $70 billion in new incentives for domestic chipmaking while limiting how many foreign chips state-funded data centers can purchase to ensure sufficient demand for local alternatives. The notion that China will stay “hooked” on our AI stack flies in the face of everything we know about Beijing’s drive for self-reliance.
Read the full article on The Wall Street Journal.
More from CNAS
-
Jones Act Relief Extended, Iran War Presses On
President Trump extended a waiver Monday for foreign ships transporting oil around the US as the war in Iran continues to disrupt supply chains. Bloomberg News' Mike McKee & B...
By Chris Kennedy
-
The Blind Spot in U.S.-China AI Competition with Paul Haenle and Terah Lyons
Paul Haenle and Terah Lyons of JPMorganChase join Emily and Geoff to talk about their recent report on U.S.-China AI competition and what policymakers miss when they only look...
By Emily Kilcrease & Geoffrey Gertz
-
Weapons Stockpiles Become the Next Constraint
Rachel Ziemba, adjunct senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security, joins Bloomberg Surveillance to discuss U.S. weapons stockpiles and their impact on future nego...
By Rachel Ziemba
-
Defense / Energy, Economics & Security
Defense Stocks Strain as Conflict WidensBecca Wasser and Chris Kennedy, adjunct senior fellows at the Center for a New American Security, join Bloomberg This Weekend to discuss the Iran War and the its impact on U.S...
By Becca Wasser & Chris Kennedy
