July 17, 2026
Brussels Sprouts LIVE | Forecasting the Future of the Axis of Upheaval: The View from Moscow
Today’s episode of Brussels Sprouts comes from a virtual panel discussion that the Center for a New American Security (CNAS) held on July 14 to mark the release of a report titled Forecasting the Future of the Axis of Upheaval: The View from Moscow. The report assesses the future of the “axis of upheaval,” or the deepening relationships among Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea, from Moscow’s perspective.
The report is set amid growing doubts about Russia’s ability to support its partners abroad in Syria, Venezuela, and Armenia amid the crisis in Nagorno-Karabakh. Yet while Russia did little to help Iran during 12 days of punishing strikes from Israel and the United States in 2025, Russia provided more tangible support for Iran this year. These incidents raise important questions. How does Russia view its relationships with China, North Korea, and Iran? How far would Russia be willing to go to support its partners? What are the factors that drive its cooperation, and what are the limits
Joining Andrea Kendall-Taylor on the panel to address all these questions are three distinguished experts: Nicole Grajewski, Marcin Kaczmarski, and Kadri Liik.
Nicole Grajewski is a nonresident scholar in the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and a tenure-track assistant professor at Sciences Po in Paris.
Marcin Kaczmarski is a lecturer of Central and East European studies in the School of Social & Political Sciences at the University of Glasgow.
Kadri Liik is a visiting scholar at Carnegie Europe and was previously the first director of Estonia’s International Centre for Defence and Security.
More from CNAS
-
Europe Stepping Up and the United States Stepping Back
This week, the Allies met for the NATO summit in Ankara, Türkiye, in what was billed as a summit of low expectations. President Donald Trump once again created headlines with ...
By Andrea Kendall-Taylor & Jim Townsend
-
Would the U.S. Protect NATO Allies If They Were Attacked?
Former US Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defence for NATO and adjunct senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security Jim Townsend says he is unsure whether the US woul...
By Jim Townsend
-
Trump Won’t Humiliate Starmer At Nato Summit Over Defence Spending
“He might even say something kind!” President Trump is unlikely to attack the UK or Keir Starmer over defence spending, says former Pentagon official and adjunct senior fellow...
By Jim Townsend
-
Prospects for Ukraine and a Look Ahead to Ankara
The past month has featured a series of major transatlantic gatherings that together tell an important story about where the alliance is headed. At the NATO Foreign Ministers ...
By Andrea Kendall-Taylor & Jim Townsend