January 26, 2026
Japan Wants Calm, China Not So Much
This article was originally published in Asian Military Review.
One of the most serious China-Japan diplomatic crises in recent years unfolded in November after Chinese officials reacted strongly to remarks by Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, who told lawmakers that a contingency over Taiwan stemming from a Chinese attack on Taiwan could, in the worst-case scenario, “constitute a survival-threatening situation” for Japan. Given such language would allow the deployment of troops to protect the Japanese homeland, China responded vociferously, with one Chinese diplomat appearing to threaten Takaichi’s life. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs in Beijing also accused Takaichi of interfering in its internal affairs and urged Tokyo “to refrain from going further down the wrong path.”
China appears determined to use Takaichi’s comments not only as a way to test Japan’s resolve, but also that of Washington’s under President Donald Trump.
Since then, Takaichi has sought a conciliatory path, seeking a return to the stable ties that she and Chinese leader Xi Jinping pledged to maintain during their meeting in October on the sidelines of the APEC summit. But Beijing refuses to let her off the hook. She has consistently called China “an important neighbor” and left the door open for dialogue. But Beijing has responded by demanding a full retraction of Takaichi’s Taiwan comments.“On key issues, Japan is still ‘squeezing toothpaste’ and ‘burying nails,’ attempting to obfuscate and muddle through,” a Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesperson complained earlier last month, essentially accusing her of making slow progress and appearing cooperative while secretly laying traps for diplomatic leverage later.
Read the full article on Asian Military Review.
More from CNAS
-
Repairing the Breach
U.S.-India relations stumbled badly during the second half of 2025. Differences between U.S. and Indian officials over how a ceasefire was reached between New Delhi and Islama...
By Lisa Curtis, Keerthi Martyn & Sitara Gupta
-
Indo-Pacific Security / Middle East Security
Iran U.S. War Latest Updates | ‘U.S., Israel Making Gains’: Lisa Curtis On Week 3 of Iran WarThree weeks into the Iran conflict, Lisa Curtis, senior fellow and program director at the Center for a New American Security, says the United States and Israel are making tac...
By Lisa Curtis
-
Defense / Indo-Pacific Security
U.S.-Japan-Philippines Trilateral CooperationExecutive Summary Growing challenges from the People’s Republic of China’s (PRC’s) massive military modernization, rapid technological advancement, and coercive military activ...
By Lisa Curtis & Ryan Claffey
-
In Brief: Increasing Tensions Between China and Japan Create Risks for the Region
This article was originally published in War on the Rocks. China’s latest pressure campaign targeting Japan serves multiple purposes for Beijing. One is to redirect domestic p...
By Jacob Stokes
