June 27, 2021
Some foresight about the future of foresight
Trying to predict the future is a timeless and time-consuming pursuit.
Artificial Intelligence is increasingly being enlisted to the cause, but so too are “super-forecasters” – a new coterie of individuals with remarkable predictive powers. But what are their limits and what does their rise say about the still popular notion of collective intelligence – the wisdom of the crowd?
Future Tense looks at the changing role of humans in forecasting.
Listen to the full conversation from ABC.
More from CNAS
-
Defense / Energy, Economics & Security / Technology & National Security
The Outlook CEO Perspectives on Risk, Resilience and ReturnsJoin David Schwimmer and Richard Fontaine, CEO of the Center for New American Security, as they explore the current national security landscape and its impacts on global econo...
By Richard Fontaine
-
Technology & National Security
The Trump-Xi Truce Shows Who Really Holds the LeverageThis article was originally published in The Australian Financial Review. Since President Trump returned to office, the U.S.-China relationship has lurched between confrontat...
By Ruby Scanlon
-
Technology & National Security
NOTUS Perspectives: AI Requires Massive Allocations of Energy. Will Other Sectors Suffer?On the current trajectory, the government may need to prioritize energy for AI over other uses to ensure the United States remains the global leader in advanced AI....
By Janet Egan
-
Technology & National Security
Countering the Digital Silk RoadThe year 2025 marks the 10th anniversary of the Digital Silk Road (DSR), China’s effort to strengthen its global ties and influence through technology. In the decade since the...
By Vivek Chilukuri & Ruby Scanlon