Articles & Multimedia
Showing 1-20 of 33 Publications
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Technology & National Security
Some foresight about the future of foresightTrying to predict the future is a timeless and time-consuming pursuit. Artificial Intelligence is increasingly being enlisted to the cause, but so too are “super-forecasters”...
By Michael Horowitz
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Technology & National Security
Transcript from Artificial Intelligence and the Role of Confidence-Building MeasuresOn March 5, 2021, the CNAS Technology and National Security Program hosted a virtual discussion on AI and the role of confidence-building measures. This event is a part of the...
By Paul Scharre, Helen Toner, Michael Horowitz & Kerstin Vignard
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Technology & National Security
The AI Literacy Gap Hobbling American OfficialdomRarely is there as much agreement about the importance of an emerging technology as exists today about artificial intelligence (AI). Rightly or wrongly, a 2019 survey of 1,000...
By Michael Horowitz & Lauren Kahn
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War with Iran is still less likely than you think
In the wake of the U.S. attack that killed Maj. Gen. Qasem Soleimani, head of Iran’s Quds Force, many are concerned yet again about the potential for escalation between the Un...
By Michael Horowitz & Elizabeth N. Saunders
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Technology & National Security
American Leadership in the Age of Artificial IntelligenceHow can the United States maintain its artificial intelligence leadership in a new era of global competition?...
By Michael Horowitz, Kara Frederick, Elsa B. Kania, Ashley J. Llorens & Amanda Askell
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Technology & National Security
White House AI Executive Order and DoD AI StrategyThis week, the U.S. government released two major new strategic documents on artificial intelligence. The White House published an executive order by President Trump launching...
By Robert O. Work, Paul Scharre, Gregory C. Allen, Kara Frederick, Michael Horowitz & Elsa B. Kania
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Technology & National Security
Congress Can Help the United States Lead in Artificial IntelligenceThis week the U.S. Congress will hold hearings focusing on the Defense Department’s progress on artificial intelligence, a critical technology area. On the agenda is the new N...
By Paul Scharre & Michael Horowitz
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Technology & National Security
Future of Life Institute: AI and Nuclear Weapons – Trust, Accidents, and New Risks with Paul Scharre and Mike HorowitzIn 1983, Soviet military officer Stanislav Petrov prevented what could have been a devastating nuclear war by trusting his gut instinct that the algorithm in his early-warning...
By Michael Horowitz & Paul Scharre
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Technology & National Security
The Algorithms of AugustAn artificial intelligence arms race is coming. It is unlikely to play out in the way that the mainstream media suggest, however: as a faceoff between the United States and Ch...
By Michael Horowitz
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Technology & National Security
Artificial intelligence beyond the superpowersMuch of the debate over how artificial intelligence (AI) will affect geopolitics focuses on the emerging arms race between Washington and Beijing, as well as investments by ma...
By Michael Horowitz & Itai Barsade
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Technology & National Security
Horns of a Dilemma Podcast: Will Artificial Intelligence Change Everything?From world leaders, to commercial titans, to scholars, more and more people are coming to believe that advances in artificial intelligence will change the world in dramat...
By Michael Horowitz
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Technology & National Security
Artificial Intelligence, International Competition, and the Balance of PowerIn early September 2017, Russian President Vladimir Putin brought artificial intelligence from the labs of Silicon Valley, academia, and the basement of the Pentagon to the fo...
By Michael Horowitz
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Technology & National Security
Analysis of the Trump Administration’s Drone Export PolicyPaul Scharre, Senior Fellow and Director of the Technology and National Security program at CNAS, discusses the Trump Administration’s recent Drone Export Policy and its relat...
By Paul Scharre & Michael Horowitz
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Technology & National Security
The promise and peril of military applications of artificial intelligenceArtificial intelligence (AI) is having a moment in the national security space. While the public may still equate the notion of artificial intelligence in the military context...
By Michael Horowitz
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Technology & National Security
A new U.S. policy makes it (somewhat) easier to export dronesThe Trump administration just announced a new drone export policy designed to make it easier for U.S. companies to export drones, including armed drones. Given concerns about ...
By Michael Horowitz & Joshua Schwartz
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Technology & National Security
Will Killer Robots Be Banned? Lessons from Past Civil Society CampaignsAfter several years of debate, on November 13-17, 2017, the Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons (CCW) will convene a Group of Governmental Experts (GGE) to discuss the ...
By Michael Horowitz
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Technology & National Security
Drones Podcast Series: Drones and the MTCRIn this episode of the Drones Podcast Series, CNAS experts Michael Horowitz, Alexandra Sander, and Paul Scharre discuss the Missile Technology Control Regime....
By Michael Horowitz, Alexandra Sander & Paul Scharre
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Defense / Technology & National Security
Drones Podcast Series: U.S. Policy and ExportsOn this episode, Michael Horowitz, Dan Gettinger, and Alexandra Sander join Paul Scharre to discuss U.S. policy changes on unmanned aircraft exports in recent years....
By Michael Horowitz, Dan Gettinger, Alexandra Sander & Paul Scharre
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Technology & National Security
Drones aren't missiles, so don't regulate them like they areThis year marks the 30th anniversary of the Missile Technology Control Regime (MTCR), a voluntary arrangement founded by seven countries in 1987 to prevent the spread of longe...
By Michael Horowitz
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The Future of War is Fast Approaching in the Pacific: Are the U.S. Military Services Ready?
Is the era of unparalleled U.S. conventional military superiority coming to an end? Many senior U.S. military leaders are worried. The ongoing general proliferation of precisi...
By Michael Horowitz