Articles & Multimedia
Showing 1-20 of 33 Publications
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Some foresight about the future of foresight
Podcast
Trying to predict the future is a timeless and time-consuming pursuit. Artificial Intelligence is increasingly being enlisted to the cause, but so too are “super-forecasters”...
By Michael Horowitz
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Transcript from Artificial Intelligence and the Role of Confidence-Building Measures
Transcript
On March 5, 2021, the CNAS Technology and National Security Program hosted a virtual discussion on AI and the role of confidence-building measures. This event is a part of the...
By Paul Scharre, Helen Toner, Michael Horowitz & Kerstin Vignard
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The AI Literacy Gap Hobbling American Officialdom
Commentary
Rarely is there as much agreement about the importance of an emerging technology as exists today about artificial intelligence (AI). Rightly or wrongly, a 2019 survey of 1,000...
By Michael Horowitz & Lauren Kahn
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War with Iran is still less likely than you think
Commentary
In the wake of the U.S. attack that killed Maj. Gen. Qasem Soleimani, head of Iran’s Quds Force, many are concerned yet again about the potential for escalation between the Un...
By Michael Horowitz & Elizabeth N. Saunders
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American Leadership in the Age of Artificial Intelligence
Video
How can the United States maintain its artificial intelligence leadership in a new era of global competition?...
By Michael Horowitz, Kara Frederick, Elsa B. Kania, Ashley J. Llorens & Amanda Askell
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White House AI Executive Order and DoD AI Strategy
Commentary
This week, the U.S. government released two major new strategic documents on artificial intelligence. The White House published an executive order by President Trump launching...
By Robert O. Work, Paul Scharre, Gregory C. Allen, Kara Frederick, Michael Horowitz & Elsa B. Kania
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Congress Can Help the United States Lead in Artificial Intelligence
Commentary
This week the U.S. Congress will hold hearings focusing on the Defense Department’s progress on artificial intelligence, a critical technology area. On the agenda is the new N...
By Paul Scharre & Michael Horowitz
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Future of Life Institute: AI and Nuclear Weapons – Trust, Accidents, and New Risks with Paul Scharre and Mike Horowitz
In 1983, Soviet military officer Stanislav Petrov prevented what could have been a devastating nuclear war by trusting his gut instinct that the algorithm in his early-warning...
By Michael Horowitz & Paul Scharre
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The Algorithms of August
An artificial intelligence arms race is coming. It is unlikely to play out in the way that the mainstream media suggest, however: as a faceoff between the United States and Ch...
By Michael Horowitz
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Artificial intelligence beyond the superpowers
Commentary
Much of the debate over how artificial intelligence (AI) will affect geopolitics focuses on the emerging arms race between Washington and Beijing, as well as investments by ma...
By Michael Horowitz & Itai Barsade
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Horns of a Dilemma Podcast: Will Artificial Intelligence Change Everything?
Podcast
From world leaders, to commercial titans, to scholars, more and more people are coming to believe that advances in artificial intelligence will change the world in dramat...
By Michael Horowitz
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Artificial Intelligence, International Competition, and the Balance of Power
Commentary
In early September 2017, Russian President Vladimir Putin brought artificial intelligence from the labs of Silicon Valley, academia, and the basement of the Pentagon to the fo...
By Michael Horowitz
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Analysis of the Trump Administration’s Drone Export Policy
Podcast
Paul Scharre, Senior Fellow and Director of the Technology and National Security program at CNAS, discusses the Trump Administration’s recent Drone Export Policy and its relat...
By Paul Scharre & Michael Horowitz
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The promise and peril of military applications of artificial intelligence
Commentary
Artificial intelligence (AI) is having a moment in the national security space. While the public may still equate the notion of artificial intelligence in the military context...
By Michael Horowitz
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A new U.S. policy makes it (somewhat) easier to export drones
Commentary
The Trump administration just announced a new drone export policy designed to make it easier for U.S. companies to export drones, including armed drones. Given concerns about ...
By Michael Horowitz & Joshua Schwartz
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Will Killer Robots Be Banned? Lessons from Past Civil Society Campaigns
Commentary
After several years of debate, on November 13-17, 2017, the Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons (CCW) will convene a Group of Governmental Experts (GGE) to discuss the ...
By Michael Horowitz
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Drones Podcast Series: Drones and the MTCR
Podcast
In this episode of the Drones Podcast Series, CNAS experts Michael Horowitz, Alexandra Sander, and Paul Scharre discuss the Missile Technology Control Regime....
By Michael Horowitz, Alexandra Sander & Paul Scharre
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Drones Podcast Series: U.S. Policy and Exports
Podcast
On this episode, Michael Horowitz, Dan Gettinger, and Alexandra Sander join Paul Scharre to discuss U.S. policy changes on unmanned aircraft exports in recent years....
By Michael Horowitz, Dan Gettinger, Alexandra Sander & Paul Scharre
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Drones aren't missiles, so don't regulate them like they are
This year marks the 30th anniversary of the Missile Technology Control Regime (MTCR), a voluntary arrangement founded by seven countries in 1987 to prevent the spread of longe...
By Michael Horowitz
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The Future of War is Fast Approaching in the Pacific: Are the U.S. Military Services Ready?
Is the era of unparalleled U.S. conventional military superiority coming to an end? Many senior U.S. military leaders are worried. The ongoing general proliferation of precisi...
By Michael Horowitz
