Reports
Showing 1-20 of 719 Publications
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Superpowers and AGI
Reports
Executive Summary Artificial intelligence (AI) systems continue to progress at a steady pace. This trend has fed forecasts that artificial general intelligence (AGI)—generally...
By Jacob Stokes
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Whither the Coalition?
Reports
Executive Summary The future of Taiwan, a self-governing island democracy that is claimed by the People’s Republic of China (PRC), remains one of the most complex and fraught ...
By Emily Kilcrease & James Crabtree
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An Uphill Climb
Reports
Executive Summary To avoid what is becoming a human rights catastrophe for the women and girls of Afghanistan and a ticking time bomb for a major terrorist resurgence in the n...
By Lisa Curtis & Annie Pforzheimer
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Hibernating Bear
Reports
Executive Summary Since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, there have been several crises—in Syria, Nagorno-Karabakh, Venezuela, and Iran—where Russia did not intervene ...
By Andrea Kendall-Taylor, Peter Schroeder & Kate Johnston
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Forecasting the Future of the Axis of Upheaval
Reports
Executive Summary This report assesses the future of the “axis of upheaval”—the deepening relationships among Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea—from Moscow’s perspective. T...
By Andrea Kendall-Taylor
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Reports
Technology & National Security
Red LinesChinese advanced artificial intelligence (AI) systems pose a serious and growing threat to U.S. national security. At least seven Chinese developers now produce systems with f...
By Daniel Remler
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Reports
Technology & National Security
Adversarial DistillationThe Chinese Communist Party (CCP) views artificial intelligence (AI) as central to strategic competition with the United States and is pursuing every means to strengthen its A...
By Daniel Remler & Ben Hayum
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Thwarting Communications Blackout
Reports
Control over the physical means of transmitting information—the lifeblood of modern societies—has become a central area of contestation between Taiwan and the United States on...
By Jacob Stokes & Ryan Claffey
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Reports
Technology & National Security
The Entanglement EdgeQuantum networking—technologies that transmit quantum states between nodes—is an underappreciated but potentially consequential dimension of U.S.-China quantum competition....
By Constanza M. Vidal Bustamante & Morgan Peirce
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Invested Allies
Reports
The United States is seeking to strengthen its domestic capabilities and supply chain resilience in a number of sectors critical for its economic security, including semicondu...
By Geoffrey Gertz & Eleanor Hume
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Reports
Transatlantic Security / Global Swing States
Beyond the SahelRussia has been expanding its engagement in Africa under President Vladimir Putin, seeking to increase Russia’s access to resources (either natural or military, including port...
By Kate Johnston, Valeria Allende & Isabel Dlabach
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Reports
Technology & National Security
American AI Companies Can’t Get Enough ChipsIn 2026, artificial intelligence (AI) chip production has become a binding constraint on the pace of the AI compute buildout. Demand for computing power to train and deploy ad...
By James Sanders, Janet Egan & Rory Madigan
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Who Will Make Money on AI?
Reports
The private sector is playing a leading role in advancing the frontier of artificial intelligence (AI). As a result, commercial incentives are likely to have a significant imp...
By Geoffrey Gertz & Emily Kilcrease
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Interactive
Technology & National Security
Sovereign AI IndexAs the United States and China extend their AI leads, countries across the globe fear being left behind. Many have embraced “sovereign AI” as the solution....
By Pablo Chavez, Ruby Scanlon & Vivek Chilukuri
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Hit It with Your Best Shot
Reports
America needs an economic pressure doctrine. The country is using economic pressure in more novel ways and at greater scale than any other time in the postwar period....
By Emily Kilcrease
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Repairing the Breach
Reports
U.S.-India relations stumbled badly during the second half of 2025. Differences between U.S. and Indian officials over how a ceasefire was reached between New Delhi and Islama...
By Lisa Curtis, Keerthi Martyn & Sitara Gupta
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Reports
Technology & National Security
Off TargetThe pace of progress in frontier artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities shows no sign of slowing. Frontier models offer transformative potential for national security—from ...
By Caleb Withers, Jay Kim & Ethan Chiu
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Reports
Defense / Indo-Pacific Security
U.S.-Japan-Philippines Trilateral CooperationGrowing challenges from the People’s Republic of China’s (PRC’s) massive military modernization, rapid technological advancement, and coercive military activity throughout the...
By Lisa Curtis & Ryan Claffey
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Reports
Technology & National Security
Quantum's Industrial MomentQuantum technologies are approaching a critical inflection point. Over the next three to five years, quantum sensors and computers that have long remained confined to laborato...
By Constanza M. Vidal Bustamante & Dr. John Burke
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Eyes in the Sky
Reports
In the Department of Defense’s priority scenarios—a “defense by denial” of China and homeland defense—dedicated airborne sensing and battle management aircraft and their crew ...
By Philip Sheers
