Dr. Colin H. Kahl, Raj Pattani and Jacob Stokes argue in If All Else Fails: The Challenges of Containing a Nuclear-Armed Iran that the Obama administration could eventually be forced to shift to a policy of containing a nuclearized Iran despite its commitment to pursue a prevention strategy.The authors outline a comprehensive framework to manage and mitigate the consequences should Iran acquire a nuclear weapons capability, noting that such planning and preparation is needed “not because the United States wants to take this path, but because it may eventually become the only path left.”
CNAS Non-Resident Senior Fellow Dr. Janine Davidson testified before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on the future of the "U.S. Military and the Asia 'Rebalance'."
Travis Sharp writes in Placebo:
The 2014 Defense Budget and DOD’s Credibility Challenges that the Obama
Administration’s FY 2014 defense budget is a placeholder and that the overall
level of defense spending will decline significantly in the coming year and
beyond. This, he argues, presents
strategic, as well as operational, challenges for the United States,
undermining the nation’s credibility by “over-promising and under-delivering on its global security ambitions.”
In Listening to the Generals: How Military Advice Affects Public Support for the Use of Force, James Golby, Kyle Dropp and Peter Feaver report that public expression by senior military officials of opposition or support for use of force abroad has a measurable impact on U.S. public opinion.
In the capstone essay of Flashpoints, a 15-month CNAS project, Dr. Patrick M. Cronin assesses the security environment in the maritime domain surrounding China, while offering several policy recommendations and some reasons for optimism in the regional disputes. Dr. Cronin, Senior Director of the Asia-Pacific Security Program at CNAS, notes in Flashpoints: The Way Forward in the East and South China Seas that there are several policy options available to leaders both in the United States and in the region that can mitigate the tensions and help reduce the chances of conflict in these critical seas.
In Slipping Away? A South China Sea Code of Conduct Eludes Diplomatic Efforts, Ian Storey analyzes the tensions in the South China Sea that have continued unabated despite sustained attention from regional leaders and diplomats. In his Flashpoints Bulletin, Dr. Storey, who is a fellow at the Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, provides insights into recent diplomatic developments, including a call for a binding Code of Conduct (CoC) by the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) that, although increasingly unlikely, could have a positive impact on regional stability.
In this Flashpoints Bulletin, The Sino-Philippine Maritime Row: International Arbitration and the South China Sea, Peter Dutton analyzes the ongoing territorial disputes between the Philippines and China over lands near the South China Sea, known as the West Philippines Sea in Manila. Dutton, who is Professor of Strategic Studies and Director of the China Maritime Studies Institute at the U.S. Naval War College, discusses the implications of these disputes for Southeast Asia’s political balance.
In
At What Cost a Carrier?, career naval flight officer Captain Henry J. Hendrix (Ph.D.), argues that the
aircraft carrier -- the centerpiece of American naval operations for over 70
years -- is in danger of becoming too vulnerable to be relevant in future
conflicts. Captain Hendrix examines the life-cycle costs and utility of the
aircraft carrier and recommends a new approach for American naval operations in this report, the first in the new “Disruptive Defense
Papers” series published by CNAS.
Major Fernando Lujan, USA, a Special
Forces officer and visiting fellow at the Center for a New American Security, examines the utility of the "light-footprint" approach and recommends adoption of a new
strategic framework to guide it in Light
Footprints: The Future of American Military Intervention.
CNAS Non-Resident Senior Fellow Dr. David Asher testified before the House Foreign Affairs Committee on the implications of North Korea's expanding nuclear program.